Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 260733

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0133 AM CST Sun Jan 26 2020

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z


As a mid-level trough begins to amplify across the Atlantic
Seaboard, a mid-level shortwave will eject into southern CONUS,
promoting surface low development across the southern High Plains.
Another mid-level shortwave will also begin to amplify as it moves
ashore along the West Coast, with surface high pressure continuing
to dominate the Inter-mountain West.

With the onset of low development across the southern High Plains,
along with diurnal heating/boundary-layer mixing, 15-25 mph
sustained westerly surface winds and 25-35% RH are expected across
southeastern New Mexico into west-southwest Texas by afternoon.
While fine fuels continue to cure across this region, with little
precipitation observed over the past few days and forecast rainfall
expected to remain north of the area, relatively higher RH values
suggest that an elevated area is not warranted at this time.
Nonetheless, conditions will continue to be monitored for a possible
elevated area highlight should future model guidance depict lower RH
across the southern High Plains.

High pressure building across the Great Basin will induce northerly
flow across southern California, with some dry, offshore component
of flow possible based on the latest model guidance. Questions
remain regarding how strong the offshore winds would become, and how
low RH will drop, precluding an elevated area at this time,
especially given the marginal receptiveness of fuels.

..Squitieri.. 01/26/2020

...Please see for graphic product...

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