National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

401
FNUS51 KBUF 140233
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Tue Apr 13 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Fair tranquil weather will be in place through Wednesday...but
conditions will deteriorate for Wednesday night and Thursday when a
large storm system will help to spread more showers across the
region. While the western counties will likely receive less than a
quarter inch of precipitation...a steady rain could produce up to an
inch of rainfall for parts of the Eastern Lake Ontario region.

NYZ001-002-010-011-140900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
1033 PM EDT Tue Apr 13 2021

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                    Mclear       Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           50           50
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       38           62           40           47
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  5                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5         W  9         W  5         W  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.04         0.04
Precip duration                                               2            2
Precip begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               86           37           88           60
Haines Index                        5            3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         6650           70         6020
Transport wind (kt)              W  9         W 13         W 11         W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 630        86450          770        90300
Dispersion Index                    1           86            1           90
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-140900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
1033 PM EDT Tue Apr 13 2021

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           50           50
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       41           63           37           45
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  5                      W  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W  7        NW  5         W  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.05         0.05
Precip duration                                               2            2
Precip begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               85           30           88           51
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         9140           70         7230
Transport wind (kt)             NW  9         W 11        NW 12         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 630       100540          840       122910
Dispersion Index                    1          101            1          123
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-140900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
1033 PM EDT Tue Apr 13 2021

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           60           60
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       41           65           41           48
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      W  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        NW  7      Lgt/Var        NW  7
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.06         0.11
Precip duration                                               5            7
Precip begin                                               7 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               91           34           84           52
Haines Index                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         9480           70         7140
Transport wind (kt)             NW  6         W  9        NW  9         W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 420        85320          630        85680
Dispersion Index                    0           85            1           86
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-140900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
1033 PM EDT Tue Apr 13 2021

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                     Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           60           80
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       39           64           41           47
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.10         0.43
Precip duration                                               4           10
Precip begin                                              11 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           32           95           59
Haines Index                        3            4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70        10520           70         4100
Transport wind (kt)             NW  4         W  8         W  7         W  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 280        84160          490        28700
Dispersion Index                    0           84            0           29
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$