Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS51 KCTP 041911
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College, PA
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

.DISCUSSION...
A spectacular Independence Day in progress across Central PA
with abundant sunshine, light wind and comfortable humidity.
Expect good viewing conditions for fireworks tonight before
clouds increase downstream the Great Lakes. Severe thunderstorms
remain possible Tuesday afternoon/evening with unsettled
conditions into late week especially over south central PA.

PAZ004-005-010-050915-
Warren-McKean-Elk-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, and Ridgway
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+13)     81 (-1)      64           80
RH % (24h trend)      76 (-14)     64 (+27)     100          54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                S  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G19    W  6 G17     N  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.26         0.13         0.03
Precip Duration                    2            2            2
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    250          3660         730          4140
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  3        W 21         W  9         NE  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     750          65880        5840         20700
Dispersion            1            5            2            5
DSI                                1                         2
Sunshine Hours                     3                         7
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  30 Fair      26 Fair      11 Poor
Max ADI Late          10 Poor      53 Gen Good  9 Poor       23 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            3            6            8
Max LVORI Late        3            2            9            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ006-011-012-050915-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-
Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, and Renovo
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+11)     83 (+1)      64           82
RH % (24h trend)      76 (-10)     58 (+23)     100          52
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G20    W  6 G18     N  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.22         0.12         0.03
Precip Duration                    5            4            2
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    270          3750         760          4230
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  3        SW 20        W 14         NE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     810          63750        9120         25380
Dispersion            1            5            2            5
DSI                                1                         2
Sunshine Hours                     4                         7
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  29 Fair      25 Fair      17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          5 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  9 Poor       25 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            3            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            2            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ037-041-042-050915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+8)      81 (0)       63           79
RH % (24h trend)      74 (-10)     61 (+25)     100          54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                S  5 G17                  NW  5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  9 G20    SW  7 G18    N  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.17         0.13         0.02
Precip Duration                    4            4            2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    280          3610         680          4090
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  3         SW 21        W 12         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     840          64980        6800         32720
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                1                         2
Sunshine Hours                     4                         8
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  29 Fair      25 Fair      23 Fair
Max ADI Late          6 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  9 Poor       37 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            3            5            5
Max LVORI Late        3            2            7            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ017-018-050915-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of DuBois, Clearfield, and Philipsburg
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           50
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+12)     84 (0)       67           82
RH % (24h trend)      76 (-7)      57 (+25)     100          56
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                S  5 G15                  NW  5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G19    W  7 G18     NW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.24         0.16         0.05
Precip Duration                    5            4            2
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    260          3700         660          3450
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  3         W 20         W 13         NW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     780          62900        7260         24150
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                1                         1
Sunshine Hours                     4                         7
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  33 Fair      26 Fair      17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late          8 Poor       51 Gen Good  9 Poor       25 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            1            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ024-033-050915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           50           60
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+9)      83 (+1)      67           82
RH % (24h trend)      82 (+4)      59 (+26)     100          64
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                SW  6 G16                 W  7 G17
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  9 G20    W  8 G19     NW  7 G16
Precip Amount         0.00         0.19         0.20         0.09
Precip Duration                    5            4            5
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    310          3910         680          3600
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 10         W 21         W 15         NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     2790         70380        8840         36000
Dispersion            1            5            3            5
DSI                                1                         1
Sunshine Hours                     5                         5
LAL                   No Tstms     16-25 Strikes16-25 Strikes>25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  28 Fair      24 Fair
Max ADI Late          9 Poor       56 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        4            1            5            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ019-025>028-050915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+9)      86 (+1)      68           86
RH % (24h trend)      78 (0)       57 (+25)     100          58
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G13
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  7 G18    SW  6 G17    NW  5 G12
Precip Amount         0.00         0.17         0.14         0.05
Precip Duration                    4            4            2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    250          3990         410          3740
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        W 18         W  9         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     1000         63840        3280         33660
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                2                         2
Sunshine Hours                     5                         7
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  36 Fair      23 Fair      26 Fair
Max ADI Late          3 Very Poor  50 Gen Good  8 Poor       30 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            5
Max LVORI Late        3            1            7            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ034-035-050915-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           50           60
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+9)      86 (+2)      70           86
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+6)      57 (+27)     98           61
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   W  5 G15
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  7 G18    SW  6 G17    NW  6 G13
Precip Amount         0.00         0.16         0.14         0.06
Precip Duration                    4            4            5
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    280          4080         540          4300
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         W 18         W 10         NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     1400         65280        4860         38700
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                1                         2
Sunshine Hours                     6                         6
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            4
Max ADI Early         3 Very Poor  35 Fair      24 Fair      32 Fair
Max ADI Late          3 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  9 Poor       31 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            5
Max LVORI Late        4            1            6            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ045-046-050915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
Including the cities of Lock Haven and Williamsport
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+9)      84 (0)       66           84
RH % (24h trend)      77 (-4)      55 (+26)     100          50
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   NW  5
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  7 G16    SW  6 G15    N  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.20         0.15         0.03
Precip Duration                    4            4            2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    280          3110         420          3870
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  3         SW 17        W  8         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     840          46650        2940         30960
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                2                         2
Sunshine Hours                     5                         8
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  29 Fair      22 Fair      30 Fair
Max ADI Late          2 Very Poor  48 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            1            7            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ049>053-058-050915-
Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+9)      84 (0)       67           84
RH % (24h trend)      78 (-3)      57 (+23)     100          54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  7 G17     SW  5 G15    N  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.16         0.16         0.04
Precip Duration                    4            4            2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    230          3700         340          4050
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  3        S 20         W  7         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     690          62900        2040         36450
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                2                         2
Sunshine Hours                     6                         8
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  37 Fair      25 Fair      34 Fair
Max ADI Late          2 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        4            1            7            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-050915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+7)      87 (+2)      70           88
RH % (24h trend)      82 (+6)      56 (+24)     99           59
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph)                S  5 G16                  NW  5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G19    SW  6 G17    NW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.13         0.05
Precip Duration                    4            4            2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    220          4420         340          4270
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  3         SW 21        W  9         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     660          79560        2720         42700
Dispersion            1            5            1            5
DSI                                2                         2
Sunshine Hours                     6                         7
LAL                   No Tstms     >25 Strikes  >25 Strikes  16-25 Strikes
Haines Index          5            4            3            3
Max ADI Early         2 Very Poor  42 Gen Good  27 Fair      30 Fair
Max ADI Late          4 Very Poor  57 Gen Good  9 Poor       35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        4            1            7            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.