Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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210
FNUS51 KCTP 211839
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move off to the southeast of the region this afternoon
as a cold front approaches from the west. The front will pass
through the forecast area Friday and stall just south of the
Mason-Dixon line. A new storm will form on the front and will
move through the region Saturday and Saturday night, followed by
breezy and drier conditions to end the weekend. Temperatures
will be close or slightly warmer than normal to start the new
work week.

PAZ004>006-010-011-220915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  80           40            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              36 (+8)      44 (-1)           24           41
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      48 (-4)           92           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W 11 G30                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  9 G27    NW 11 G29    NW  6 G22      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.02         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                     9            4                         1
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing                      1 PM
Precip End                 Continuing         6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            220         3330          890         1450
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 12        NW 26        NW 16         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1550        86880          870        13960
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-220915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30            0           40
Temp (24h trend)             39 (+10)      48 (+1)           25           42
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)      46 (-2)           85           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W 12 G31                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  7 G24    NW 13 G30    NW  7 G23      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.02         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                     2            1                         1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing                      1 PM
Precip End                 Continuing         1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            200         3740         1090         1490
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10        NW 26         W 10         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 720        94420         6490         9960
Dispersion                          1            5            3            4
DSI                                 0            2            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum
RH 64 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 25 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-220915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  60           50            0           60
Temp (24h trend)             42 (+13)      48 (-3)           26           43
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)      52 (+4)           88           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W 15 G33                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        SW  8 G29    NW 13 G32    NW  7 G24        SE  6
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.04         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                     4            2                         4
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing                      7 AM
Precip End                 Continuing         1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             40         2960          110         1280
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  8        NW 29        NW  5        SE  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 250        87860          120         9870
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 40. Minimum RH
65 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 50.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-220915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  20           30            0           50
Temp (24h trend)             41 (+11)      53 (+4)           27           43
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      50 (+4)           85           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W  9 G29                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  5 G20    NW 11 G29    NW  7 G22      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.02         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                     1            1                         1
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing                      1 PM
Precip End                 Continuing         1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            100         3470          210         1700
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  8        NW 26        NW  5         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 210        89990          350        11470
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            2            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds 25 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-220915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  30           40            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              38 (+8)      46 (+2)           24           41
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      49 (-2)           81           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W 10 G29                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  8 G24    NW 12 G29    NW  9 G24      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.02         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                     2            1                         1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing                      1 PM
Precip End                 Continuing         1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            230         3970          460         1560
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  9        NW 29         W  8         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1080       115890         1640        15260
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely or a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
64 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-220915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+8)      52 (+4)           26           43
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)      48 (-2)           81           49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                      W  7 G23                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var    NW 10 G24    NW  6 G22      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.02         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                  1                         1
Precip Begin                                  6 AM                      1 PM
Precip End                                    1 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            140         3770          140         1790
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  7        NW 25        NW 13         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 330        98800         1050         9970
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            2            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 15 to 25 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-220915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
139 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0           20            0           50
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+7)      55 (+5)           28           45
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)      52 (+6)           85           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                     SW  6 G20                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var    NW  9 G21    NW  6 G19      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                  1                         1
Precip Begin                                  7 AM                      1 PM
Precip End                                    6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             60         3170           60         1940
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  7        NW 25        NW  8         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 140        81270          290        13010
Dispersion                          1            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Occasional rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 20 to
25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds 20 to 30 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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