Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 251715
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure lifting up the east coast will spread
light rain into southern Pennsylvania this afternoon and most of the
state tonight. Spotty light rain or drizzle early Monday should give
way to a drier afternoon across the southeast part of Pennsylvania.
However, a frontal boundary pushing into the area will bring a
chance of afternoon showers across the northwest half of the
state.


PAZ004>006-010-011-252115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Cloudy
Precip Type             None            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       0               70              70
Temp (24h trend)        49 (+1)         38 (+8)         53
RH % (24h trend)        46 (-8)         100 (+4)        77
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    NE  5                           S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    E  6            SE  6           SW  5
Precip Amount           0.00            0.13            0.06
Precip Duration                         5               7
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      3060            940             1440
Transport Wnd (mph)     E 12            S 16            SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       35570           9940            18670
Dispersion              5               4               5
DSI                     2                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            4               3               3
ADI early               26 Fair         28 Fair         16 Gen Poor
ADI late                34 Fair         16 Gen Poor     13 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early         6               3               6
Max LVORI late          2               5               5

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-252115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Cloudy          Cloudy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       30              60              70
Temp (24h trend)        47 (-7)         38 (+5)         57
RH % (24h trend)        50 (+1)         100 (0)         72
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    E  6            SE  6           Lgt/Var
Precip Amount           0.02            0.12            0.06
Precip Duration         1               3               5
Precip Begin            2 PM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      2880            760             1470
Transport Wnd (mph)     E 13            SE 14           SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       36710           2050            19970
Dispersion              5               2               5
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            4               3               3
ADI early               30 Fair         29 Fair         13 Gen Poor
ADI late                29 Fair         15 Gen Poor     12 Poor
Max LVORI early         5               4               6
Max LVORI late          3               5               5

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-252115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       50              30              30
Temp (24h trend)        44 (-10)        37 (+3)         61
RH % (24h trend)        60 (-5)         100 (0)         69
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    E  6                            S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SE  8           SE  8           SW  6
Precip Amount           0.09            0.04            0.02
Precip Duration         3               2               2
Precip Begin            7 AM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      1780            520             1890
Transport Wnd (mph)     SE 16           S 13            W 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       32590           820             28780
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            3               3               3
ADI early               24 Fair         26 Fair         11 Poor
ADI late                26 Fair         17 Gen Poor     18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early         4               5               7
Max LVORI late          4               6               5

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-252115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Cloudy          Mcldy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       50              50              50
Temp (24h trend)        45 (-15)        38 (+1)         63
RH % (24h trend)        55 (+7)         100 (+4)        65
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount           0.08            0.06            0.02
Precip Duration         3               2               2
Precip Begin            7 AM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      2610            510             1700
Transport Wnd (mph)     E  8            SE  5           SW  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       32420           380             14480
Dispersion              5               1               4
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            3               2               3
ADI early               22 Fair         11 Poor         5 Very Poor
ADI late                20 Gen Poor     5 Very Poor     8 Poor
Max LVORI early         4               6               8
Max LVORI late          4               8               5

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>052-252115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, and Shamokin
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Cloudy          Cloudy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       30              60              60
Temp (24h trend)        50 (-11)        40 (+4)         59
RH % (24h trend)        48 (-1)         100 (+11)       67
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount           0.03            0.09            0.04
Precip Duration         1               5               5
Precip Begin            1 PM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      3250            690             1230
Transport Wnd (mph)     E  7            SE  7           S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       33440           1150            12850
Dispersion              5               1               4
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            4               3               2
ADI early               23 Fair         14 Gen Poor     5 Very Poor
ADI late                21 Fair         9 Poor          8 Poor
Max LVORI early         4               5               8
Max LVORI late          3               7               6

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-252115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Cloudy
Precip Type             None            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       0               50              70
Temp (24h trend)        49 (-5)         38 (+6)         55
RH % (24h trend)        44 (-8)         100 (+4)        74
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    NE  5                           S  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    E  5            SE  5           S  6
Precip Amount           0.00            0.10            0.07
Precip Duration                         2               7
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      3120            860             1330
Transport Wnd (mph)     E  8            S 16            S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       32430           1930            22810
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            4               3               3
ADI early               29 Fair         12 Poor         21 Fair
ADI late                26 Fair         16 Gen Poor     20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early         5               4               5
Max LVORI late          2               5               5

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-252115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Cloudy          Mcldy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       60              60              40
Temp (24h trend)        47 (-20)        40 (0)          63
RH % (24h trend)        62 (+10)        100 (+10)       65
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    NE  5                           Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    E  5            Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount           0.17            0.10            0.01
Precip Duration         5               4               2
Precip Begin            8 AM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      2350            550             1460
Transport Wnd (mph)     E  9            E  5            W  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       31190           820             10970
Dispersion              5               1               4
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            3               2               2
ADI early               23 Fair         15 Gen Poor     3 Very Poor
ADI late                19 Gen Poor     10 Poor         6 Very Poor
Max LVORI early         3               6               8
Max LVORI late          4               8               6

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ053-058-252115-
Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
115 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2020

                        Today           Tonight         Mon

Cloud Cover             Mcldy           Cloudy          Cloudy
Precip Type             Rain            Rain            Rain
Chance Precip (%)       30              60              50
Temp (24h trend)        48 (-15)        40 (+5)         59
RH % (24h trend)        49 (-12)        100 (+10)       80
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount           0.05            0.11            0.04
Precip Duration         1               5               2
Precip Begin            12 PM           Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      3050            760             1120
Transport Wnd (mph)     E  9            E 14            S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       30620           2060            9280
Dispersion              5               2               4
DSI                     1                               1
LAL                     No Tstms        No Tstms        No Tstms
Haines Index            4               3               3
ADI early               26 Fair         21 Fair         12 Poor
ADI late                24 Fair         15 Gen Poor     6 Very Poor
Max LVORI early         4               5               6
Max LVORI late          3               5               6

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


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