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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
000
FNUS51 KCTP 180811
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
.DISCUSSION...
After a refreshingly pleasant last few days, the weather
pattern will turn increasingly warmer and more humid through
Father`s Day weekend. A few severe thunderstorms with heavy
rainfall could impact parts of the western Alleghenies this
evening into tonight. Isolated strong storms are possible
Saturday afternoon and evening. The odds of rain trend lower for
Father`s Day before ramping back up through early next week.
PAZ004-005-010-182115-
Warren-McKean-Elk-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, and Ridgway
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+5) 62 (+16) 80
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+24) 100 (0) 50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 6 G19 SW 6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 9 G22 S 6 G20 SW 8
Precip Amount 0.03 0.20 0.14
Precip Duration 3 9 9
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3550 580 4310
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 SW 13 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77290 1280 84160
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 1
Sunshine Hours 6 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 3 4
ADI early 51 Gen Good 29 Fair 28 Fair
ADI late 57 Gen Good 10 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 5 5
Max LVORI late 1 7 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ006-011-012-017-018-182115-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois,
Clearfield, and Philipsburg
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 70 60
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+6) 62 (+16) 80
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+21) 100 (0) 51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 5 G19 W 7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 8 G19 SW 6 G18 W 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.13 0.11
Precip Duration 1 7 5
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4510 660 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 13 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85010 1500 82930
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 7 6
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 52 Gen Good 21 Fair 31 Fair
ADI late 72 Good 11 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 4 5
Max LVORI late 1 5 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ024-033-182115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 70
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+8) 63 (+15) 77
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+15) 97 (-3) 60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 5 W 10 G22
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 8 SW 7 W 11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.14
Precip Duration 6 9
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4540 800 3150
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 W 18 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78610 5200 63350
Dispersion 5 3 5
DSI 1 1
Sunshine Hours 8 5
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 50 Gen Good 21 Fair 33 Fair
ADI late 67 Good 21 Fair 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 3 3 4
Max LVORI late 1 4 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ025-026-034-035-182115-
Blair-Huntingdon-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union,
Bedford, and McConnellsburg
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+8) 65 (+17) 83
RH % (24h trend) 36 (+15) 97 (+1) 51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 7 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 6 S 5 W 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.07
Precip Duration 5 9
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5460 530 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 S 12 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92030 1260 75040
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 1
Sunshine Hours 8 5
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 35 Fair 14 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI late 70 Good 12 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 3 4
Max LVORI late 1 4 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ019-027-028-045-182115-
Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of State College, Lewistown, Mifflintown,
and Lock Haven
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 60
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+6) 63 (+16) 83
RH % (24h trend) 34 (+14) 97 (-3) 51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 6 S 5 W 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.05
Precip Duration 0 5 5
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5370 540 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 S 10 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92540 1460 64110
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 8 6
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 37 Fair 12 Poor 39 Fair
ADI late 75 Good 10 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 3 5
Max LVORI late 1 5 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-182115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 60
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+6) 61 (+15) 81
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+20) 100 (0) 47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 6 G18 W 6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 8 G18 S 7 G17 W 8
Precip Amount 0.01 0.11 0.05
Precip Duration 1 7 5
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4640 560 5300
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 S 13 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85790 1350 93540
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 7 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 53 Gen Good 26 Fair 33 Fair
ADI late 73 Good 12 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 4 6
Max LVORI late 1 6 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
74 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ046-049>053-058-182115-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove,
Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 60
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+6) 62 (+14) 84
RH % (24h trend) 34 (+14) 100 (0) 49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 6 S 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 3 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5380 380 4990
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 7 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 94740 710 68990
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 8 6
LAL No Tstms 16-25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 4
ADI early 41 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 36 Fair
ADI late 76 Good 7 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 3 6
Max LVORI late 1 6 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-182115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+7) 65 (+14) 86
RH % (24h trend) 31 (+9) 97 (+1) 48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph) SW 7 S 5 W 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.04
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5520 380 4710
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 9 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92270 940 82510
Dispersion 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 9 6
LAL No Tstms 16-25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 4
ADI early 34 Fair 23 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI late 62 Good 10 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 3 5
Max LVORI late 1 5 1
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
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- Page last modified: Jun 8th, 2021 18:51 UTC