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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
000
FNUS51 KCTP 041911
FWFCTP
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College, PA
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
.DISCUSSION...
A spectacular Independence Day in progress across Central PA
with abundant sunshine, light wind and comfortable humidity.
Expect good viewing conditions for fireworks tonight before
clouds increase downstream the Great Lakes. Severe thunderstorms
remain possible Tuesday afternoon/evening with unsettled
conditions into late week especially over south central PA.
PAZ004-005-010-050915-
Warren-McKean-Elk-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, and Ridgway
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+13) 81 (-1) 64 80
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-14) 64 (+27) 100 54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) S 5 G17 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G19 W 6 G17 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.26 0.13 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 250 3660 730 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 3 W 21 W 9 NE 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 750 65880 5840 20700
Dispersion 1 5 2 5
DSI 1 2
Sunshine Hours 3 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 30 Fair 26 Fair 11 Poor
Max ADI Late 10 Poor 53 Gen Good 9 Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 2 9 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ006-011-012-050915-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-
Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, and Renovo
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+11) 83 (+1) 64 82
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-10) 58 (+23) 100 52
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G20 W 6 G18 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.12 0.03
Precip Duration 5 4 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 270 3750 760 4230
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 3 SW 20 W 14 NE 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 810 63750 9120 25380
Dispersion 1 5 2 5
DSI 1 2
Sunshine Hours 4 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 29 Fair 25 Fair 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 9 Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 2 8 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ037-041-042-050915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+8) 81 (0) 63 79
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-10) 61 (+25) 100 54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) S 5 G17 NW 5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G20 SW 7 G18 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.13 0.02
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 280 3610 680 4090
Transport Wnd (mph) S 3 SW 21 W 12 NE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 840 64980 6800 32720
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 2
Sunshine Hours 4 8
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 29 Fair 25 Fair 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 9 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 2 7 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ017-018-050915-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of DuBois, Clearfield, and Philipsburg
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 50
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+12) 84 (0) 67 82
RH % (24h trend) 76 (-7) 57 (+25) 100 56
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) S 5 G15 NW 5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G19 W 7 G18 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.24 0.16 0.05
Precip Duration 5 4 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 260 3700 660 3450
Transport Wnd (mph) S 3 W 20 W 13 NW 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 780 62900 7260 24150
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 1
Sunshine Hours 4 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 33 Fair 26 Fair 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 8 Poor 51 Gen Good 9 Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 1 8 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ024-033-050915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 50 60
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+9) 83 (+1) 67 82
RH % (24h trend) 82 (+4) 59 (+26) 100 64
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) SW 6 G16 W 7 G17
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G20 W 8 G19 NW 7 G16
Precip Amount 0.00 0.19 0.20 0.09
Precip Duration 5 4 5
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 310 3910 680 3600
Transport Wnd (mph) S 10 W 21 W 15 NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 2790 70380 8840 36000
Dispersion 1 5 3 5
DSI 1 1
Sunshine Hours 5 5
LAL No Tstms 16-25 Strikes16-25 Strikes>25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 28 Fair 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 9 Poor 56 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ019-025>028-050915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 50 50
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+9) 86 (+1) 68 86
RH % (24h trend) 78 (0) 57 (+25) 100 58
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 G13
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G18 SW 6 G17 NW 5 G12
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.14 0.05
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 250 3990 410 3740
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 5 W 18 W 9 N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1000 63840 3280 33660
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 5 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 36 Fair 23 Fair 26 Fair
Max ADI Late 3 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 8 Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 1 7 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ034-035-050915-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 50 60
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+9) 86 (+2) 70 86
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+6) 57 (+27) 98 61
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 5 G15
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G18 SW 6 G17 NW 6 G13
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.14 0.06
Precip Duration 4 4 5
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 280 4080 540 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) S 6 W 18 W 10 NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1400 65280 4860 38700
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 1 2
Sunshine Hours 6 6
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes >25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 4
Max ADI Early 3 Very Poor 35 Fair 24 Fair 32 Fair
Max ADI Late 3 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 9 Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ045-046-050915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
Including the cities of Lock Haven and Williamsport
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+9) 84 (0) 66 84
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-4) 55 (+26) 100 50
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var NW 5
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G16 SW 6 G15 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.15 0.03
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 280 3110 420 3870
Transport Wnd (mph) S 3 SW 17 W 8 N 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 840 46650 2940 30960
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 5 8
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 29 Fair 22 Fair 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 2 Very Poor 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 1 7 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ049>053-058-050915-
Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40 40
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+9) 84 (0) 67 84
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-3) 57 (+23) 100 54
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 SW 5 G15 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.04
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 230 3700 340 4050
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 3 S 20 W 7 N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 690 62900 2040 36450
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 6 8
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 37 Fair 25 Fair 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 2 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 7 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-050915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 4 2022
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 50 50
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+7) 87 (+2) 70 88
RH % (24h trend) 82 (+6) 56 (+24) 99 59
20ftWnd-Val/AM(mph) S 5 G16 NW 5 G12
20ftWnd-Rdg/PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G19 SW 6 G17 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.13 0.05
Precip Duration 4 4 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 220 4420 340 4270
Transport Wnd (mph) S 3 SW 21 W 9 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 660 79560 2720 42700
Dispersion 1 5 1 5
DSI 2 2
Sunshine Hours 6 7
LAL No Tstms >25 Strikes >25 Strikes 16-25 Strikes
Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Max ADI Early 2 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 27 Fair 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 9 Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 7 3
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
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