Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS51 KCTP 180811
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

.DISCUSSION...
After a refreshingly pleasant last few days, the weather
pattern will turn increasingly warmer and more humid through
Father`s Day weekend. A few severe thunderstorms with heavy
rainfall could impact parts of the western Alleghenies this
evening into tonight. Isolated strong storms are possible
Saturday afternoon and evening. The odds of rain trend lower for
Father`s Day before ramping back up through early next week.

PAZ004-005-010-182115-
Warren-McKean-Elk-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, and Ridgway
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             Showers         Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       60              70              60
Temp (24h trend)        78 (+5)         62 (+16)        80
RH % (24h trend)        45 (+24)        100 (0)         50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    SW  6 G19                       SW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  9 G22       S  6 G20        SW  8
Precip Amount           0.03            0.20            0.14
Precip Duration         3               9               9
Precip Begin            9 AM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      3550            580             4310
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 23           SW 13           W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       77290           1280            84160
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               1
Sunshine Hours          6                               7
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     >25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               3               4
ADI early               51 Gen Good     29 Fair         28 Fair
ADI late                57 Gen Good     10 Poor         49 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               5               5
Max LVORI late          1               7               3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ006-011-012-017-018-182115-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois,
Clearfield, and Philipsburg
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             Showers         Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       40              70              60
Temp (24h trend)        79 (+6)         62 (+16)        80
RH % (24h trend)        41 (+21)        100 (0)         51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    SW  5 G19                       W  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  8 G19       SW  6 G18       W  8 G17
Precip Amount           0.01            0.13            0.11
Precip Duration         1               7               5
Precip Begin            11 AM           Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      4510            660             4140
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 18           SW 13           W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       85010           1500            82930
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               2
Sunshine Hours          7                               6
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     >25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               52 Gen Good     21 Fair         31 Fair
ADI late                72 Good         11 Poor         41 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               4               5
Max LVORI late          1               5               3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-182115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             None            Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       0               70              70
Temp (24h trend)        79 (+8)         63 (+15)        77
RH % (24h trend)        42 (+15)        97 (-3)         60
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    SW  5                           W 10 G22
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  8           SW  7           W 11 G20
Precip Amount           0.00            0.20            0.14
Precip Duration                         6               9
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      4540            800             3150
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 17           W 18            W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       78610           5200            63350
Dispersion              5               3               5
DSI                     1                               1
Sunshine Hours          8                               5
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     >25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               50 Gen Good     21 Fair         33 Fair
ADI late                67 Good         21 Fair         45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         3               3               4
Max LVORI late          1               4               3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ025-026-034-035-182115-
Blair-Huntingdon-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union,
Bedford, and McConnellsburg
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             None            Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       0               60              60
Temp (24h trend)        83 (+8)         65 (+17)        83
RH % (24h trend)        36 (+15)        97 (+1)         51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         W  7 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  6           S  5            W  9 G18
Precip Amount           0.00            0.06            0.07
Precip Duration                         5               9
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      5460            530             4140
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 14           S 12            W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       92030           1260            75040
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               1
Sunshine Hours          8                               5
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     >25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               35 Fair         14 Gen Poor     39 Fair
ADI late                70 Good         12 Poor         44 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               3               4
Max LVORI late          1               4               3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-027-028-045-182115-
Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of State College, Lewistown, Mifflintown,
and Lock Haven
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             Showers         Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       20              60              60
Temp (24h trend)        82 (+6)         63 (+16)        83
RH % (24h trend)        34 (+14)        97 (-3)         51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         W  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  6           S  5            W  8
Precip Amount           0.00            0.08            0.05
Precip Duration         0               5               5
Precip Begin            3 PM            Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      5370            540             4060
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 18           S 10            W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       92540           1460            64110
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               2
Sunshine Hours          8                               6
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     16-25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               37 Fair         12 Poor         39 Fair
ADI late                75 Good         10 Poor         43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               3               5
Max LVORI late          1               5               2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-182115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             Showers         Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       40              60              60
Temp (24h trend)        78 (+6)         61 (+15)        81
RH % (24h trend)        42 (+20)        100 (0)         47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    SW  6 G18                       W  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  8 G18       S  7 G17        W  8
Precip Amount           0.01            0.11            0.05
Precip Duration         1               7               5
Precip Begin            12 PM           Continuing      Continuing
Precip End              Continuing      Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      4640            560             5300
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 20           S 13            W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       85790           1350            93540
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               2
Sunshine Hours          7                               7
LAL                     No Tstms        >25 Strikes     16-25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               53 Gen Good     26 Fair         33 Fair
ADI late                73 Good         12 Poor         52 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               4               6
Max LVORI late          1               6               2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Cooler. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
74 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ046-049>053-058-182115-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove,
Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             None            Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       0               60              60
Temp (24h trend)        82 (+6)         62 (+14)        84
RH % (24h trend)        34 (+14)        100 (0)         49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         W  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  6           S  5            W  7
Precip Amount           0.00            0.06            0.04
Precip Duration                         3               5
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      5380            380             4990
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 15           SW  7           W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       94740           710             68990
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               2
Sunshine Hours          8                               6
LAL                     No Tstms        16-25 Strikes   16-25 Strikes
Haines Index            4               4               4
ADI early               41 Gen Good     13 Gen Poor     36 Fair
ADI late                76 Good         7 Poor          43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               3               6
Max LVORI late          1               6               2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Not as warm. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-182115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
411 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021

                        Today           Tonight         Sat

Cloud Cover             Pcldy           Mcldy           Mcldy
Precip Type             None            Tstms           Tstms
Chance Precip (%)       0               50              50
Temp (24h trend)        84 (+7)         65 (+14)        86
RH % (24h trend)        31 (+9)         97 (+1)         48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)    Lgt/Var                         W  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)    SW  7           S  5            W  9
Precip Amount           0.00            0.02            0.04
Precip Duration                         2               2
Precip Begin                            6 PM            Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)      5520            380             4710
Transport Wnd (mph)     SW 12           SW  9           W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)       92270           940             82510
Dispersion              5               1               5
DSI                     2                               2
Sunshine Hours          9                               6
LAL                     No Tstms        16-25 Strikes   16-25 Strikes
Haines Index            5               4               4
ADI early               34 Fair         23 Fair         44 Gen Good
ADI late                62 Good         10 Poor         50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early         4               3               5
Max LVORI late          1               5               1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 0 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


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