Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 250759
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
359 AM EDT Fri Jun 25 2021

.DISCUSSION...Minimal fire weather concerns through the weekend as we
enter a very active weather pattern with several rounds of rain and
thunderstorms. Very heavy rainfall will be possible which may then
lead to localized flooding concerns.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-251915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
359 AM EDT Fri Jun 25 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 6 am, then
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........75-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......120-620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (120).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    and scattered showers until midnight, then numerous
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west in the late
                    evening and early morning, then becoming
                    southwest after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers until
                    noon, then showers and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........70-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4760-5260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1380).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-251915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
359 AM EDT Fri Jun 25 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 6 am, then
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........75-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......40-540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (160).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms until midnight, then numerous showers
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers until
                    noonShowers after noon. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 3 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........70-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3550-4050 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (960).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-251915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
359 AM EDT Fri Jun 25 2021

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 6 am, then showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......460-960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (610).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    until midnight. Showers. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after midnight. Chance of precipitation 100
                    percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers
                    until noon. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers
                    after noon. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........67-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4950-5450 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1730).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs
in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the upper 70s.

$$

DRK


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