Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 251952
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
352 PM EDT Sat Jun 25 2022

.DISCUSSION...Dry and hot today with modest southerly wind with
minimum RH values mostly in the 30-40 percent range. Scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms arrive tonight as a cold front
passes through. Coverage will dictate the degree of reduction in
fuels amid steady decline in vegetation moisture levels. The front
exits midday Sunday with dry and cool conditions in its wake as
gusts up to 25-30 mph out of the west during the afternoon and early
evening. Minimum RH values hold largely in the 30-45 percent range
Sunday into Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-261215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
352 PM EDT Sat Jun 25 2022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 9 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after midnight. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 9 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 3 pm. Slight chance of showers after 9 am
                    until 3 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming around 15 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1310).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming northwest around 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6770-7270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1790).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-261215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
352 PM EDT Sat Jun 25 2022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until midnight, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 9 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after midnight. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 9 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Slight chance of showers after 9 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming west around 25 mph early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1290).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest around 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1800).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-261215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
352 PM EDT Sat Jun 25 2022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until midnight, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until midnight, then chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 9 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Slight chance of showers after 9 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4590-5090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1110).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........74-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7180-7680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1980).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs around 80.

$$

AA


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