537
FNUS53 KDTX 040733
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
333 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses the region today bringing a slight
chance for a light shower mainly over the Saginaw Valley/Thumb this
morning. Otherwise dry conditions continue through Saturday with min
RH values in the 40s to mid 30s. A large low pressure system
organizing in northern Ontario produces breezy conditions and
scattered to numerous showers by Sunday with a rumble of thunder
also possible.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
333 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6510-7010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (783).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4340-4840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (623).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
333 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4750-5250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (456).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4310-4810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (490).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
333 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (424).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3770-4270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (471).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$

KDK