Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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076
FNUS53 KGRR 200706
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

...Showers and storms possible later today...

.DISCUSSION...Some showers and storms will develop later today
mainly over southern lower Michigan. A few showers will linger
tonight and a strong cold front will bring potential for more
storms over far southern lower Michigan Wednesday. A cooler
airmass will move in late in the week with dry weather late
this week through the weekend.


MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0500.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1000-1500
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL increasing to 6300-6800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1200 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    0200 until 0300.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL increasing to 5500-6000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6500-7000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    0100 until 0300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1100. chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
306 AM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1000. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    0200 until 0300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds 5 to
6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s.

$$



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