Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 251952
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

...Very warm through the Holiday Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures, with highs reaching the
mid 80s to low 90s away from the lakeshore, will persist through
early next week. Winds will remain fairly modest however, with gusts
remaining below 20 mph, and humidity should remain above 35 percent
for afternoon minimums. There will be a chance for showers and
thunderstorms tonight, mainly along and south of I-96. Showers and
thunderstorms are then possible area-wide tomorrow. Drier weather is
expected Sunday and Monday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-260815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60 near Lake Michigan and around 63 inland.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 10
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1600-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 6200-6700 ft AGL increasing to
                    8400-8900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57 near Lake Michigan and around 62 inland.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1700-2200
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent near Lake Michigan and 36-41
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 6900-7400 ft AGL increasing to
                    10100-10600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) increasing to 2300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-260815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8700-9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL increasing to 10900-11400 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to west
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent) increasing to 2500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60 near Lake Michigan and around 63 inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 2 degrees
                    cooler Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8500-9000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7600-8100 ft AGL increasing to 11000-11500 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 2000 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
352 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7000-7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL increasing to 9800-10300 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) increasing to 1600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast overnight.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$


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