Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 202124
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...High pressure and upper level ridging will take hold
across the Ohio Valley through Thursday. This period of dry
weather will be short lived, as another series of disturbances
will bring rounds of widespread rain to eastern Kentucky Thursday
night into Saturday.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-210930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     0            20           70           80
Precip type           None         showers      showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      31-39 (-1)   58-61 (+11)  43-49        50-53
Rh % (24H TREND)      85-100 (+2)  34-39 (-28)  89-100       68-75
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S 3-7 G13                 NW 2-6 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW 5-9 G16   SW 7-11 G18  Lgt/Var
Precip duration                    1            2            3
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.27
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 4                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 1100                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     N  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  12355                     9484
ADI Early             2 Very Poor  14 Gen Poor  12 Poor      13 Gen Poor
ADI Late              3 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor  13 Gen Poor  12 Poor
Max LVORI Early       8            8            3            7
Max LVORI Late        9            2            6            4

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.


$$

KYZ079-083-210930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     0            20           80           90
Precip type           None         showers      showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      35-39 (-2)   61-62 (+11)  44-48        52-55
Rh % (24H TREND)      89-100 (+1)  36-39 (-22)  100          73-80
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S 3-7 G16                 W 2-6 G18
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW 7-11 G17  SW 6-10 G16  N 2-6 G14
Precip duration                    1            3            5
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.44         0.40
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 4                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 1500                      700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     E  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  23436                     2734
ADI Early             2 Very Poor  25 Fair      14 Gen Poor  8 Poor
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  31 Fair      15 Gen Poor  6 Very Poor
Max LVORI Early       8            6            4            8
Max LVORI Late        8            2            8            6

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.


$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-210930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     0            10           70           90
Precip type           None         sprinkles    showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      32-39 (-2)   59-62 (+12)  43-49        53-56
Rh % (24H TREND)      82-100 (0)   35-40 (-24)  86-100       71-78
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S 3-7 G13                 SW 2-6 G19
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G14    SW 5-9 G14   Lgt/Var
Precip duration                    1            2            5
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.30         0.36
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 4                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 1100                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  14061                     5102
ADI Early             2 Very Poor  13 Gen Poor  10 Poor      9 Poor
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  21 Fair      11 Poor      7 Poor
Max LVORI Early       8            6            3            8
Max LVORI Late        8            2            7            6

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.


$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-210930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
424 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70           80
Precip type           None         None         showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      31-39 (-2)   60-63 (+14)  44-49        53-56
Rh % (24H TREND)      82-100 (+3)  33-36 (-28)  83-100       67-74
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    S 2-6                     W 2-6 G20
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW 4-8       SW 5-9 G14   Lgt/Var
Precip duration                                 2            5
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.30
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 5                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 1300                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  13367                     8503
ADI Early             2 Very Poor  13 Gen Poor  9 Poor       11 Poor
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor  13 Gen Poor  11 Poor
Max LVORI Early       7            6            3            7
Max LVORI Late        7            2            5            5

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s
to mid 40s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


$$

DJ


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