Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 210835
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

The arctic airmass will continue today and tonight with
the coldest air of the season in place. Temperatures will moderate
on Tuesday with the next chance of rain expected Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (-2)   10-15 (+6)   41-46
RH % (24h trend)      26-31 (-33)  59-64 (-11)  21-26
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  6 G16                  SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G17
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    39600                     52500
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               17 Gen poor
Max LVORI             2                         2
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  8 G16                  SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the 20s to upper 30s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow or light freezing rain. Lows in
the 20s to mid 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Chance of snow or rain or light freezing rain likely.
Colder. Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 13. Highs in
the 20s to lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the 20s to mid 30s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 20. Highs in
the 20s to mid 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      21-26 (-4)   10-15 (+8)   38-43
RH % (24h trend)      23-28 (-40)  66-71 (-10)  17-22
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G26                 SE  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G23
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     SE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    58500                     61200
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               12 Poor
Max LVORI             3                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G26                 SE 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G16     SE  5 G16    S 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the 20s to upper 30s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or light freezing rain. Lows in the upper
20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain or light freezing rain likely or slight chance
of snow. Colder. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 11.
Highs in the lower 20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 20. Highs in
the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-220945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+5)   15-20 (+11)  41-46
RH % (24h trend)      18-23 (-45)  66-71 (-7)   22-27
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  7 G25                 S  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 11 G30
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 10                     S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    43000                     72000
Dispersion            10 Poor                   13 Gen poor
Max LVORI             2                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  9 G25                 S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        S  6         S 13 G30

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in
the 30s. South winds 5 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
5 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or light freezing rain. Lows in the upper
20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain or snow. Colder.
Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 14.
Highs in the 20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or slight chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the mid 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-220945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+6)   18-23 (+8)   42-47
RH % (24h trend)      21-26 (-35)  66-71 (0)    22-27
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  8 G23                  SE 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G18    S 11 G28
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3700                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1600                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   N 12                      SE 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    44400                     82800
Dispersion            15 Gen poor               30 Fair
Max LVORI             2                         2
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N 10 G23                  SE 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G18    S 14 G28

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid
to upper 30s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds
5 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow likely. Lows in the upper 20s to
mid 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Colder. Highs in the
30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 16.
Highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or slight chance of
rain. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the 20s to upper 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-220945-
Nantahala National Forest-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+7)   17-22 (+6)   40-45
RH % (24h trend)      18-23 (-38)  71-76 (+5)   22-27
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5 G20                  SE  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G17    SE  9 G21
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      SE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    32000                     80000
Dispersion            12 Poor                   29 Fair
Max LVORI             2                         2
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7 G20                  SE 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    SE 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 30s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain or light freezing rain
or slight chance of snow. Colder. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 16.
Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the 30s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220945-
East Tennessee District East-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      25-30 (-4)   13-18 (+6)   44-49
RH % (24h trend)      25-30 (-28)  69-74 (+5)   21-26
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  6 G16
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7                      SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    28000                     36400
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               14 Gen poor
Max LVORI             2                         3
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      SE  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in
the 20s to upper 30s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or light freezing rain. Lows in the 20s
to upper 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or slight chance of
rain. Colder. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 14.
Highs in the 20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow or rain. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and rain. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220945-
East Tennessee District West-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+2)   16-21 (+7)   44-49
RH % (24h trend)      25-30 (-27)  67-72 (+2)   23-28
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     SE  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         S  7 G20
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3700                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    29600                     37800
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               18 Gen poor
Max LVORI             2                         2
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  6                     SE  6 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        E  6         S  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow likely. Colder. Lows in the 20s
to mid 30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or rain. Colder. Highs
in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 17.
Highs in the 20s to mid 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or slight chance of
rain. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220945-
Cumberland District South-
335 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019 /235 AM CST Mon Jan 21 2019/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+3)   19-24 (+6)   43-48
RH % (24h trend)      24-29 (-21)  69-74 (+5)   26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  8 G17                 S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  6        E  5         S  9 G23
Precip type           None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2200                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 12                     S 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    40800                     80000
Dispersion            22 Fair                   44 Gen good
Max LVORI             2                         2
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  9 G17                 S 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  7        E  6         S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows near 40. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or chance of snow. Colder. Lows in the
20s to mid 30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Colder. Highs in the
30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows around 19.
Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow or slight chance of
rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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