Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 200706
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms will not be as widespread this
afternoon as weak high pressure moves across the region. Showers and
storms will increase in coverage on Monday as a system moves
northward. Temperatures will be near to slightly above seasonal
averages.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+5)   60-65 (+2)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (-8)   95-100 (0)   53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.02         0.36
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7400                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5400                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      SW  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51800                     16500
Dispersion            33 Fair                   5 Very poor
Max LVORI             4                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+4)   59-64 (+3)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-12)  92-97 (0)    55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.02         0.36
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7600                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4800                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     SW  1
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    60800                     4800
Dispersion            33 Fair                   3 Very poor
Max LVORI             4                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Light winds becoming south
less than 10 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-210815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (0)    60-65 (+1)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-5)   89-94 (-3)   60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.02         0.41
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7300                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4300                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     SW  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    43800                     15600
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               5 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-210815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+1)   62-67 (+2)   74-79
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (0)    93-98 (+2)   57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.28         0.02         0.35
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      S  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13200                     25500
Dispersion            8 Poor                    11 Poor
Max LVORI             7                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-210815-
Nantahala National Forest-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      78-83 (+1)   60-65 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-2)   95-100 (0)   56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.31         0.02         0.27
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7000                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4800                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      S  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    14000                     18000
Dispersion            7 Poor                    11 Poor
Max LVORI             8                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210815-
East Tennessee District East-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+3)   61-66 (+2)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-4)   95-100 (+1)  54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.02         0.32
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5000                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      SW  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    39000                     10500
Dispersion            24 Fair                   7 Poor
Max LVORI             5                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210815-
East Tennessee District West-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (+2)   63-68 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-3)   93-98 (+1)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.02         0.31
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5200                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      SW  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    19500                     10500
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               7 Poor
Max LVORI             5                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210815-
Cumberland District South-
306 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018 /206 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (+1)   63-68 (0)    77-82
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-2)   91-96 (-1)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.02         0.21
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4700                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  2                     S  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    11800                     24600
Dispersion            8 Poor                    14 Gen poor
Max LVORI             5                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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