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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 230715
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
.DISCUSSION...
With a low pressure system lingering over the area, numerous
afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected again.
Temperatures will remain well below normal. Tuesday`s weather will
be similar to today, as the low remains over the region.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 76-81 (+3) 62-67 (+2) 78-83
RH % (24h trend) 58-63 (-8) 95-100 (+2) 60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.26 0.07 0.24
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5000 5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3000 3500
Transport wnd (mph) S 7 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35000 38500
Dispersion 19 Gen poor 19 Gen poor
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) S 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 72-77 (+2) 61-66 (+3) 75-80
RH % (24h trend) 62-67 (-5) 95-100 (0) 62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G17 SE 5 G15 LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.34 0.10 0.27
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5100 5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2300 2700
Transport wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51000 37800
Dispersion 20 Gen poor 17 Gen poor
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 9 G17 SE 7 G15 NE 5
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-240815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 71-76 (+4) 61-66 (+4) 75-80
RH % (24h trend) 67-72 (-6) 95-100 (+1) 62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 5
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.33 0.08 0.34
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5200 5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2200 2500
Transport wnd (mph) N 5 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26000 49500
Dispersion 9 Poor 18 Gen poor
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR NW 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-240815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 76-81 (+4) 63-68 (+4) 78-83
RH % (24h trend) 64-69 (-6) 95-100 (+1) 62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 60
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.30 0.06 0.28
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4400 5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2400 3300
Transport wnd (mph) NW 3 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13200 47700
Dispersion 8 Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI 6 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-240815-
Nantahala National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 76-81 (+4) 62-67 (+4) 77-82
RH % (24h trend) 66-71 (-3) 95-100 (0) 63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.36 0.06 0.31
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4500 5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2300 3300
Transport wnd (mph) S 5 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22500 44000
Dispersion 10 Poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI 6 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR NE 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 6
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240815-
East Tennessee District East-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 76-81 (+2) 63-68 (+3) 79-84
RH % (24h trend) 59-64 (-7) 95-100 (+2) 61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 50 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.26 0.08 0.21
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4800 5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 3800
Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 E 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 31200
Dispersion 17 Gen poor 20 Gen poor
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240815-
East Tennessee District West-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 76-81 (+2) 65-70 (+3) 80-85
RH % (24h trend) 64-69 (-5) 95-100 (+2) 60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 40 60
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.21 0.05 0.20
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 3 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4600 5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 4000
Transport wnd (mph) N 5 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23000 36400
Dispersion 12 Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI 6 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240815-
Cumberland District South-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018 /215 AM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018/
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 77-82 (0) 65-70 (+3) 81-86
RH % (24h trend) 59-64 (-3) 95-100 (+2) 59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 30 60
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.20 0.04 0.21
LAL 2 2 4
LASI/Haines 4 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4200 5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3000 4100
Transport wnd (mph) N 6 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25200 46800
Dispersion 15 Gen poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 5
Remarks...None.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to
lower 90s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
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- Page last modified: Jun 28th, 2018 22:08 UTC