Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 230715
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...

With a low pressure system lingering over the area, numerous
afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected again.
Temperatures will remain well below normal. Tuesday`s weather will
be similar to today, as the low remains over the region.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+3)   62-67 (+2)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-8)   95-100 (+2)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           70
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.26         0.07         0.24
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3000                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      SE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    35000                     38500
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               19 Gen poor
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+2)   61-66 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      62-67 (-5)   95-100 (0)   62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G17    SE  5 G15    LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           70
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.34         0.10         0.27
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51000                     37800
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               17 Gen poor
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G17    SE  7 G15    NE  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-240815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+4)   61-66 (+4)   75-80
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (-6)   95-100 (+1)  62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           70
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.33         0.08         0.34
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2200                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   N  5                      NW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    26000                     49500
Dispersion            9 Poor                    18 Gen poor
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-240815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+4)   63-68 (+4)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      64-69 (-6)   95-100 (+1)  62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           60
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.30         0.06         0.28
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     E  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    13200                     47700
Dispersion            8 Poor                    25 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-240815-
Nantahala National Forest-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+4)   62-67 (+4)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      66-71 (-3)   95-100 (0)   63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           70
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.36         0.06         0.31
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      E  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    22500                     44000
Dispersion            10 Poor                   22 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240815-
East Tennessee District East-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+2)   63-68 (+3)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-7)   95-100 (+2)  61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           70
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.26         0.08         0.21
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6                     E  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    28800                     31200
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240815-
East Tennessee District West-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+2)   65-70 (+3)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      64-69 (-5)   95-100 (+2)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           40           60
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.21         0.05         0.20
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   N  5                      W  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    23000                     36400
Dispersion            12 Poor                   25 Fair
Max LVORI             6                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240815-
Cumberland District South-
315 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018 /215 AM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (0)    65-70 (+3)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-3)   95-100 (+2)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           30           60
Precip duration       2            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.20         0.04         0.21
LAL                   2            2            4
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3000                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6                      NE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    25200                     46800
Dispersion            15 Gen poor               34 Fair
Max LVORI             5                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s to
lower 90s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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