Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 260818
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A stalled frontal boundary will bring occasional heavy rain, and a
few thunderstorms, to the area on Wednesday and Thursday. Localized
flooding is possible with the heaviest rainfall.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270930-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-4)   58-63 (-4)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+7)   95-100 (+2)  74-79
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           60           80
Precip duration       3            2            4
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.32         0.19         0.63
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SE  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    73600                     9300
Dispersion            36 Fair                   3 Very poor
Max LVORI             4                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270930-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (-1)   58-63 (-2)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  77-82
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           80           90
Precip duration       3            4            7
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.46         0.36         1.18
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     S  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    81000                     21600
Dispersion            33 Fair                   4 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph shifting
to the northwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-270930-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-3)   59-64 (-2)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+1)   95-100 (+3)  81-86
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G17
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           80           90
Precip duration       6            4            7
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.19         0.39         1.32
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    71400                     32400
Dispersion            26 Fair                   4 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         9
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     S  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-270930-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-3)   61-66 (-3)   69-74
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+4)   95-100 (+1)  80-85
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           80           80
Precip duration       7            3            6
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.32         0.35         0.88
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51600                     16200
Dispersion            24 Fair                   3 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         9
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-270930-
Nantahala National Forest-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-2)   61-66 (-2)   69-74
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (+4)   95-100 (+1)  80-85
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           80           80
Precip duration       6            4            7
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.97         0.29         0.91
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    65000                     20300
Dispersion            28 Fair                   4 Very poor
Max LVORI             4                         9
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to upper 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 60. Highs
in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 60. Highs
in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270930-
East Tennessee District East-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-4)   61-66 (-3)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (+5)   95-100 (+2)  75-80
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           70           80
Precip duration       4            3            5
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.54         0.27         0.86
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4100                      2500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SE  2
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    65600                     5000
Dispersion            37 Fair                   2 Very poor
Max LVORI             4                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to upper 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s
to lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270930-
East Tennessee District West-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-4)   60-65 (-5)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+3)   95-100 (+1)  76-81
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           60           70
Precip duration       5            2            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.70         0.25         0.60
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     S  3
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    46200                     6900
Dispersion            25 Fair                   3 Very poor
Max LVORI             5                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-270930-
Cumberland District South-
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018 /318 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-6)   61-66 (-5)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (+4)   95-100 (+1)  76-81
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           60           60
Precip duration       7            2            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.45         0.35         0.55
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     S  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    31000                     10500
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               3 Very poor
Max LVORI             6                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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