Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
785
FNUS55 KTWC 151318
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
A more active monsoon pattern this week. Deeper atmospheric
moisture moving into the will increase the potential for heavy
rainfall and localized flash flooding, especially today.
Temperatures will remain above normal through today, then drop
back down to near or slightly below normal by mid week. Winds will
remain westerly from 10-15 mph, with occasional gusts at or above
25 mph. Afternoon RH values in the low lying areas will be
between 10-15% this afternoon, then 20-30% through the remainder
of the week.
AZZ150-152230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9894 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158304 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............6824 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (102360 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 25 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-152230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8424 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117936 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7165 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78815 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 64 to 74.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-152230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8945 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (134175 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5252 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (84032 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 64 to 74.
Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs
89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-152230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9031 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (126434 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
cloudy (85-95 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........80 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6175 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98800 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 66. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-152230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
618 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9204 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110448 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6580 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (92120 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68.
Highs 75 to 85. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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