Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 261555
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for TTA - Essex County Cooking Oil Release...Virginia Department of Environmental Quality
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1055 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will thicken and lower this afternoon with rain expected to
arrive toward sunset. Once the rain arrives, it will continue
overnight and during Saturday morning. The rain will taper off and
may end all together after noon on Saturday. Total rainfall
amounts will average 0.25-0.50". East winds at 8-10 mph this
afternoon will become light tonight. Winds will turn to the SSW on
Saturday between 8-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming overcast (90-100 percent) by late this
                    afternoon. Chance of rain increases around sunset.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent increasing to 70 percent around sunset.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Heat index..........45.
Max apparent temp...45.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 8-10 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19400 knot-ft).
Visibility..........7.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  95  95
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC
Weather type....    RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  30
Temp............50  49  48
RH..............39  40  46
Heat index (F)..45  44  44
Aparnt tmp (F)..45  44  44
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.3 1.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26  23  19
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR
Visibility (sm).7   7   7

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain arrives this
                    evening and continues overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Heat index..........42.
Min apparent temp...37.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3 mph
                    early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Visibility..........6 decreasing to 4 overnight.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  98  98  98
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  70  70  70  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............45  43  41  41  41  41  42  42  42  43  43  44
RH..............53  62  73  76  82  85  89  93  96  98  98  96
Heat index (F)..41  39  37  37  38  38  39  39  39  40  41  42
Aparnt tmp (F)..41  39  37  37  38  38  39  39  39  40  41  42
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Surface wnd spd.8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  9   7   5   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16  12  11  10  9   8   7   6   4   2   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Visibility (sm).7   6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain continues in the
                    morning, then tapers off in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent early, then 30 percent after noon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Heat index..........54 in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...54.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 9 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
Visibility..........4 increasing to 6.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........97     96     95     94     90     83
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).90     60     60     60     30     30
Temp............44     46     50     54     57     57
RH..............93     93     86     80     75     75
Heat index (F)..42     43     47     51     54     54
Aparnt tmp (F)..42     43     47     51     54     54
Surface wind....SE 5   S 6    SW 8   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9
Surface wnd gst.7      9      12     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    500    700    800    900
Transport wind..SE 2   S 5    SW 9   SW 14  SW 15  SW 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      4      9      10     8
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
Visibility (sm).4      6      6      6      7      7

$$
Forecaster...McGEE
Requested by...Renee McKinnon
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2103165.0/AKQ
.DELDT 02/26/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL Renee.McKinnon@deq.virginia.gov



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