Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 241214
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for LX Ranch RX...Borger Fire Dept
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
614 AM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
North winds in the 15 to 20 mph range with higher gusts this
morning will decrease this afternoon and become more easterly by
mid afternoon. No precipitation is expected at the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 14 mph shifting to the east 6 to
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3100-39600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............32     36     45     50     52     53
RH..............66     54     38     30     27     26
20 ft wind......N 13   N 13   N 13   NE 13  E 12   E 10
20 ft wind gust.16     16     16     16     15     14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7    1.5    2.9    4.1    4.7    5.0
Transp wind dir.N      NE     NE     NE     E      E
Transp wind spd.6      14     15     7      7      9
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
VRate kt-ft/10003      18     38     25     29     40

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph increasing to 16 to 18 mph
                    late in the evening, then decreasing to 6 to 7
                    mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2300-17500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............50     42     37     34     30     27
RH..............30     39     46     54     66     78
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   E 12   E 10   E 9    NE 9
20 ft wind gust.14     14     15     14     13     13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5    0.5    0.5    0.7    0.7    0.5
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.6      10     12     16     16     6
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
VRate kt-ft/100018     4      5      10     10     2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4400 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2700-41500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............25     25     32     37     40     42
RH..............88     88     69     52     44     37
20 ft wind......NE 9   NE 10  NE 12  NE 13  E 12   E 10
20 ft wind gust.13     14     15     16     15     14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    1.1    2.3    3.7    4.3    4.4
Transp wind dir.NE     NE     E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.6      10     14     13     10     9
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
VRate kt-ft/10003      10     26     41     39     34

$$
Forecaster...Goehring
Requested by...Archie Stone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2102881.0/AMA
.DELDT 02/24/21


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