Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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Spot Forecast for Pawlet Prescribed Fire...Vermont Dept. of Forests and Parks
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Fair and dry weather is expected at ignition time of 1800 EDT. Light
south to southeasterly winds of 5 to 10 mph are expected, with brief
gusts to 15 mph possible through sunset. Relative humidities will
remain in the 25 to 30 percent range at ignition time, but recover
substantially overnight as rain arrives late.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after midnight. Rain likely late in the
                    night, then rain late in the night.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3000-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........45     66     78     94     97     98
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     30     60     70
Temp............65     61     57     53     49     46
RH..............23     26     33     41     52     65
20 ft wind......S 8    S 6    S 7    S 7    SE 6   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.15     10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   1800   1500   1400   1300   1100
Transport wind..SW 15  S 9    S 10   S 9    SE 6   SE 6
Haines index....5      5      5      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...JMG
Requested by...Lars Lund
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807655.0/BTV
.EMAIL Lars.Lund@vermont.gov



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