Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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Spot Forecast for Kats Way Fire...NYS Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Burlington VT
503 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1753 EDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies prevail this afternoon, although some haze due
to Canadian wildfire smoke will continue to be possible this
evening. Increased heat and humidity is expected across the
region the next few days, with the hottest conditions expected
tomorrow afternoon. High temperatures tomorrow will warm into the
mid 90s, with minimum relative humidity values near 40 percent.
Winds will generally be light and variable this evening and
overnight, but will become southerly Wednesday morning between 5
to 10 mph with occasional gusts of 15 mph in the afternoon.
Overnight recoveries will be around 80 percent both tonight and
Wednesday night with fairly mild and humid conditions. No
precipitation is expected tonight, but chances for showers
increase tomorrow night and Thursday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Haze early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southwest 3 to 6 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight shifting to the south around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  23  20  22  11  15  10  12  11  9   12  7
Weather cov.....DEF DEF
Weather type....HAZ HAZ
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............86  84  82  79  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  70
RH..............48  53  58  64  69  69  71  71  73  73  76  76
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  N   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   N   NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.8   7   5   5   3   3   5   5   5   6   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   4   4   3   5   5   10  16  19  18  13  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............71  74  77  80  83  85  87  88  90  91  92  91
RH..............73  71  67  62  57  53  50  48  44  41  41  42
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.4 4.9 4.1 3.8 3.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   8   8   9   12  13  13  14  14

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late evening
                    and overnight. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  47  38  52  49  45  52  58  65  65  65  65
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............89  87  85  83  81  80  79  78  77  76  75  75
RH..............45  48  53  55  58  60  62  64  67  71  74  74
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  9   8   7   7   7   7   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9

$$
Forecaster...Kremer
Requested by...Forest Ranger David Russell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517922.4/BTV
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov