Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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238
FNUS73 KDLH 241014
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Laura Lake Prescribed Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
514 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies this morning will dissipate late this
morning, leading to mostly sunny skies this afternoon as a trough
of low pressure quickly moves through the region today. There is a
very small chance for a rain shower with this trough, but no
measurable precipitation is expected. Winds will remain from the
north to northwesterly directions, with gusts between 10 to 20
mph possible at the burn site. Minimum humidities will fall into
the middle 20 percent range, but could fall to the lower 20
percent range if the clouds move out faster than expected.

High pressure will build into the region tonight, leading to clear
skies, light winds, and colder temperatures. Lows overnight will
dip into the middle 20s at the burn site.

To reach us for a forecast update, please call us at 218-729-6572.
This will patch you directly to a forecaster.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny. A chance of
                    sprinkles early in the morning. A slight chance
                    of showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph increasing to
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1100-19400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (111800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  44  48  50  51  51  52  53  54  54
RH..............70  60  51  46  41  39  36  31  27  25
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  15  13  13  15  16  16  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.9 4.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  20  15  20  20  15  20  20  20  20
SDspl kt-ft/100019  48  70  83  83  82  102 104 109 112

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 24.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    16 mph decreasing to around 5 mph with gusts to
                    around 11 mph in the evening, then becoming
                    light late in the evening.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL decreasing to 1900 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (83100-109700 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor to fair (400-17800 knot-ft) in the late
                    evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............53     47     37     31     28     26
RH..............25     34     54     66     75     78
20 ft wind......N 10   N 5    N 5    N 0    N 0    NW 0
20 ft wind gust.16     12     7      4      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....6100   4900   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..N 20   N 20   N 5    N 5    N 0    NW 0
SDspl kt-ft/1000110    83     1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then increasing to around
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400-11200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (71800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............24     32     47     55     58     61
RH..............84     72     45     35     30     24
20 ft wind......SW 0   S 5    SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 10
20 ft wind gust.2             8      8      10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1400   3700   4700   5500   6000
Transport wind..SW 0   SW 5   W 5    W 5    W 10   SW 15
SDspl kt-ft/10000      4      21     29     42     66

$$
Forecaster...Justin
Requested by...Mark Spoden
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807546.0/DLH
.EMAIL mark.spoden@state.mn.us



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