


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
244 FNUS74 KEPZ 141935 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Turkeyfeather...U.S. Forest Service National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 135 PM MDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 15. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Another round of scattered storms is on tap for Tuesday near the fire. Isolated storms will still bring typical hazards, including sudden and erratic gusty winds, frequent lightning, and brief heavy rainfall. Outflows from distant storms could result in sudden wind shifts. Similar conditions will be seen on Wednesday before moisture begins ticking up on Thursday. Localized and heavy rainfall over recently burned areas could result in flash flooding. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Thunderstorms likely and chance of rain showers early in the afternoon. Rain showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......75 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. Min humidity........27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 7 mph shifting to the north around 8 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the west around 12 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (81500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........23 18 18 61 82 82 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 60 80 80 Temp............51 66 77 79 74 69 RH..............75 48 30 27 35 40 20 ft wind......W 2 W 3 W 3 SW 5 W 5 W 5 20 ft wind gust.8 10 10 13 13 13 Mix hgt (ft)....2800 2800 10200 10200 7500 7500 Transport wind..W 7 W 7 N 8 N 8 W 12 W 12 Vrate kt-ft/1K..17 17 82 82 67 67 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .SATURDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...BREITREITER Requested by...Donavan Albert Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2517936.0/EPZ .DELDT 07/14/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL donavan_albert@firenet.gov,2025.turkeyfeather.plans@firenet.gov