Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 191149
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST for Camp Swift Unit 23...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
649 AM CDT Tue Oct 19 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Low level moisture and dewpoints gradually increase today through
Wednesday with south to southeast flow prevailing. Relative humidity will
stay above 50% today and Wednesday. Winds will become breezy from the
south this afternoon and evening with gusts up to 18 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 81.
RH..................89 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 5 to 8
                    mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  35  42  49  47  45  43  42  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  68  73  75  78  79  79  80  79
RH..............89  79  71  66  61  58  56  54  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   9   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.7   9   12  13  14  17  17  17  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   5   7   8   8   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.6 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.1
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   10  13  15  16  15  14  12  9
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 61.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 3 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........58        53        36        52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............78        70        66        63
RH..............61        81        92        100
20 FT wind......SE 7G15   SE 7G12   S 6G12    S 5G9
Eye level wind..SE 4G9    SE 4G7    S 4G7     S 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....1500      600       600       400
Transport wind..SE 7      S 7       S 9       S 7
Haines index....4         4         4         4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 84.
RH..................Min 56 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 3 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the around 4 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........73        54        37        18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............62        67        78        83
RH..............100       100       74        58
20 FT wind......SE 1G2    E 2G5     S 5G9     S 7G10
Eye level wind..SE 1      E 1G3     S 3G5     S 4G6
Mix hgt (ft)....300       900       2400      3400
Transport wind..SE 3      S 2       S 3       S 3
Haines index....4         4         5         5

$$
Forecaster...05
Requested by...Steven Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2119653.1/EWX
.DELDT 10/19/21
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL smoore@tfs.tamu.edu


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