Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 280922
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Enoree C-86...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
422 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will lift northward across the region today. A cold
front will approach the southern Appalachians from the northwest
tonight and then cross the area on Monday. Dry high pressure will
build over from the north as the high center moves from the Great
Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic coast Monday night into Tuesday. Unsettled
weather returns from the west Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Another low pressure system may affect the southeast Friday into
Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog this morning.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph late in the morning and in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (42000 knot-ft) by noon
                    increasing to excellent (80000 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................23 early, increasing to 60 by noon, increasing to 99
                    in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........300.0 ft early, increasing to mostly 4000 to 8000.
Visibility (SM).....3 increasing to 10 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.47.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  82  75  68  50  56  56  57  52
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  62  67  71  74  77  77  78  77
Dewpoint........56  58  60  60  61  60  60  59  59
RH..............95  88  77  70  63  57  56  53  55
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   6   7   9   9   10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.5   8   12  15  17  20  21  20  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.5 4.3 3.9 3.7 2.6
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.18  26  30  31  31  31  29  25  20
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............14  31  51  66  109 89  78  91  57
VRate kt-ft/100010  21  42  65  95  117 97  82  44
Ceiling (hft)...3.0 11  60  60  60  70  80  80  80
Visibility (sm).3   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...960 961 959 957 955 953 950 947 948

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3700 knot-ft) overnight.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................9.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........8000 decreasing to 2500.
Visibility (SM).....8.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.34.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  50  45  48  52  66  60  62  68  75  82  86
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  69  67  66  65  64  62  62  61  61  61  61
Dewpoint........60  59  59  60  60  60  60  60  60  61  61  60
RH..............64  70  75  80  84  88  92  93  98  98  99  99
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.9   7   8   10  13  14  14  14  15  15  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  7   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  12  13
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   4   5   6   6   8   8   5   5
ADI.............8   5   4   4   6   7   7   8   8   9   13  14
VRate kt-ft/100016  4   4   4   6   7   7   8   9   12  16  18
Ceiling (hft)...80  80  70  70  60  60  60  60  60  50  35  25
Visibility (sm).10  10  9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...949 950 948 946 944 943 942 941 939 936 934 934

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the morning
                    becoming west to northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 by midday, then
                    shifting to the northwest 30 to 35 in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (58300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................35 early increasing to 50 to 60 in the afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 35 again late day.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.32 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1000 to 1500 early increasing to 3000 to 4000 late
                    morning and then increasing to 5000 to 10000 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....8, except lower in rain showers.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.35.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  94  95  95  96  96  95  95  90  85  81  84
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  63  62  62  62  62  63  63  64  64  64  62
Dewpoint........60  61  61  60  59  57  56  56  54  53  52  49
RH..............100 91  94  92  88  84  80  77  72  68  64  62
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   8   7   5   5   3   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.16  16  15  15  13  10  9   7   8   10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  20  26  33  38  35  30  24  23  22  21  16
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   1   1   2
ADI.............30  36  47  58  68  64  56  47  44  41  38  26
VRate kt-ft/100027  32  40  49  58  55  50  42  39  36  33  21
Ceiling (hft)...17  8.0 30  45  45  60  60  70  80  80  90  100
Visibility (sm).8   8
Sfc pres (in)...935 935 937 938 940 943 947 950 950 949 949 952

$$
Forecaster...Harry Gerapetritis
Requested by...Todd Bennett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2103259.0/GSP
.DELDT 02/28/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26


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