Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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FNUS71 KGYX 201302
FWSGYX

Spot Forecast for Hudson Farm RX...USFS
National Weather Service Gray ME
902 AM EDT Tue Apr 20 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

Today, a southwest wind increases with gusts to 25-30 mph by late
morning, persisting through the afternoon. A drier air mass will
blow in behind a crossing wave this afternoon. The wave crossing
to the north may provide a brief rain shower this afternoon but
otherwise humidity will lower into the 30s percent. Despite the
drier air coming in moisture recover will be good tonight.
Humidity and precipitation chances increase tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............32.
Max apparent temp...59.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1600-3000 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5400 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to west 24 to
                    29 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (15300-47900 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (93200 knot-ft) late in the
                    morning.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................18 increasing to 88.
Haines Index........3 to 4 very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  71  71  77  77  77  77  77  77
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  51  57  57  57  58  58  58  59
Dewpoint........33  33  34  34  34  34  33  32  31
RH..............62  50  42  42  42  40  39  37  34
Aparnt tmp (F)..41  51  57  57  57  58  58  58  59
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   10  11  12  12  11  11
20 FT wind gust.16  17  18  19  21  19  19  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 3.0 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  18  24  26  25  25  28  29  28
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............18  44  70  78  76  77  86  90  88
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/100015  48  93  104 108 110 121 130 131

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    after midnight.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 28 percent early in the
                    evening.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Dewpoint............30.
Min apparent temp...34.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around 17
                    mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......2100-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 23 mph becoming north 7 to 10 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (28800-73800 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................62 decreasing to 5.
Haines Index........2 to 4 very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........47     47     47     76     76     76
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........NO     NO     NO     NO     NO     NO
CWR.............0      30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     50     45     41     38     37
Dewpoint........30     29     31     31     30     32
RH..............37     44     58     67     73     82
Aparnt tmp (F)..56     47     41     38     36     34
20 ft wind......W 9    W 6    W 6    W 4    W 3    N 3
20 ft wind gust.17     14     8      8      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   400    300    600    1200   1400
Transport wind..W 23   W 10   W 7    W 8    NW 10  N 8
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      5
ADI.............62     7      3      5      5      4
Haines index....3      2      3      4      3      3
VRate kt-ft/100074     3      2      4      11     10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain early in
                    the morning, then rain likely late in the
                    morning. Rain and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................28 percent increasing to 100 percent early in
                    the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 44.
Min apparent temp...34.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5 early in the morning.
ADI.................5 early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........93     93     93     90     90     90
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........NO     NO     NO     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............30     100    100    100    100    100
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............37     39     40     45     54     51
Dewpoint........33     34     36     40     44     45
RH..............85     82     85     82     69     80
Aparnt tmp (F)..34     37     37     43     54     51
20 ft wind......NE 3   E 3    E 4    SE 4   SE 6   S 6
20 ft wind gust.5      6      6      7      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   600    600    700    700    600
Transport wind..NE 7   NE 6   E 5    E 6    SE 9   SE 12
LVORI...........5      M      M      M      M      M
ADI.............3      M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VRate kt-ft/10007      3      3      3      6      6

$$
Forecaster...CASEY
Requested by...Don Tucker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2109770.0/GYX
.DELDT 04/20/21
.EMAIL nhnecc@firenet.gov



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