Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 181425
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for TEST...NWS
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1025 AM EDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move from the Gulf of Mexico to Atlantic through
today and warm southwesterly flow will develop across the
area. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will create an increased
risk for dangerous fire conditions today. A dry cold front will move across
the area Thursday night, followed by high pressure Friday and Saturday. Relative
humidity values will fall below 30 percent behind this cold front through
Saturday. A low pressure system will move across the Gulf Coast states and bring
increasing chances of rain late Sunday into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Max Mixing Hgt......3700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 14
                    to 22 mph late in the morning.
Max Vent Rate.......80385 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............58.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  12  14  16  14  12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  75  78  80  80  80  79
RH..............52  47  43  40  39  39  40
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  11  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  19  20  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  18  15  14  16  20  22
Haines Index....4   4   4   5   5   5   5
VR MPH-FT*1000..38  46  46  50  59  72  80
Stability.......C   C   C   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............47  53  49  36  43  52  58
Aparnt Tmp (F)..71  75  78  80  80  80  80
Sfc pres (in)...996 996 996 990 990 990 990

$$
Forecaster...Morgan
Requested by...CRM
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1806948.0/ILM
.DELDT 04/18/18
.EMAIL carl.r.morgan@noaa.gov



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