Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 010016
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Crest Station Pile burn...CAANF USFS
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
416 PM PST Sun Feb 28 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 PST on March 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The Santa Ana winds will continue to gradually
diminish tonight, with wind direction shifting primarily to
the southeast Monday through Tuesday. The southeast
winds are expected to be rather persistent and gusty most
of the day on Monday and Tuesday, with Tuesday being slightly
stronger. A very dry air mass will remain in place Monday
and Tuesday with minimum humidities around 10 percent, and
poor overnight recovery Monday night. A cold low pressure
system will then bring a chance of showers to the burn
location on Wednesday with cooler temperatures and increasing
southeast winds, especially in the afternoon hours. Rainfall
amounts on Wednesday are expected to be less than one half
inch in the San Gabriels, with snow levels around 5000 feet.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....69.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast 3-5 mph with gusts to 8 mph.
20 foot winds.......Southeast 5-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Ridgetop winds......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL early becoming 5500 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6-12 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....50.
Max humidity........20 percent.
Eye level winds.....East 2-3 mph becoming southeast 2-4 mph
                    with gusts to 5 mph after midnight.
20 foot winds.......East 3-6 mph becoming southeast 4-8 mph
                    with gusts to 10 mph after midnight.
Ridgetop winds......East 4-7 mph becoming southeast 5-10 mph
                    with gusts to 12 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL early becoming 1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5-10 mph becoming southeast 5-10 mph
                    after midnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....71.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast 3-6 mph with gusts to 8 mph.
20 foot winds.......Southeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 17 mph.
Ridgetop winds......Southeast 8-14 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL early becoming 5000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10-15 mph.

Outlook Wednesday through Friday...

Chance of showers on Wednesday with a cooling trend and
increasing southeast winds gusting up to 25 mph in the
afternoon. Drying and warming trend on Thursday and
Friday, with lighter winds.

$$
Forecaster...GOMBERG
Requested by...Richard Hilstein
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2103183.0/LOX
.DELDT 03/01/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL richard.hilstein@usda.gov



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