Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KLUB 171023
FWSLUB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Matador Summer Burns...Fish & Wildlife
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
523 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on September 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds are expected to remain out of the north to northeast today
at speeds of 5-10 mph. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s
which will keep afternoon relative humidity values bottoming out
around 40 percent. A very small chance of isolated rain showers or
thunderstorms will exist late this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph increasing to 5 to
                    9 mph.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........24     24     26     28     27     25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............62     63     71     78     82     83
RH..............92     90     68     52     44     41
20 ft wind......NE 6   N 5    N 7    N 9    NE 9   NE 9
20 ft wind gust.7      6      10     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 1200   6000   8700   8300
Transport wind..NW 5   N 7    N 10   N 13   NE 14  NE 13
Haines index....4      4      4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph shifting to the north 1 to 5
                    mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........22     27     33     40     44     43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............81     75     70     66     63     60
RH..............43     49     59     69     77     89
20 ft wind......NE 8   NE 7   E 6    E 5    E 5    NE 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10     7      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....8300   5200   100    BLW100 100    100
Transport wind..NE 13  E 10   E 5    E 1    NE 2   N 5
Haines index....4      4      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east 5 to 14
                    mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then increasing to 15 to 16 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........43     43     43     43     43     43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     59     68     75     81     83
RH..............100    96     73     55     41     32
20 ft wind......N 3    N 3    NE 5   NE 5   NE 7   E 9
20 ft wind gust.4      4      6      6      10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 200    1000   3600   5900   6800
Transport wind..N 3    N 3    E 6    E 9    NE 13  E 15
Haines index....3      3      2      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...VITALE
Requested by...Bobby Schat
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2012692.0/LUB
.DELDT 09/17/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL bobby.schat@tpwd.texas.gov



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