Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FNUS74 KMAF 191524
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Shackleford fire...TPWD
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1024 AM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
May be a few afternoon thunderstorms... gusty and erratic wind near
any storm.  Light and variable wind early will become southeasterly at
less than 15 mph.  Minimum RH will fall to around 10 percent this afternoon.
Good RH recovery tonight increasing to over 70 percent.  Thunderstorm
chances will increase Sunday with chance for wetting rain.  Wind will
become easterly Sunday with RH minimum remaining higher as moisture
pushed back to the west.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly cloudy(25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100-5300 ft AGL increasing to 14200-14900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 OR moderate to high.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1
Temp............79        87        89
RH..............25        16        13
20 FT wind dir..N         NE        SE
20 FT wind spd..6         8         11
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....4100      8800      14200
Transp wind dir.W         W         SW
Transp wind spd.5         5         8
Haines index....6         5         6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......14100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 6 OR very low to high.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM      10 PM     1 AM      4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............87        79        71        68
RH..............14        30        63        73
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..12        11        9         9
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....14100     1400      600       700
Transp wind dir.SW        E         E         NE
Transp wind spd.6         9         7         7
Haines index....6         5         3         5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......700-2100 ft AGL increasing to 9400-10800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 6 OR very low to high.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40        40        40        40
LAL.............3         3         3         3
Temp............66        69        77        82
RH..............68        63        50        44
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        E         E
20 FT wind spd..9         9         9         15
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....700       2100      5000      10800
Transp wind dir.NE        NE        NE        E
Transp wind spd.5         3         6         8
Haines index....6         6         6         3

$$
Forecaster...Cain
Requested by...BOBBY SCHAT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810274.1/MAF
.DELDT 05/19/18



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