Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 161145
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Massong Prairie Prescribed Burn...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
645 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on September 16.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty southwest to west winds and warm temperatures are expected
this morning. A cold front will then move southeast through the
area, shifting winds to the northwest behind it by midday. This
winds shift may occur an hour sooner than currently forecast.
Confidence is high with temperatures and relative humidity values
today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........68 at ignition...Max 75.
RH..................81 percent at ignition...Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 100-1900 ft
                    AGL increasing to 3200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /25100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /49000 knot-ft/ increasing to good to excellent
                    (38600-65400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  52  54  53  49  43  36  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  71  73  74  75  75  73  71
RH..............81  73  66  62  60  58  59  59
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   8   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.20  20  15  15  15  15  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.5 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.7 3.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  15  16  17  18  16
Haines index....4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100025  31  38  42  49  57  65  39

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (300-14200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  13  10  9   11  15  20  25  27  29  29  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  65  62  59  57  55  53  52  51  49  48  47
RH..............63  65  72  78  80  83  83  83  83  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
Haines index....2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100014  1   1   1   1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......100-1500 ft AGL increasing to 3600-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (300-28200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  24  21  19  17  19  22  25  28  29  29  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  46  48  52  55  57  59  60  62  62  61  60
RH..............86  86  83  74  69  64  60  55  50  50  49  51
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 1.5 3.0 4.4 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 3.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   7   15  27  25  26  28  28  28  28  16

$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Nick Morehouse
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2012641.1/MKX
.EMAIL nicholas.morehouse@wisconsin.gov



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