Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FNUS74 KMOB 281331
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Eglin B70...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
731 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...High pressure breaks down over the local area
allowing a cold front to slip southeast across the I-65 corridor
by around noon on Monday. The front sinks south to the coast and
offshore late Monday. As the front approaches Monday, chances of
wet weather shows a marked increase. Daily dispersion today will
be fair today and Monday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Coastal fog tonight could become
locally dense, reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 33.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 3.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........94 84 76 77
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............72 75 76 76
RH..............81 74 71 71
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..10 11 11 9
20 FT wind gust.14 16 16 13
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 2000 1800 1600
Mix hgt (m).....400 610 550 490
Transp wind dir.S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 21 20 18
Trans wind dir..S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).9 9 9 8
Dispersion idx..24 33 30 28
LVORI...........4 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog early
in the evening. Areas of fog in the late
evening and overnight. Slight chance of showers
through the night.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Around 7.
LVORI...............Around 8.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........82 85 88 89 90 91
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS
Weather type....RN/FG RN/FG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............69 67 67 67 67 66
RH..............90 97 100 97 97 100
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 7 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (ft)....500 300 300 300 300 300
Mix hgt (m).....150 90 90 90 90 90
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE S S S
Transp wind spd.13 6 6 8 7 6
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 3 3 4 3 3
Dispersion idx..10 8 8 7 7 7
LVORI...........6 7 8 8 8 8
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers in the morning, then showers likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph becoming west
around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...823 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest becoming northwest 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest becoming northwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 26 by early afternoon.
LVORI...............Decreasing to around 4.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........93 87 82 69 83 90
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 60 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 2
Temp............66 68 73 76 75 71
RH..............100 97 81 71 74 79
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SW SW WSW W
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 6 8 8
20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 10 11 11
Mix hgt (ft)....200 700 1500 2700 2600 2500
Mix hgt (m).....60 210 460 820 790 760
Transp wind dir.SSW SW SW WSW NW NNW
Transp wind spd.6 10 13 12 12 13
Trans wind dir..SSW SW SW WSW NW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).3 4 6 5 5 6
Dispersion idx..7 10 19 25 22 23
LVORI...........8 7 4 3 4 4
$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Keith Hawk
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2103271.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/28/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL keith.hawk@colostate.edu