Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 281331
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin B70...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
731 AM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure breaks down over the local area
allowing a cold front to slip southeast across the I-65 corridor
by around noon on Monday. The front sinks south to the coast and
offshore late Monday. As the front approaches Monday, chances of
wet weather shows a marked increase. Daily dispersion today will
be fair today and Monday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Coastal fog tonight could become
locally dense, reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 33.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........94     84     76     77
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............72     75     76     76
RH..............81     74     71     71
20 FT wind dir..SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..10     11     11     9
20 FT wind gust.14     16     16     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   2000   1800   1600
Mix hgt (m).....400    610    550    490
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     21     20     18
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      9      9      8
Dispersion idx..24     33     30     28
LVORI...........4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the evening. Areas of fog in the late
                    evening and overnight. Slight chance of showers
                    through the night.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Around 7.
LVORI...............Around 8.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........82     85     88     89     90     91
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....RN/FG  RN/FG  FOG    FOG    FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............69     67     67     67     67     66
RH..............90     97     100    97     97     100
20 FT wind dir..SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      6      6      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.10     7      7      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....500    300    300    300    300    300
Mix hgt (m).....150    90     90     90     90     90
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S      S
Transp wind spd.13     6      6      8      7      6
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).6      3      3      4      3      3
Dispersion idx..10     8      8      7      7      7
LVORI...........6      7      8      8      8      8

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning, then showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph becoming west
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...823 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest becoming northwest 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest becoming northwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 26 by early afternoon.
LVORI...............Decreasing to around 4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........93     87     82     69     83     90
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     30     60     60     60
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2
Temp............66     68     73     76     75     71
RH..............100    97     81     71     74     79
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    SW     SW     WSW    W
20 FT wind spd..5      6      6      6      8      8
20 FT wind gust.6      7      8      10     11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....200    700    1500   2700   2600   2500
Mix hgt (m).....60     210    460    820    790    760
Transp wind dir.SSW    SW     SW     WSW    NW     NNW
Transp wind spd.6      10     13     12     12     13
Trans wind dir..SSW    SW     SW     WSW    NW     NNW
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      6      5      5      6
Dispersion idx..7      10     19     25     22     23
LVORI...........8      7      4      3      4      4

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Keith Hawk
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2103271.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/28/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL keith.hawk@colostate.edu


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