Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 011003
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Tewksbury pile burns...NPS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
403 AM CST Mon Mar 1 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on March 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

For the Tewksbury pile burns, winds will be light out of the
northwest, becoming more variable by the afternoon. Skies will quickly
clear through the morning. With some fresh snowpack, temperatures will
remain in the teens through the day. Humidity levels will be around 85%.
If you have any questions, a forecaster can be reached at 952-631-6671.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........10 at ignition...Max 21.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1700-2500
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Northwest 8 to 17 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /26300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /33000 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Temp............10     13     17     19     19
20 ft wind......N 5    N 6    N 6    NW 5   W 4
20 ft wind gust.11     11     10     7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   2200   2500   2500   2100
Transport wind..N 17   N 17   N 14   NW 10  NW 8
Mixing wind.....N 17   N 17   N 14   NW 10  NW 8
SDspl kt-ft/100026     33     30     23     15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 9.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......300-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 24 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing winds........South 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 24 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1500-14000 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Temp............16        11        12        15
20 FT wind......SW 2G5    S 3G5     S 6G10    S 8G12
Mix hgt (ft)....1200      300       300       300
Transport wind..W 7       S 7       S 14      S 20
Mixing wind.....W 7       S 7       S 14      S 20
SDspl kt-ft/10007         2         3         4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 43.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26
                    mph.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 22 to 30 mph.
Mixing winds........West 22 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (4800-46700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Temp............19        28        39        42
20 FT wind......S 9G14    S 12G19   SW 12G20  SW 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....900       300       1400      2100
Transport wind..S 25      S 22      SW 30     W 25
Mixing wind.....S 25      S 22      SW 30     W 25
SDspl kt-ft/100019        5         37        47

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Scott weyenberg
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2103298.0/MPX
.EMAIL scott_weyenberg@nps.gov


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