Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS71 KOKX 201501
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Rocky Point Demo Forest 2 - Unit 10 RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
1101 AM EDT Tue Apr 20 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
No changes to the forecast as of 11am, we are still expecting
dry conditions today as high pressure builds to the south. SW
winds will increase today and could gust to around 20 mph.
Minimum RH values will range from the lower 30s to the lower
40s. A strong cold front approaches tonight and moves across
on Wednesday. The brings showers and embedded thunderstorms
in the afternoon and early evening. Winds could gust 25 to 30
mph ahead of the front with minimum RH values in the 40s and
50s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................62 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 7 to 13
                    mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 10100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph increasing to 30 to 35
                    mph in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  22  24  26  27  29  31  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  62  66  70  72  71  68  65
RH..............62  54  47  39  37  38  42  46
20 FT wind dir..230 230 220 220 220 220 210 210
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  11  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.11  13  14  16  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 1.2 4.5 8.1 10  8.2 4.7 1.5
Transp wind dir.230 240 240 250 250 240 230 220
Transp wind spd.18  22  26  30  33  35  35  33

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 30 mph shifting to the south 17
                    to 20 mph late in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  32  32  30  29  27  29  31  32  37  42  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............62  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  51  51
RH..............52  57  59  62  64  69  71  74  74  77  77  80
20 FT wind dir..210 210 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 200 200
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
Transp wind dir.210 210 210 210 210 210 210 200 200 200 200 200
Transp wind spd.30  25  22  21  21  20  20  18  18  17  17  18

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Temperature.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 22 to 31 mph increasing to 36 to 44 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  53  57  59  62  65  68  72  75  79  84  88
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  20  20  20  40  40  40  50  50  50
Temp............51  52  53  55  56  58  59  60  60  60  59  58
RH..............80  80  80  77  74  72  69  69  69  72  75  75
20 FT wind dir..190 190 190 190 180 180 180 180 180 180 190 190
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  12  14  15  16  16  16  16  15  15
20 FT wind gust.14  16  17  18  18  20  20  21  21  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.3
Transp wind dir.200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Transp wind spd.22  26  31  36  40  43  44  43  41  41  40  38

$$
Forecaster...BC
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2109711.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/20/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.