Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FNUS74 KSHV 241255
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for C99
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
655 AM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Category Day is 3. We don`t have a specific weather element for
this, but we were able to hand-calculate it based upon the
forecast mixing heights and transport winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........42 at forecast start...Max 73.
RH..................100 percent at forecast start...Min 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 5 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 2200
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 10 meters/second.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  41  52  56  64  68  71  78  81  80  78
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............42  47  53  61  64  68  70  73  73  73  70
RH..............100 96  89  72  73  70  68  64  66  66  73
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    6           7   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  17  20  21  22  21  18  15  13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   8   9   9   10  9   8   7   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
CWR.................20 percent.
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph shifting to the south around
                    15 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the
                    northeast around 17 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 7 meters/second shifting to the south
                    around 7 meters/second after 3 am, then
                    shifting to the northeast around 8
                    meters/second early in the morning.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  75  70  68  72  80  84  85  88  89  86  80
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............68  65  64  64  64  63  63  63  62  62  60  58
RH..............81  90  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6       5   5       4   4   4   4   5       6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   S   NE
Transp wind spd.12  15  12  12  10  8   7   7   12  12  15  17
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   S   NE
Trans spd (m/s).5   7   5   5   4   4   3   3   5   5   7   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 60.
RH..................Min 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 4 to 8 meters/second.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  78  79  80  82  87  89  90  91  91  91  90
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............58  55  54  56  57  58  59  60  60  59  58  57
RH..............90  96  96  90  83  83  80  78  75  78  80  80
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.            7                               6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.18  18  17  14  13  13  13  13  12  10  13  15
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   5   4   6   7

$$
Forecaster...TRAVIS
Requested by...Catahoula RD
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2102891.0/SHV
.DELDT 02/24/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL robert.dintaman@usda.gov


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