Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 161616
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Reiger Rx Burn...Winchell VFD
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1116 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 CDT on September 18.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect light northeast winds through tonight, with minimum
afternoon humidity values around 45 percent. Humidity will
recover to 70 percent by midnight and around 95 percent by
daybreak Thursday. There is a chance for a few showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening, with scattered
showers and thunderstorms possible on Thursday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1700 ft AGL increasing to 5300-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (400-45600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (61000 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............23     21     12     14     13     10
Weather cov.........
Weather type........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp................62     65     73     79     82     84
RH..................100    90     71     56     47     43
20 FT wind dir......N      N      NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......6      7      10     10     10     10
20 FT wind gust.....8      10     14     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)........100    900    2600   4600   5900   6600
Transport wind.....N 6    N 7    NE 9   NE 12  NE 13  NE 14
Haines index........3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/1000....1      6      21     46     65     79

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 14 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2800-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-1900 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (700-44900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).............5      3      4      3      3      5
Weather cov.........
Weather type........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp................83     77     70     67     65     62
RH..................43     52     68     75     81     87
20 FT wind dir......NE     NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......10     8      6      3      3      3
20 FT wind gust.....14     11     8      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)........4100   1900   100    200    200    100
Transport wind.....NE 13  NE 13  E 10   E 9    E 8    E 7
Haines index........3      3      3      3      3      2
SDspl kt-ft/1000....45     21     1      2      1      1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300-400 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning.
Haines Index........2 very low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the morning.

TIME (CDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............5      5      5      0      0      0
Weather cov.........
Weather type........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov............
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp................59     61     69     75     80     83
RH..................96     90     70     52     41     36
20 FT wind dir......NE     NE     E      NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd......3      6      9      10     10     10
20 FT wind gust.....6      8      12     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)........300    M      M      M      M      M
Transport wind.....NE 6   M      M      M      M      M
Haines index........2      M      M      M      M      M
SDspl kt-ft/1000....2      M      M      M      M      M

$$
Forecaster...WINGENROTH
Requested by...Colten Tibbitts
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2012688.0/SJT
.DELDT 09/16/20
.EMAIL tibbitts7820@yahoo.com


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