Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
169 ACUS01 KWNS 141935 SWODY1 SPC AC 141933 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0133 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025 Valid 142000Z - 151200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...20z Update... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Thunderstorm potential remains very limited across the CONUS with only a low chance of a lightning flash or two off the far southern TX coast early Wednesday. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Moore.. 01/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2025/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... Expansive surface high pressure will continue to dominate much of the CONUS through the period, with minimal thunderstorm potential. Weak low-level warm/moist advection is forecast to occur tonight across parts of deep south TX. While modest MUCAPE should eventually develop over this region, limited large-scale ascent suggests thunderstorm chances should remain low. $$