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000
FXUS64 KOHX 260647
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
147 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Light showers continue to make their way through the area early
this morning. This is associated with warm air advection and a
warm front that is sitting to our south. These light showers will
slowly work east as the morning goes on and will push out by the
afternoon. These showers have dropped a few hundreths in spots in
the western part of the area and that trend will continue with
them. Once the showers move out we may get a brief break in the
clouds and highs will warm into the 80s except over the Plateau
where it will stay cooler.

Things are looking quiet for us over the weekend as the upper
level ridge amplifies to our east and an active pattern of short
waves sets up to our west over the Plains. This will bring warming
temperatures with highs in the mid 80s. An increased pressure
gradient over the area will bring breezy southerly winds with wind
gusts 25-35 mph Saturday afternoon. The gradient will loosen up
for Sunday but we still can expected wind gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Upper level ridge will be pushing east on Monday with a short wave
and weak cold front approaching Middle TN. This will bring
showers and thunderstorms Monday and the front will be slow to
work east keeping rain chances into Tuesday. CAPE will be marginal
ahead of this weak front and shear doesn`t look great along with
poor lapse rates, this will keep the severe threat low.
Temperatures will remain in the 80s early next week even behind
the front.

The forecast becomes much more uncertain as we head into the
middle to end of the week as ensembles diverge on solutions. Weak
ridging will likely build in but at some point a short wave trough
looks to push into the Great Lakes pushing a front into our area.
The main uncertainty is with the timing of this front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the TAF period. A few light
showers are moving through the area and working from west to east
through the morning. Cigs BKN to OVC 050-080 becoming SCT in the
afternoon. Light winds overnight picking up by 17z with gusts to
23 knots possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      83  67  84  65 /  30  10  10   0
Clarksville    81  66  84  65 /  30  20  10   0
Crossville     71  59  74  58 /  50  10  10   0
Columbia       84  66  83  64 /  10  10  10   0
Cookeville     75  63  77  62 /  50  10  10   0
Jamestown      72  60  76  60 /  30  10  10   0
Lawrenceburg   83  66  81  64 /  10  10  10   0
Murfreesboro   84  66  83  65 /  30  10  10   0
Waverly        84  66  84  65 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Mueller