247
FXUS64 KOHX 221109
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
609 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 607 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

- Low chance for light rain into Thursday morning.

- Cooler and drier weather persists through the end of the work
  week.

- Rain chances return Saturday and into early next week. Severe
  weather risk is low.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night)
Issued at 937 PM CDT Wed May 21 2025

A quieter stretch of weather is still in store through the
remainder of the work week an upper-level ridge builds just to our
west. This keeps dry, northwest flow overhead through Friday. Our
temperatures remain cool with highs in the 70s each afternoon with
low humidity values. It`ll be beautiful and very nice for the end
of May. As far as rain chances go, there`s only a low chance for
light rain tonight and into Thursday morning, mainly for the
southwest as an embedded shortwave moves through the area. Don`t
anticipate any impacts from this, and any rain totals should only
amount to a few hundredths.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 937 PM CDT Wed May 21 2025

Rain chances return just in time for the weekend as a weak trough
moves through the area Saturday with a stronger system Sunday and
into Monday. Don`t see anything significant at this time for the
weekend. Severe weather chances remain low this weekend with
little forcing available. However, there is a cold front that
approaches on Monday as the stronger trough moves into the Midwest
that could provide better forcing for thunderstorms. So certainly
something to watch as we get closer. Otherwise, be sure to enjoy
these below normal temperatures while they last. Forecast highs
through the weekend remain in the 70s which is remarkable for late
May.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

TAFs are VFR. High pressure is building into Middle Tennessee from
the Great Plains, so the atmosphere is quite stable. Wind will
increase from the WNW by mid-morning, then diminish by nightfall.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      77  54  74  56 /   0   0   0  20
Clarksville    75  52  73  55 /   0   0   0  20
Crossville     70  47  68  48 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       77  54  75  55 /  10  10   0  30
Cookeville     72  49  69  51 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      70  46  68  47 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   76  53  74  55 /  10  10   0  30
Murfreesboro   77  53  75  55 /   0   0   0  20
Waverly        75  51  74  55 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Rose