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000
FXUS64 KOHX 230507
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1207 AM CDT Wed Jun 23 2021

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Is it summer or is it still spring? Honestly, I cannot tell with
how incredible it is outside right now. Surface high pressure will
continue to build in behind our frontal boundary ushering in this
much nicer weather and will help keep things fairly nice for the
next few days. Clear skies coupled with low winds overnight could
create a good environment for some patchy fog development. Expect
for tomorrow and Thursday to be a rinse and repeat of today with
sunny skies, but with temps warming a little more each day. Dew
point temps will remain on the comfortable side tomorrow, but with
southerly flow returning Thursday expect dew points to creep back
to their semi- summertime mugginess.

Into the extended, things look to become unsettled once again,
although temps will remain around to below average. Beginning on
Friday we will begin to become wedged in between a developing
upper-level trough to our northwest and a ridge to our east. This
will lead to ample moisture from the gulf coming into Middle TN
and allow dew points to return their summertime usual. The upper-
level trough will progress very slowly through the weekend, with
a corresponding frontal boundary moving towards our area. Don`t
expect this boundary to reach us until next week, so scattered
showers and t`storms will hang around through much of the weekend
and into the beginning of next week. Plenty of instability will
be in the area, but with weak forcing and little shear not
expecting severe weather at this time. Expect for highs to be
right around average (mid 80s to near 90) Friday through Sunday,
but fall back a few degrees to below normal (low to mid 80s) by
the beginning of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...A surface ridge is situated very close to Middle
Tennessee and won`t budge a great deal over the next 24 hrs.
Expect VFR wx with generally light/calm winds.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Adcock
AVIATION........08