Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FSUS46 KLOX 041057
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
358 AM PDT Sat May 04 2024

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 1700 followed by 6-hour increments until 0500.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 0500 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Sat May 04 2024 through Fri May 10 2024.

&&

                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.0    lgt    0.2    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.0    lgt    0.2    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    0.0    lgt    0.1   |   lgt   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.10-0.20        0.05-0.25
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              10%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1300-1700

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    0.0    lgt    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.05-0.15
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1700-2100

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   lgt
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.03
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 2000-2400

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   0.1
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   0.2
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   lgt
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             0.0    0.0    lgt    0.0   |   lgt   lgt
SAUC1:Saugus                           0.0    0.0    0.0    lgt   |   lgt   lgt
CQT:Downtown LA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.05        0.10-0.20
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              10%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0100-0500

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&

DISCUSSION:

An unseasonably cold storm system will brush the area over the
weekend. There a high-to-definite chance of rain across the area
this afternoon through early Sunday. Rainfall amounts will likely be
around a quarter inch or less, except a quarter to half inch across
the Coast Range of Central California and into the San Gabriel
Mountains. Snow levels will be fairly high initially, but will lower
to between 4000 to 5000 feet over Ventura and Los Angeles Counties
by tonight. However, at that time only light snow amounts will be
possible.

NOTE: This a special issuance due to the threat of rain. Routine
issuances of this product will resume Nov 1. If widespread rain is
expected before then additional forecasts will be sent out.

$$