Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
553 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

......One to Three Inches of Rainfall Possible Tonight through
Saturday Night...

A couple rounds of rainfall are setting up to take us into the
weekend. The first round of showers and embedded thunderstorms
will hit tonight, generally this evening west of the Mississippi
then later tonight in areas farther east. Rain chances should wane
for awhile on Saturday, before the main storm moves east into the
region Saturday afternoon and evening.

Confidence is still fairly high that the first round will bring a
good soaking for all. Rainfall amounts with this first round
should range from one half to three quarters of an inch in our
north and east, to nearly one and a half inches in our south and
west.

The rainfall for later Saturday into Saturday night Saturday
remains more questionable. After a late morning to early
afternoon lull in rain chances, the next round of rainfall is
forecast to hit mainly in the afternoon and evening. It may then
then extend into the overnight hours, especially over western
Kentucky. Another inch or so of rain will be possible through
Saturday night over the Pennyrile region of western Kentucky.
That would make for a 1 to 2 day storm total of an inch or two
inches over much of the area, with 2 to 3 inches possible across
the Pennyrile of western Kentucky. Of course, locally higher
amounts could occur in areas where thunderstorms occur.

This amount of rainfall over a 36 to 48 hour period to begin the
weekend will slow the fall of area river and stream levels,
and may cause flooding of low-land and flood prone areas. Keep in
mind that any thunderstorms that develop could potentially dump
locally heavier amounts that may heighten the flooding risk.

Impacts from the rain and thunderstorm threat through the first
half of the weekend could also be heightened, considering Friday
night and Saturday will also be offering warm conditions which can
serve to lure more people outdoors.

$$



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