Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS53 KPAH 210806
FWFPAH

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Kentucky
National Weather Service Paducah KY
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A very unsettled and wet forecast is shaping for the upcoming week.
There will be a cold front today. Then a warm front will lift through
Monday. There will be another cold front to push through Tuesday night.
These systems will keep a chance of storms in the forecast for most
areas through the week. Finally there will be a third cold front to move
through the region Thursday night. This will result in more seasonable
temperatures through the week with the exception of the warm front
passage Monday and Tuesday.


MOZ098-100-106>108-212115-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
Including the cities of Eminence, Piedmont, Alton, Van Buren,
and Doniphan
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 0700, then chance of showers.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 0800.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....83-90.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......400-10500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.30 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2400. rain showers likely. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......300-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.60 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 1300, then chance of rain showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1500-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 5 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.60 percent.


$$

MOZ076-086-087-212115-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
Including the cities of Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau,
and Jackson
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 0700. chance of thunderstorms after 0800.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3.
Max temperature.....82-90.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......600-9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 0100. chance of rain showers.
LAL.................3 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......500-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.40 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 0700, then rain showers likely until
                    1300, then chance of rain showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.


$$

MOZ109>112-114-212115-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
Including the cities of Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston,
Charleston, and New Madrid
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0800 until
                    1000, then chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 1600, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......500-9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 2400. showers likely. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......300-8800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.60 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....63-69.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.60 percent.


$$

ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-212115-
Jackson-Williamson-Union-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
Including the cities of Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin,
Jonesboro, Vienna, Cairo, and Mound City
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....82-90.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......500-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0100. chance of showers.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......600-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.40 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 0700, then rain showers likely until
                    1300, then chance of rain showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.


$$

ILZ086-087-090-091-094-212115-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
Including the cities of Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Golconda,
Elizabethtown, and Metropolis
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......100-8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to west around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0100. chance of showers.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......400-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.40 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.


$$

ILZ075>078-080>083-212115-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion,
Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro,
and Carmi
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 0700. chance of thunderstorms after 0800.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....83-89.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......500-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph increasing to west around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.10 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0100, then
                    chance of rain showers.
LAL.................3 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......2200-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1500-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 5 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.0 percent.


$$

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-212115-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Including the cities of Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville,
Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Morganfield, Dixon, Henderson,
Owensboro, and Calhoun
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....86-92.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......400-8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to west around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0100. chance of showers.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......400-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.


$$

KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-212115-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
Including the cities of Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton,
Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Greenville, and Elkton
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 1200. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 0800 until 1200, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....84-93.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......100-8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 2400. showers likely. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......200-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.


$$

KYZ001>009-212115-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
Including the cities of Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe,
Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, and Murray
306 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....84-92.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......100-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Chc of wetting rain.20 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 2400. showers likely. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................4 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Humidity recovery...Excellent.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......100-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 0700, then showers likely.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Mixing height.......1400-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 0 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.50 percent.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.

.OUTLOOK


$$



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