Text Products for FWS Issued by AKQ

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS71 KAKQ 220948
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for N. Tera...Md Forest Service
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
548 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds over the area for later today through
Tuesday morning, then slides off the coast by Tuesday evening. A
cold front will swing across the region on Wednesday, with high
pressure building from the eastern Great Lakes eastward to off
the New England coast Thursday through Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (72600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 95 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  43  30  16  13  9   6   7   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  46  50  54  57  58  60  61  62  61
RH..............67  53  46  38  34  34  32  31  31  32
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.3 3.8 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   10  14  16  15  12  9   10  12  13
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............9   32  64  95  90  77  65  73  85  91
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   22  46  72  69  60  51  57  67  73
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to
                    5 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (40700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................59 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  57  52  49  46  45  44  42  41  41  40  38
RH..............36  38  48  54  63  65  68  76  79  79  82  89
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   1   1   3   4   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   7   5   2   2   5   6   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  7   5   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6
ADI.............59  3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..41  15  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 9 mph increasing to 12 to 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (66900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 90 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      4      5      7      10     16
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     41     51     60     64     68
RH..............96     92     61     44     37     31
20 ft wind......SW 2   S 2    SW 4   SW 6   SW 8   S 8
20 ft wind gust.5      3      6      9      14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    3600   5400   6200   5300
Transport wind..SW 2   SW 1   W 5    W 8    SW 9   SW 14
LVORI...........8      7      2      1      1      1
ADI.............1      1      22     47     60     86
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      15     36     47     65
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...GINGRICH
Requested by...Gilbert Wagnet
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411676.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gilbert.wagner@maryland.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
