Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
229
FNUS74 KMOB 061248
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 North...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
748 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
and again tomorrow afternoon at the burn site. Generally good dispersion
levels are anticipated this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. Southerly
transport winds will continue through the forecast period. Relative
humidity levels should remain above critical thresholds through
Tuesday as well.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will continue this morning
and may be locally dense at times before 9 am. Fog should quickly mix out
before redeveloping again late tonight into Tuesday morning. Not expecting
dense fog Tuesday morning as winds should be a bit stronger keeping the
lower atmosphere mixed enough to preclude dense fog.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers through the day. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...884-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....51.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........63 66 69 72
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 2 2
Temp............80 87 88 88
RH..............79 59 54 54
20 FT wind dir..SSE S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 10 13 13
20 FT wind gust.12 17 20 21
Mix hgt (ft)....2900 4300 4100 4000
Mix hgt (m).....880 1310 1250 1220
Transp wind dir.S S S S
Transp wind spd.13 15 17 16
Trans wind dir..S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 7 8 7
Dispersion idx..47 55 48 46
LVORI...........3 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....46 decreasing to 11.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........61 55 55 68 75 74
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............85 77 72 72 70 70
RH..............59 79 97 93 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..10 8 7 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.17 15 13 12 9 8
Mix hgt (ft)....4000 600 600 500 500 500
Mix hgt (m).....1220 180 180 150 150 150
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.17 13 13 12 12 10
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).8 6 6 5 5 4
Dispersion idx..46 11 10 8 8 7
LVORI...........1 4 6 8 8 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 14 mph early in
the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 58.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........73 70 65 55 49 46
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2
Temp............69 74 83 87 89 88
RH..............100 93 72 61 57 57
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 6 9 14 16 15
20 FT wind gust.8 10 16 22 24 24
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1900 2800 3700 3900 3700
Mix hgt (m).....150 580 850 1130 1190 1130
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 13 16 18 18 18
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 6 7 8 8 8
Dispersion idx..7 29 48 57 62 58
LVORI...........8 4 3 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.7/MOB
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov