Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 201030
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
529 AM EST SAT JAN 20 2018


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 20/1200 UTC THRU JAN 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

GREAT BASIN---SOUTHWEST---CENTRAL ROCKIES

HEIGHT FALLS MOVING INTO CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY INTO A CLOSED LOW ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND TOWARD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.  THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WIDESPREAD WINTER STORM
THAT WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST---CENTRAL
ROCKIES DAY 1---EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DAY 2
AND UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES REGION DURING DAY 3.  FOR THE
DAY 1 PERIOD---HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE FROM THE WASATCH/UINTA---THRU
THE MOGOLLON RIM AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FROM COLORADO INTO
MUCH OF WYOMING.  SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER
WEATHER INFORMATION

PACIFIC NORTHWEST

A RELATIVELY WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST EARLY DAY 1---FOLLOWED BY A MUCH STRONGER NORTHEAST
PACIFIC CLOSED LOW PUSHING EASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
CANADIAN/PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATE DAY 1.  GENERALLY LIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER WASHINGTON-OREGON FROM THE CASCADES TO THE
COAST EARLY DAY 1 WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE ORGANIZED FRONTAL
PRECIPITATION AREA AFFECTING THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT
AND APPROACHING THE COASTAL AREAS AS FAR SOUTH AS FAR NORTHWEST
CALIFORNIA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  HEAVIEST PRECIP TOTALS DAY 1
WILL BE OVER THE OLYMPIC RANGE WHERE 2-3"+ TOTALS ARE
POSSIBLE---WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE TOTALS ELSEWHERE IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST FROM THE WASHINGTON-OREGON CASCADES TO THE OREGON-WA
COAST RANGE.

EASTERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

WEAK ONSHORE SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST DAY 1 OFF THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO EASTERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME
AS A WEAK CLOSED LOW INITIALLY OVER NORTHERN LA PUSHES EASTWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF COAST.  GIVEN THE WEAKENING
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT---EXPECT ANY SCATTERED PRECIP FROM EAST TX
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE---WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE ON PLACEMENT DETAILS.

NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QB WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE
MARITIMES DAY 1.  THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
NORTHERN NY STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE SAT/EARLY SUNDAY.
POST FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SUPPORT LIGHT PRECIP/SNOWFALL
TOTALS FROM NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.


DAYS 2/3...


...WEST COAST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AS A WEAKENING CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW CROSSES THE NORTHERN TIP OF
VANCOUVER ISLAND DURING DAY 2...STRONG SHORT WAVE ENERGY IMPACTS
THE WEST COAST FROM NORTHERN CA THROUGH WA. DEEPENING PACIFIC
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER NORTHERN CA RAISES
THE POSSIBILITY FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE
ENERGY CROSSES THE WEST COAST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING DAY 3.
THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SHORT WAVE TIMING...AS
WELL AS PLACEMENT OF THE QPF MAXIMUM OVER NORTHERN CA. WITH THIS
IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
THE STRONGEST SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE CLOSED LOW
APPROACHING NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND CROSSES WA/OR EARLY ON DAY
2. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY...A 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO THE COAST
(GENERALLY BETWEEN 22/12Z AND 22/18Z). THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
UPSLOPE FLOW AND DYNAMIC ASCENT (WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES) IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AXES OF 1.50 TO 2.50 INCHES OF QPF
OVER THE OLYMPIC RANGE AND CASCADES IN WA. LESSER AMOUNTS
(GENERALLY BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES) WERE PLACED OVER THE OR
COASTAL RANGE. LOWERING SNOW LEVELS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FLASH
FLOOD THREAT HERE ON DAY 2.

FURTHER SOUTH...A 30/40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS 1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER TO THE NORTHERN CA
COAST...WITH THE BEST UPSLOPE BETWEEN CAPE MENDOCINO AND POINT
ARENAS. THERE IS NOW A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 2.50/3.50 INCHES OF
QPF HERE (WITH THE 00Z CMC CONTINUING TO SHOW 4.00+ INCHES OF QPF
HERE). WHILE THE 00Z CMC AND GFS AMOUNTS APPEAR TOO HIGH (DUE TO
THE TRANSITORY NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW)...WPC QPF AMOUNTS
NEAR 2.75 INCHES WERE PLACED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BASED ON THE
STRONG MODEL SIGNAL...A MARGINAL RISK WAS PLACED OVER A PORTION OF
THE NORTHERN CA COAST FOR DAY 2.

FINALLY...AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY REACHES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
LATE...THE PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME IS NOT AS ROBUST AS FURTHER
WEST. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND DYNAMIC LIFT
SHOULD PRODUCE LOCAL 0.40 INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE BLUE MOUNTAINS
IN OR...AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS IN ID.

DAY 3...
THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW WEAKENS AND DROPS SOUTH OF NORTHERN CA DURING
DAY 2. THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE STRIPES OF 0.25/0.50 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE COASTAL
RANGE...AS WELL AS THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE. FURTHER EAST...AS THE
SHORT WAVE ENERGY EXITS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
AID IN PRODUCING 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTHERN
BITTERROOTS IN ID...AS WELL AS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN
MT...AND THE GRAND TETONS IN WY,

ADDITIONAL WEAKER SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST EARLY ON DAY 2. THE INFLOW IS WEAKER THAN DAY 2...BUT
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES...COMBINED WITH THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT...COULD PRODUCE 0.50/1.00 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS THE NORTHERN WA CASCADES.

HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY ON DAY 2
EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST. UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOCUSES MOISTURE ON
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...RESULTING IN QPF ACROSS MUCH OF CO. THERE WAS
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER SOUTHEAST CO (IN THE PRESENCE OF
THE EXITING MID LEVEL LOW) TRACKS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING
THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE LOW LEVEL EAST NORTHEAST FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE SYSTEM FOCUSES MOISTURE (AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FLIRT WITH 0.50 INCHES OVER KS/NE) OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST WY AND CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CO.
THE BEST UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE FRONT RANGE IN
CO...WHERE A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.


...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY ON DAY 2
TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY DURING DAY
2...REACHING THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY THE END OF DAY 3. SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL SYSTEM CROSSES THE SAME
AREA...AS ITS WARM FRONT EXTENDS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON DAY 3. THE
00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS SOLUTION OF BEING SUPPRESSED WITH
THE SURFACE LOW AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF ITS QPF ACROSS THE UPPER
VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...MAINLY ON DAY 3. WITH THIS IN
MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MORE CLOSELY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
GFS/NAM/UKMET.

DAY 2...
AS THE MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS TRACK FROM THE FOUR CORNER
REGION TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 2...THERE IS A MULTI MODEL
SIGNAL FOR A MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED BAND TO FORM FROM
NORTH CENTRAL NE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SD INTO NORTHWEST IA AND
SOUTHERN MI. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE 00Z ECMWF REMAINS
SUPPRESSED AND SLOWER WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE MID LEVEL
LIFT...AND THE 00Z GFS WAS USED A TEMPLATE FOR THE PLACEMENT OF
THE BEST LIFT. AN AXIS OF 0.35 TO 0.65 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED
OVER THIS AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST NE AND
SOUTHEAST SD.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED ELEVATED INSTABILITY EXTENDING OVER CENTRAL
NE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.00 INCHES OF
QPF...NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. ADDITIONALLY...LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SURFACE LOW
ACROSS EASTERN IA SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR LOCAL 0.75 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS.

DAY 3...
THE MID LEVEL LOW MOVES FROM SOUTHEAST NE TO SOUTHERN MI DURING
DAY 3. THE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED BANDING IS EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN MN ACROSS MUCH OF WI INTO THE LP OF MI.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITHIN THIS
BAND...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS NORTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW. THERE WAS A GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS (EXCEPT FOR THE 00Z
ECMWF...WHICH REMAINS SUPPRESSED WITH THE BEST MID LEVEL FORCING)
FOR AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE ABOVEMENTIONED
LOCATIONS...WITH LOCAL 1.50 INCH AMOUNTS NEAR THE WARM FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN MI.

LIFT ALONG THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS QUEBEC INTO NORTHERN NY
INTO NEW ENGLAND IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE QPF AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25
AND 0.50 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN NY STATE.

SNOW AND ICE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION DURING DAYS 2 AND 3.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS
FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS INTO THE OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM LOW PRESSURE TRACKING FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR DEEP
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...FEEDING CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES HEAVY
TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING DAY 2 ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS SLOWER WITH THE FRONT THAT THE
CONSENSUS...AND THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MORE CLOSELY ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z GFS/NAM/UKMET.

DAY 2...
A CLOSED MID LEVEL TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MID MS
VALLEY DURING DAY 2...PUSHING ALONG A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ALONG THE SAME TRACK. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE
SURFACE LOW CROSSES EAST TX INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...AND
THE FRONT BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR DEEPENING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. AHEAD OF THE FRONT (MAINLY DURING THE
22/00Z TO 22/06Z TIME FRAME)...A 50 /60 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS BETWEEN
TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS EAST TX
AND AR INTO FAR SOUTHEAST MO. MODEL SOUNDINGS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME SHOWED SBCAPE VALUES OF 250/500 J/KG...WHICH SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW LOW TOPPED CONVECTION TO INITIATE IN THE
MOISTURE PLUME.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED STRONG SHEAR ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE
MID LEVEL LOW...AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT. WHILE THE MODEL CONSENSUS HERE
PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 1.25/1.50 INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING FROM FAR
NORTHEAST TX INTO WESTERN AR...THE 00Z ECMWF/NAM/UKMET SHOWED
AREAS OF 2.00+ INCHES OF QPF ON THIS AXIS. IN ADDITION...850-300
MB MEAN WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE PROPAGATION
VECTORS...OPENING A WINDOW FOR TRAINING BEFORE THE COLD FRONT
EXITS FOR THE TN VALLEY. GIVEN THIS SETUP...THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES...ESPECIALLY AFTER
22/00Z...SO A MARGINAL RISK WAS PLACED OVER NORTHEAST TX ACROSS
WESTERN AR ON DAY 2.

DAY 3...
AS THE MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS LINE UP DURING DAY 3...THE
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. WHILE THE STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...THE GULF OF MEXICO PLUME IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST OVER THE
TN AND OH VALLEYS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE OH/TN VALLEYS INTO THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. STRIPES OF
0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WERE PLACED OVER TN/KY INTO EASTERN
OH...AS WELL AS THE TERRAIN OF WESTERN VA INTO EASTERN PA. BY THIS
TIME...THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE MOVING STEADILY ENOUGH TO MITIGATE
MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT DURING DAY 3.


ORAVEC/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 494611 499620 503628 510647 514657 517669 519681 520686
      521691 522705 522712 521717 518724 514731 511734 508740
      503745 498750 495753 491755 488755 484751 482748 482743
      487737 489734 490729 486723 483722 479723 464720 449729
      442728 440721 439711 443708 445705 448704 451701 456695
      468690 472696 474692 473685 471678 469673 464666 461657
      457650 455643 456637 459624
 0.01 535215 537207 538199 537193 536189 532181 528174 526169
      523165 517160 506150 504148 505153 509161 511165 510167
      501163 497162 493160 488154 488150 492150 495149 495145
      490136 484130 481127 478127 474125 471125 469130 470135
      472139 476141 479143 479146 478149 475150 473148 470144
      466142 459143 458145 457150 460154 461158 464161 466165
      469169 472171 477172 483177 490183 494185 496188 502194
      507200 518214 522220 525222 528223 533219 535215
 0.01 520266 522259 522251 520241 517232 513224 506216 501211
      494206 485204 471209 468210 463210 456213 442217 427222
      423222 423228 424233 422234 417233 413235 407239 405243
      405250 409258 414263 423266 434269 437269 442271 444274
      445279 447288 451298 454306 459314 461316 464316 468315
      471312 477307 483302 485300 487299 489301 492303 496301
      502296 507292 512284 517274 520266
 0.01 463178 461175 458177 456174 455171 451171 452176 452180
      448180 450185 451185 455184 459182 462178 463178
 0.01 454752 453742 452738 451738 444739 439741 432744 430750
      432757 435763 438765 443762 447757 452753 454752
 0.01 450097 449094 447092 444093 440091 438088 438083 441082
      445082 448082 449080 449073 449062 448053 448041 447030
      447022 447011 448003 448997 450993 450983 450979 452976
      451973 447971 445971 442974 438978 434984 426994 422000
      418005 409017 404019 398023 394026 392034 388040 383044
      357053 352054 346055 337055 329053 324054 321056 326059
      333061 337066 339068 338072 333074 320076 316077 314079
      309086 305091 305100 304104 306107 309112 314116 320115
      327115 335118 339122 343128 350139 354143 358149 361154
      364158 367157 373155 376154 380154 388155 393154 395153
      397149 399141 400136 403133 407127 416118 426111 437105
      442103 445101 450097
 0.01 419919 418913 417905 414902 412903 410905 408910 406912
      403912 400915 396920 394924 391927 389929 389933 391938
      394942 398943 403946 405950 409952 411947 414935 417929
      418924 419919
 0.01 401797 400795 396795 391796 381802 380804 380808 382813
      384827 380839 378844 379852 379857 378860 378868 372877
      368882 367887 365900 366909 371909 375907 376904 375900
      375896 376891 376885 377881 379880 383882 391886 397876
      398871 398862 397846 395814 399805 401797
 0.01 368115 367110 364108 361105 357102 352100 349098 348103
      350108 353110 355113 360114 365115 368115
 0.01 357187 355184 353183 352183 351184 350185 349185 347187
      347189 346191 346194 348194 349192 349190 351188 353187
      355187 357187 357187
 0.01 359930 359925 356919 354916 350916 343920 334921 323918
      317915 314911 313905 313894 313888 310885 307882 303880
      297881 294889 295893 295896 292897 288902 284920 270953
      268956 263958 257962 255965 257968 266968 275964 279964
      282964 285966 290964 292962 293964 292968 292975 293980
      293986 295989 297989 299986 300975 304965 309960 319948
      323945 327944 336946 342951 343951 346948 350942 354938
      359930
 0.01 331171 331166 328163 324161 320159 317157 311156 308155
      307160 310163 314166 317169 322170 327172 330171 331171
 0.01 294801 294797 292795 290794 288793 284792 282791 280792
      278794 279797 281800 283802 285803 287804 289804 292802
      294801
 0.01 254798 251795 248797 246801 245806 243811 243815 244819
      247817 248812 250808 251804 253800 254798
 0.25 517267 518262 518256 516249 513236 506223 503218 499214
      486210 480210 474212 469214 463215 458217 456219 457222
      460225 465226 467227 465228 455232 450234 446239 444243
      447245 453247 454251 452254 452262 455268 458272 460276
      461280 461285 461293 464297 471297 475294 479291 484289
      496290 501289 505287 510282 513277 517267
 0.25 486228 486226 484225 482227 483229 485228 486228
 0.25 471223 471222 469223 468225 468226 470225 471223
 0.25 438071 440057 440044 440038 438034 434028 430026 426028
      420033 415039 412047 411054 409059 404063 401066 398068
      394067 389067 387071 384072 379066 372062 367062 364064
      361067 363072 367078 372084 374087 376089 378088 382086
      384088 384090 384092 388094 397106 396110 392113 386116
      379119 373123 370126 371132 372142 375145 380144 386142
      388138 390132 392122 395119 399118 406117 410116 412112
      417105 420097 423094 427094 430094 432090 433081 438071
 0.25 368124 368122 366121 365120 363119 361120 360121 361121
      363122 364123 365124 366124 368124
 0.25 358122 357118 354115 348110 344105 344100 340092 337089
      335085 332083 331088 334091 335095 335102 334104 336108
      338112 345118 352123 356124 358122
 0.50 516264 516257 514251 512242 502222 499217 496215 492217
      491220 492228 493233 492238 489236 482237 480232 479229
      477228 465240 469245 470248 469254 467257 465266 465272
      468276 472279 489282 495285 500285 504284 506282 512272
      516264
 0.50 431071 432066 432061 432057 431054 430051 427050 425051
      422053 422058 421062 421067 422072 423074 424077 426077
      428075 430073 431071
 0.50 411103 412101 411099 411096 411094 410091 409089 407090
      406091 406093 406095 406098 406100 405102 406104 406105
      407106 409107 410105 411104 411103
 0.50 378078 378076 379074 378072 378071 376069 375066 373065
      371064 369066 370068 371069 371071 372073 373073 373075
      374077 374078 375080 376080 377079 378078
 0.50 352119 353117 352117 351115 350115 349113 347113 346114
      347115 348116 349117 350118 352119 352119
 0.50 344109 343107 343106 341107 342109 344110 344109
 0.50 340100 340098 340097 339098 339100 339102 340100
 1.00 506276 508264 509258 509251 508242 504235 500228 496222
      494224 494227 495232 498240 499245 497248 492243 488239
      482241 478233 475232 473234 473241 475244 478251 479259
      483266 495275 499279 502280 506276
 1.50 502275 503267 501261 498255 494249 491244 488242 486243
      485248 485253 487259 490264 495269 499273 502275
 1.50 503238 502238 501235 500232 499229 497227 496229 496231
      497232 497234 498235 499237 501239 502240 503238
 1.50 479241 479238 479237 478236 477235 476234 475234 474237
      475240 476241 478242 479241
 2.00 500269 500266 499261 498258 497255 495252 494250 492248
      490246 487249 488254 489257 491260 492262 493265 496267
      498269 500269
 3.00 497263 497260 496258 496257 495255 494254 494253 492251
      490252 491255 491256 492258 493259 494261 494262 495263
      497263

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 405307 412307 416306 421306 427304 438302 449301 459298
      469297 473298 474296 481298 487301 491300 496299 499297
      502297 510290 514286 517281 518277 533233 534224 534219
      537215 538209 539201 538194 536182 532173 527165 522157
      514152 509149 506147 502144 498143 493142 489139 479137
      475138 472135 463136 454137 448142 437140 428141 423140
      419142 410145 398155 391162 388169 391174 395175 402181
      411186 413188 412190 410194 407198 403198 395195 389193
      385191 375189 372191 372196 372202 370208 362212 359215
      358221 360242 362254 361260 361265 360273 362278 364289
 0.01 489767 489760 487756 486750 484745 481742 479738 477732
      477727 475723 472723 467724 462724 462715 464705 465697
      466693 465687 460683 457686 455690 452693 451699 450703
      449710 447720 446729 446743 446748 448753 450766 451777
      452783 452786 450789 445783 441776 435770 428767 419768
      409770 403774 386802 385806 386813 387827 386833 383835
      381838 379839 374846 372849 372854 373857 375863 376867
      372870 358876 343881 327887 323889 318890 309894 291899
      286902 279906 273910 270915 262930 261934 261940 261951
      261962 263966 265969 288987 290993 289997 291002 295006
      300004 304998 304994 307990 313986 318986 321984 325984
      328982 341974 353968 360963 364958 365955 368954 371954
      377954 379955 380958 382962 382969 381976 380981 374997
      373008 370016 365021 363025 361029 360040 359047 357050
      350057 346066 351068 353072 350075 344079 343083 342089
      349094 352097 356098 366099 368098 369095 360084 363082
      366084 373089 378096 379099 382098 386096 389096 392098
      393101 391104 388106 382108 379109 378113 377118 375125
      375129 376130 403116 408113 413108 419088 424081 429075
      432071 434067 438058 444041 445037 445029 445025 445019
      447008 448002 450995 452981 457962 460953 464945 467935
      471927 474917 474901 472890 471885 470881 469869 468866
      467858 465854 465849 461837 458815 460814 461816 463820
      467825 470826 474823 475836 479846 482847 483844 486835
      489826 485781 489767
 0.01 476177 475175 473175 472174 470174 469175 470177 471177
      473177 475178 476177
 0.01 314768 313762 313758 311754 309753 305757 302770 295777
      290782 288787 285799 284802 287803 292805 298805 303803
      310792 312779 314775 314768
 0.01 269769 268760 266754 262749 255748 243747 236747 229748
      225749 224751 220756 214765 211771 210776 211784 213791
      217803 219812 220819 221828 220834 220842 220851 222857
      223861 225863 227864 231864 235862 238856 239850 242845
      246841 253816 255813 255809 258803 264794 266787 265779
      268774 269769
 0.25 530194 529191 526188 525179 522174 516170 509167 503166
      498164 492161 485158 480158 476157 474159 478164 482171
      484173 484180 483186 482190 479195 474201 470205 459208
      447212 435214 423215 410211 396208 389205 386205 384207
      374234 375237 374242 373248 374252 377265 378282 380287
      384290 390288 396290 401291 404292 406291 411288 415282
      418276 422272 427268 433265 444261 450257 454255 459254
      467255 475258 482262 489273 494280 499283 505284 510281
      514276 518269 521259 522248 522237 520230 514216 511210
      509201 506194 507192 510192 516195 522196 527198 530194
 0.25 471158 472156 470154 469153 469152 467150 466149 464148
      463149 462149 461151 460153 462155 463156 464156 465157
      467157 468157 470158 471158
 0.25 456177 458172 457168 455165 454163 453160 451157 450155
      448156 447160 449162 450166 449170 448175 448180 450181
      452181 455179 456177
 0.25 450966 451963 451959 449954 448943 447932 445921 442910
      438902 435897 433893 431883 426874 424866 420855 417847
      413845 410848 405856 394867 383880 377884 369887 361890
      351895 335900 320906 313909 307914 300919 297922 294927
      290943 296960 299968 300972 302975 308976 312975 321972
      334964 347955 352950 359945 372933 380929 387927 391926
      395927 402931 408934 410939 409946 409952 407957 402964
      400968 399973 394980 387997 384006 386017 377032 380034
      384033 388033 391036 388057 386058 388061 388067 392070
      396069 399066 402061 404056 410052 418051 422048 424044
      428037 431030 435020 443002 446991 447981 448971 450966
 0.25 382078 381076 381074 381072 380069 378069 377069 376069
      375071 376073 376074 377076 377077 378078 379080 379081
      380081 381080 382078
 0.25 299794 297792 295793 294794 294796 294797 295797 297797
      298796 299794 299794
 0.25 254789 254781 253776 253769 250763 244763 239766 235770
      233776 230787 228793 229801 232814 233822 234824 237825
      241821 242815 246811 248805 253794 254789
 0.50 515267 518258 518250 517238 515232 513226 508219 502210
      498208 494205 491201 486199 482201 480203 473210 465212
      449217 440219 432223 429225 425225 419223 415220 410218
      407215 397211 393209 388208 386219 381226 379229 380234
      384245 385249 388253 389265 389270 389274 391275 395274
      401275 406275 409273 417269 425266 431261 439257 447254
      455251 463250 473252 482255 490262 495270 500274 504273
      511271 515267
 0.50 438995 439983 438971 436964 434959 431958 419965 414970
      410975 405982 400986 392998 390002 390006 392014 397019
      402020 406020 413017 418015 430007 436002 438995
 0.50 431921 431913 429909 422904 422898 423891 423886 423881
      419870 417866 414862 409864 405868 400874 394881 387887
      379891 367893 361894 357896 350900 333908 325914 319920
      312926 306933 304935 304938 306942 306948 310950 312952
      308956 308962 310966 316971 320970 324967 337956 352945
      359938 365932 370923 374921 379920 388916 394909 404910
      412910 417919 423926 426927 430926 431921
 0.50 405219 404219 403218 401217 399218 397220 398222 399222
      400222 402221 402220 404219 405219
 0.50 248792 245788 243785 243781 240780 239781 236787 234792
      233798 233806 234812 238812 240809 242805 244801 247794
      248792
 1.00 511263 513256 513249 511239 508230 504223 500215 491213
      486211 482211 481216 483220 490225 493233 494239 493241
      486236 479231 473231 468236 467239 469242 473244 480246
      488252 494257 497260 499260 503257 507260 511263
 1.00 473219 473218 471216 470215 469215 468215 466215 465215
      463216 461217 460218 459219 458219 459220 460221 462222
      464222 465223 467223 469222 471222 472221 473220 473219
 1.00 458239 456237 455237 453237 452237 451238 449238 448239
      449241 451241 452241 454241 456241 458239
 1.00 426251 421243 419239 416236 411233 406231 397229 392226
      387225 384228 384232 387236 388240 396247 399249 405251
      410252 413252 416254 421255 426251
 1.00 406003 408000 408998 406996 405995 403994 401994 400995
      399996 399998 398000 399002 399003 400005 401005 403005
      404004 406003 406003
 1.00 375905 374901 371900 368903 366905 364906 362908 359910
      357911 354912 357912 360912 364912 368912 369911 373910
      374907 375905
 1.00 358930 353927 349930 345933 340936 336939 332943 332946
      334948 339946 345943 349941 353936 356932 358930
 1.00 350914 350913 348913 346914 344915 346916 348915 350915
      350914
 1.00 345917 344915 342916 342917 344917 345917
 1.50 508253 508245 507237 505231 502225 500219 497217 494216
      488216 488219 490221 493228 496234 498239 500246 504250
      508253
 1.50 492248 491245 488242 485241 483240 481236 479235 476233
      473234 472239 475242 478243 481243 485245 486247 489249
      492248
 1.50 412243 411237 407235 402233 397232 392230 389229 388230
      387233 389236 392240 395242 400245 405246 409245 412243
 2.00 504239 503236 502233 501230 500227 498224 497221 495220
      495225 495228 498232 499235 501237 502239 504239
 2.00 478241 478240 478238 477237 475236 474237 475239 476240
      477240 478241 478241
 2.00 408241 407239 407238 405236 403235 402235 400234 398234
      397233 395234 393234 391234 391237 392238 394239 394240
      395241 397241 399242 400243 402243 404243 406243 408241

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 540205 539197 538191 535185 532181 523172 516163 486128
      480125 474125 469127 467132 466137 465139 463142 462138
      460123 466114 462102 455095 450090 447089 444089 431087
      426086 424089 423093 425100 421106 413115 411119 414123
      417128 417132 415134 412134 411141 412146 412150 410159
      411173 412175 416175 420173 421172 422174 423176 426182
      431185 433191 435193 438194 441192 443186 444177 445172
      447169 452167 461163 464163 466165 469169 474172 480174
      492180 499188 507196 514205 522213 527217 533219 540205
 0.01 523264 523259 522256 521249 516237 510224 503212 503207
      502204 499200 493198 487197 466207 457210 452212 446212
      442215 437218 429211 422209 421205 423203 422197 416196
      411195 407199 406203 403204 396201 377188 366182 366188
      370193 373200 376203 379209 377212 369212 365216 359219
      355220 372235 371245 373252 377263 379270 382274 387278
      393280 399279 403274 407270 410263 413257 414254 418254
      429253 436255 439254 442254 452251 462259 470266 490284
      496287 500291 511294
 0.01 502780 500759 499740 498730 497725 495722 494712 492706
      487691 486686 484684 480679 472671 468666 462663 452660
      448660 443663 424679 416688 414690 412694 410700 409713
      409719 408723 404728 384742 377750 373754 369758 351776
      342785 340787 337788 333789 331787 323779 315772 310770
      302772 294778 278797 273801 267803 262805 254807 247808
      243809 242811 240815 242821 242829 238832 233835 231839
      228846 228854 229872 233884 235891 238896 242898 249897
      261896 267896 271898 271901 269907 269916 273928 274934
      277938 281941 290941 296939 301935 311928 317927 321924
      340912 352908 368905 375905 381903 381907 378916 379931
      380934 380937 383942 382947 381949 380955 380973 385985
      387990 390995 394998 398004 407006 413005 424999 431992
      440985 447976 450971 453964 459951 463946 466940 472928
      475923 478917 481903 484888 486881 489876 492861 494858
      494852 496845 499829 502821 501811 502780
 0.01 453228 449227 446227 440227 437226 436223 435219 433220
      432224 430227 431231 434232 438233 443232 447232 451230
      453228
 0.01 421065 420062 416061 409057 407056 402055 400056 398060
      396063 395069 397078 404080 409084 413085 416083 415076
      416070 419067 421065
 0.01 408114 409112 409110 409108 409105 407105 405107 405109
      406112 406114 408115 408114
 0.25 516275 518266 517259 513247 509235 503223 498213 494209
      488207 479208 469212 464213 460215 457221 460224 466225
      471224 474222 479221 489224 494228 497234 501246 502249
      500252 496249 491245 488244 485246 485249 488254 495264
      498270 499274 500275 510278 514277 516275
 0.25 526190 524184 521180 517174 514171 509166 506164 503164
      499168 500175 503179 508183 512187 517191 523193 525193
      526190
 0.25 481239 481236 479236 478235 477236 476236 474237 475239
      477239 478241 480241 481239
 0.25 485161 483159 483158 482157 480156 479156 477156 475156
      474156 473156 472157 471158 471160 471161 473163 474164
      476165 478165 479165 481165 483164 484164 485163 485161
 0.25 486141 486139 485137 484136 482137 481137 482139 484140
      484141 485141 486141
 0.25 481791 475738 473725 470709 470702 468696 464694 459695
      455697 451701 447708 446713 448717 448722 446727 444730
      439732 434733 429735 423739 419744 415746 407752 401756
      387767 374778 363794 353806 348812 341818 338821 336824
      336836 333847 333854 325870 312881 310884 313887 317894
      317896 315898 311901 305907 302910 301916 304919 309918
      322909 331905 341902 356896 364892 371887 377882 385879
      393880 399880 403882 409887 414896 418905 421913 422919
      423925 424937 422951 420964 420971 422975 426978 429979
      433978 436975 441968 451954 460935 464927 467917 471907
      473897 478877 477865 477858 478852 478838 477830 478822
      481808 481797 481791
 0.25 465239 465236 462234 459233 455233 453234 451235 449236
      448241 450243 454243 455243 459242 461243 464241 465239
 0.25 442108 440106 439106 437107 436107 435109 435110 437110
      438110 439110 440109 442108
 0.25 416222 416220 414217 412216 409216 407217 408221 408225
      409227 406229 404230 404233 406234 409235 411234 413232
      415229 416225 416222
 0.25 398232 397230 396229 396228 394226 393225 391224 389223
      388222 386222 384222 382222 381222 380224 382226 383227
      383228 385228 386230 388231 390231 391232 393232 395232
      397232 398232
 0.25 395210 394207 392206 390204 387202 385200 382198 379197
      378201 380203 381205 384207 386209 389210 393211 395210
 0.25 291833 290828 287823 287820 284817 272816 269817 267822
      261829 258834 255838 253841 252845 254848 258850 263850
      272846 281841 290835 291833
 0.25 291879 290875 289872 283871 275872 270872 263872 257873
      253877 253881 255883 261884 269883 276883 283882 289881
      291879
 0.50 511265 511263 511260 509261 509262 507264 505265 504268
      505269 506269 508267 509267 510266 511265
 0.50 496218 494216 492212 491211 488210 486210 482211 481212
      478213 480216 482217 485217 487218 490218 493219 496218
 0.50 469220 468218 466218 464219 462220 461220 462221 464222
      465222 467222 469220 469220
 0.50 472801 472792 471783 470768 467754 464751 459749 462744
      462741 460739 455743 449745 447749 442751 438752 436749
      434742 431742 427747 425751 422754 412754 405761 399770
      397776 397782 401783 406780 412774 420766 422763 426765
      431774 433778 434783 433786 430789 423790 418792 413795
      409798 408804 402808 398810 395810 393812 391815 392819
      388827 379833 372838 363844 358846 356844 357841 359838
      359830 357823 352820 347822 344826 342832 345837 349847
      352851 353855 351857 347861 348864 339868 336872 336876
      341876 341879 337882 334885 332887 333891 334896 339897
      350893 358890 367885 371880 374877 376871 372868 369864
      373862 378859 381856 388850 401835 404830 403827 406825
      411822 418822 420829 418835 413844 408854 403862 404866
      408869 411871 415874 420885 422891 424896 426903 426908
      428912 433916 434922 433930 432943 431954 433961 437962
      444954 448951 451946 456934 459929 460923 462910 464897
      465891 466882 465874 464866 461854 458839 460827 467816
      470808 472801
 0.50 401804 401803 399802 397803 396802 395803 394805 394806
      393808 394808 396808 398807 399805 401804 401804
 0.50 387205 385205 387205 387205
 0.50 391789 390787 387785 383786 378791 375795 372799 368804
      368808 371809 378807 381805 386799 389795 391789
 0.50 278826 278825 276825 275826 276827 278826 278826
 1.00 439894 440892 440890 439887 439886 439887 437890 438892
      437893 437895 437896 439894 439894
 1.00 427850 427847 425843 423843 421844 419846 418851 418853
      417856 417861 418863 420865 423867 425865 426862 427857
      427853 427850

$$





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