Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162047
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
346 PM EST THU NOV 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 17/0000 UTC THRU NOV 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...WESTERN U.S...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE
INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST. THE 500 MB REFLECTION IS NOT
OVERLY ANOMALOUS...BUT THE UPPER JET STRUCTURE IS SEASONABLY
STRONG...WITH SOME CONFLUENT PHASING OF THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN
STREAMS INTO A 150 KNOT JET CROSSING THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE SYSTEM HAD TAPPED INTO A SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE
FEED...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 0.50 INCHES INTO THE
COLORADO ROCKIES AND PERHAPS 0.60 TO 0.70 OVER UTAH WILL FAIRLY
ANOMALOUS...AT 2.0 TO 3.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM CLIMATOLOGY.
THIS...COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE LARGE SCALE
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL AND
HIGH-ELEVATION HEAVY SNOWFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE
IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRAS BACK ACROSS CALIFORNIA...MAINLY THROUGH
EVENING...BEFORE EMPHASIS SHIFTS MORE SOLIDLY TO THE INFLECTION /
ENHANCED MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN AND CENTRAL TO NORTHERN ROCKIES. A FRONTOGENETICAL EXTENSION
OUT INTO THE PLAINS...ESPECIALLY BASED ABOVE 700 MB...COULD LEAD
TO SOME BANDED PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING SOME SNOW...ACROSS
NORTHEAST WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST MONTANA...PERHAPS THE ADJACENT
DAKOTAS. THE BANDING MAY BE RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED AND MODEL
SIGNAL IS SOMEWHAT INCONSISTENT AS TO THE MAGNITUDE. SEE THE WPC
HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION...QPFHSD FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE WHAT IS MORE
EASILY FORECAST IS THE TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT LEADING TO AT LEAST 1
TO 2 INCH AREAL AVERAGE LIQUID TOTALS FROM WESTERN WYOMING THROUGH
CENTRAL UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO FROM 18Z TODAY TO 00Z SATURDAY.
SLIGHTLY HIGHER TOTALS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRAS.

WPC QPF STUCK CLOSE TO CONTINUITY BUT DID INCORPORATE SOME OF THE
12Z WRF-ARW2 AND OUR LATEST IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE MINUS THE BIAS
CORRECTION WHICH TENDS TO REMOVE TOO MUCH OF THE LIGHTER AMOUNTS.
GIVEN LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC AND FRONTAL FORCING...WE WERE MORE
GENEROUS WITH COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN
WHERE HEIGHT FALLS ARE PARTICULARLY PRONOUNCED AND WHERE THE
MODELS TEND TO BE TOO DRY. OVERALL...THE UPDATED FORECAST WAS VERY
SLIGHTLY WETTER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST CYCLE OVER MUCH OF THE
GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES.


...EASTERN / NORTHERN U.S...

AHEAD OF THE WESTERN U.S. TROUGH...WARM ADVECTION AND UPGLIDE ON
THE 295K ISENTROPIC SURFACE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A LIGHT
PRECIPITATION SWATH ACROSS THE FAR UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES.
THE WRF-NMM...WRF-ARW...AND NATIONAL BLEND OF MODELS DEPICTED QPF
THAT WAS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHAPE OF THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE AND ALSO
SREF QPF PROBABILITY FIELDS. THIS WAS ALSO SIMILAR TO WPC
CONTINUITY...JUST SLIGHTLY HEAVIER FOR THE ARROWHEAD OF MINNESOTA.

FARTHER EAST...A COASTAL LOW IS FORECAST TO FORM AND QUICKLY TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...BRINGING BOTH RAIN AND
SNOW...WITH THE ACCUMULATING SNOW CONFINED TO NORTHERN REACHES OF
VT/NH/ME. TRENDS SEEMED TO FAVOR A MOVE TOWARD THE NCEP
GUIDANCE...AND THE LATEST 12Z ECMWF SEEMS TO SUPPORT THIS MOVE.
WPC QPF BLENDED TOWARD THE WRF-ARW AND NAM...ALTHOUGH THE NAM WAS
LIKELY TOO STRONG IN MAGNITUDE...SO ITS INFLUENCE WAS TEMPERED.
OVERALL THE SYSTEM HAS TRENDED SOMEWHAT FASTER...SO THAT THE NET
RESULT IS A QUARTER TO HALF INCH LESS PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER
DOWN EAST MAINE COMPARED TO EARLIER FORECASTS...BUT STILL WITH
WIDESPREAD TOTALS APPROACHING A HALF INCH OF LIQUID.

DAY 2/3...

A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL TRACK EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS
FRI NIGHT AND LIKELY ACQUIRE A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT NEARS THE
APPALACHIANS SAT NIGHT/EARLY SUN MORNING BEFORE CROSSING NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE DAY ON SUN. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL
ORGANIZE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST EARLY SAT AND TRACK INTO SRN
ONTARIO/QUEBEC WHILE DEEPENING INTO THE 970S ON SUN AS SHOWN BY A
CONSENSUS OF 12Z DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...CONNECTED TO A QUICK
MOVING COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEYS
ON SAT AND MUCH OF THE EAST COAST BY SUN MORNING.

THE 12Z GFS WAS THOUGHT TO BE A TAD QUICK AND 12Z ECMWF A TAD SLOW
GIVEN THE LATEST ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS SUPPORTING MORE IN THE WAY OF
A 12Z NAM/00Z ECMWF BLEND. WPC QPF HOWEVER...WAS TAKEN FROM A
BLEND OF THE NAM/GFS/ECWMF WITH ADJUSTMENTS IN MODEL WEIGHTING
MADE ALONG THE WAY PLUS ADJUSTMENTS FOR TIMING AND INCREASES IN
MAGNITUDE MADE MANUALLY.

...CENTRAL PLAINS TO GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY...

BROAD ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID MS INTO
THE OH VALLEYS AT THE START OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD...00Z-12Z ON THE
18TH...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMBING INTO THE 1.25 TO
1.50 INCH RANGE OR 2 TO 3 STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES ABOVE THE MEAN.
FORECAST LAPSE RATES OF 6-7 C/KM...GREATER CLOSER TO THE COLD
FRONT...WILL SUPPORT MODEST ELEVATED CAPE OF 250-750
J/KG...LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR THE FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW FROM THE WSW ABOVE
THE NOSE OF THE TEMPERATURE INVERSION CENTERED NEAR 850 MB WITH
850 MB WIND SPEEDS OF 50-60 KT ACROSS A FAIRLY BROAD REGION FROM
THE MID MS INTO THE OH VALLEY. THIS FLOW REGIME COULD SUPPORT
TRAINING HEAVY RAINFALL AT LEAST LOCALLY BUT STRONGER FORCING
ACROSS THIS REGION DOES NOT APPEAR TO ARRIVE UNTIL JUST BEFORE
12Z/18 WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS FROM THE WEST
WHICH MAY JUST RESULT IN SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE WARM
FRONT BEFORE THE BETTER DYNAMIC LIFT ARRIVES. THE LEFT EXIT REGION
OF A POWERFUL 130-150 KT UPPER LEVEL JET WILL FOCUS FARTHER NORTH
FROM SRN WI...LOWER MI TOWARD LAKE ERIE BENEATH LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AT THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET .

THE 12Z NAM NEST SUPPORTS AN NARROW AXIS OF 3-4 INCHES FROM 00Z/18
TO 00Z/19 FROM N-CNTRL IL INTO N-CNTRL IN...WHICH MAY NOT BE FAR
OFF IN PLACEMENT BUT COULD BE A TAD HIGH GIVEN A LACK OF BETTER
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION. THE TIME FRAME OF CONCERN IS
ROUGHLY 09Z/18 TO 18Z/18 WHERE POCKETS OF LOWER FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE SHOWING 1.5 INCHES IN 3 HOURS COULD BE MET OVER NRN/CNTRL
IL/IN/OH. IF FUTURE HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH COVERS THE 12Z/18
TO 00Z/19 PERIOD SHOWS SUFFICIENT SUPPORT...A MARGINAL RISK COULD
BE INTRODUCED ON THE OVERNIGHT UPDATE OF THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OUTLOOK.

...APPALACHIANS TO NEW YORK...NEW ENGLAND AND REMAINDER OF THE
EAST COAST...

AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH AXIS NEARS THE EAST COAST ON
SUN...THE ORIENTATION BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED WITH THE SURFACE
LOW DEEPENING TO 972 TO 976 MB NEAR THE CNTRL ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY
BY 00Z/20. A ROUND OF WARM ADVECTION DRIVEN RAIN SHOULD MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF SAT FOLLOWED BY A
SECOND ROUND AS THE SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT APPROACHES. DESPITE
IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS...THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD
LIMIT OVERALL LIQUID EQUIVALENTS. HOWEVER ON THE BACK SIDE...COLD
ADVECTION ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH NWLY WILL SET UP MULTIPLE
SHORT/NARROW BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO. MEANWHILE...THE COMMA HEAD TIED TO THE DEEPENING
CYCLONE OVER SRN QUEBEC IS EXPECTED TO CLIP NRN NEW ENGLAND DURING
THE DAY ON SUN.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

UPPER RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE WEST COAST FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY 2/3 PERIOD BUT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY SLIDE
SOUTH FROM VANCOUVER ISLAND IN ADVANCE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS.
THERE WAS PRETTY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE OF THIS FEATURE...BUT THE 12Z NAM WAS A TAD FASTER BY
LATER SUN ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A NON-12Z NAM BLEND WAS
USED HERE LED BY THE TIMING OF THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF. SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OF 50-70 KT AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 1 INCH
ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPACT WESTERN WASHINGTON BETWEEN
12Z/19 AND 00Z/20. AREAL AVERAGE LIQUID EQUIVALENT VALUES OF 3-5
INCHES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS 24 HOUR PERIOD FOR THE OLYMPICS
WHILE 1-2 INCHES FALLS IN THE NRN CASCADES.

BURKE/OTTO

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 466622 479629 485631 491638 495647 498659 499667 499673
      498680 497685 490701 488704 483706 479706 476704 473703
      471705 468709 465715 461724 458734 457747 453752 444757
      437761 428776 422780 418780 419776 420771 419764 419754
      425747 432742 438736 438729 437724 436716 435709 433709
      430711 424710 423701 425689 428680 433672 435664 437653
      439644 443640 446636 449631 452626
 0.01 535209 536198 535190 536180 532173 529167 525163 518156
      499141 490129 480122 473120 470119 467117 471108 469103
      467097 466094 467090 469075 467067 468058 468053 470048
      472043 477026 482009 485994 485990 482987 479991 470014
      469017 467019 466011 463005 460998 459996 456995 452995
      450998 448004 444012 440024 431034 433040 435044 436049
      434053 430051 426049 424047 423044 423040 426030 420016
      419013 416011 415010 411015 407028 401043 399048 395050
      389051 382051 378051 377048 373047 359049 355052 354058
      356062 358067 361074 365086 362092 366095 368093 371094
      376097 383104 380110 376114 371115 364114 357114 353115
      351118 353131 354138 359140 373140 377142 380147 381149
      385150 387152 386155 382167 379171 371172 365172 360174
      348181 344186 342193 339213 338221 341226 343227 344231
      348233 353238 356239 360238 370232 374230 376225 380219
      382217 387217 394220 394224 393228 388233 385235 385239
      386243 391246 403251 416254 429256 442254 456254 466252
      473253 479257 486249 495247 500246 504241 508235 509228
      508221 507217 508211 512205 515204 520205 528213 532212
      535209
 0.01 510854 510844 508836 504825 500814 496809 491807 486805
      479806 475808 472811 456828 443845 437854 434859 431866
      422886 417897 415903 413910 412916 412921 414924 416926
      422926 424926 426924 429919 432913 434909 439904 441902
      444902 448904 451906 452908 453911 452915 450921 447935
      448941 452945 460940 464937 467934 471930 473928 476932
      476945 479950 478958 477965 477972 480977 482977 486975
      492965 497957 501943 507934 507924 507921 505918 500907
      500888 503872 510854
 0.01 480195 481190 480185 480175 476173 472172 468172 466177
      463183 458190 454194 452199 451205 453208 455208 462206
      468202 474200 479197 480195
 0.01 403188 404186 402184 400184 399185 398185 397187 396189
      396191 397193 399194 401192 401190 403188
 0.01 402943 402938 398936 391935 386938 380943 375949 371954
      370958 371959 376959 379957 384954 391950 395950 398947
      402943
 0.01 375927 372922 368918 363914 357912 351913 344917 337926
      335933 334935 334941 334950 334954 335958 336960 340961
      344967 349965 354961 358957 363954 371943 373937 374933
      375929 375927
 0.01 314949 312947 308947 305949 302954 299957 297960 295964
      294968 296967 299966 303964 307960 308958 311954 314949
      314949
 0.01 276801 275798 272797 269795 266793 261793 261788 259786
      256785 250788 245793 241799 239805 240808 245807 252805
      261804 270803 276801
 0.25 522187 523181 518178 515176 511173 507171 504172 503176
      506182 509185 511185 515187 517188 522187 522187
 0.25 499232 499220 499214 496210 487207 482206 478206 471210
      463212 456214 447215 439216 431219 427220 425222 424225
      426227 431228 441230 443233 442235 442238 452242 461241
      464238 463234 468227 472223 475222 479222 484223 489225
      493227 496231 499232
 0.25 492669 490659 485651 481643 474640 468637 461636 457637
      454640 449647 446655 448665 449670 447674 444683 441692
      442694 445695 453696 459691 465688 472690 478693 481693
      484691 489684 492674 492669
 0.25 495148 493147 492145 492144 490144 489144 490145 491147
      491148 493148 494149 495148
 0.25 491165 489160 485156 481152 476147 467140 462137 456139
      449147 439151 439156 440158 446160 450165 453164 456162
      459160 466161 471164 476164 489165 491165
 0.25 480244 481241 480239 479237 477236 476236 474237 472239
      473241 473242 475243 476243 478244 480244 480244
 0.25 487141 486139 486136 485136 484134 483133 483132 481132
      479131 478131 476131 476132 474134 473136 473138 474139
      475139 477141 478141 480142 482142 483142 485142 487141
      487141
 0.25 495876 494866 494858 491851 488845 485841 481840 478840
      473843 470849 465861 464868 464876 467883 469890 468907
      472911 479911 482911 484909 487902 491890 493884 495876
 0.25 458111 458102 457094 455091 452090 446092 441091 434092
      430088 426084 423079 422074 422067 424061 421057 409053
      403052 398055 390058 384059 383065 382067 379067 375062
      371060 367060 365062 369070 371077 372083 374086 377087
      382088 396094 404093 403097 401099 397102 389109 383116
      380121 376124 371122 367119 362120 362124 364126 373130
      383127 395127 399130 399135 397138 391146 391150 393156
      393170 395173 397173 402171 405168 408166 411165 414167
      418169 422163 423155 422148 425142 428132 430126 434122
      438119 444120 449119 453117 456113 458111
 0.25 429245 428240 423235 421233 421230 421226 419225 414229
      410231 406234 403235 405238 408242 415244 422245 427246
      429245
 0.25 448077 449075 449073 448071 448070 447069 445068 443068
      441068 441069 441071 441072 443074 444076 446077 448077
      448077
 0.25 417206 417200 412198 406208 398202 390195 377180 368178
      364178 359179 352184 349188 350192 354195 353200 354206
      352211 351218 354222 360223 364222 369212 372209 377208
      386210 396215 403221 406222 410221 414217 414214 417206
 0.25 416151 415149 415148 414147 413148 413150 412153 411154
      411155 411156 413155 415153 416151
 0.25 373053 374051 372049 371050 370051 368051 367052 366052
      365053 363053 361053 360054 359055 359056 359057 361057
      362056 363056 365055 366056 368055 369055 370054 372053
      373053
 0.50 488665 483654 480650 477647 472647 467645 463644 457647
      453656 453662 454668 455683 460683 466681 471681 476682
      482688 486684 488679 488671 488665
 0.50 488218 490216 489214 488213 487213 486212 484211 483210
      481210 479210 477212 476212 475214 477216 478217 480218
      481218 483218 485219 486219 488218 488218
 0.50 490876 491871 490866 487859 484855 480855 477857 475862
      475868 476872 477880 476890 477895 480896 485892 487886
      489879 490876
 0.50 464221 464219 463218 461217 459217 457218 456219 456221
      457222 458223 460223 462223 464221 464221
 0.50 452220 450219 449219 447219 445219 443219 442219 441219
      440220 438221 439224 441224 443224 444225 446224 448224
      450223 451222 452221 452220
 0.50 439224 438221 436222 435223 436224 437224 439224
 0.50 451107 451102 449099 442096 436096 430092 426092 429100
      428103 425103 420103 418104 415104 412101 408098 406101
      394109 389114 388117 391119 407123 415122 419122 423124
      425124 427122 431116 434114 438113 443114 447114 451107
 0.50 415073 416062 411058 408056 404055 400055 398057 391061
      385063 385069 383072 379072 376070 376065 373063 369062
      366063 371068 373071 374075 373081 376083 380083 384085
      387087 388084 384079 385077 388078 390082 392082 401082
      404081 406079 408077 412077 415073
 0.50 397210 397205 394202 388195 382189 375182 372181 367179
      359181 355184 355187 361195 365201 376204 386207 395211
      397210
 0.50 360215 358214 360215 360215
 1.00 409110 410108 409105 407103 406105 405106 405107 403108
      402108 401109 400110 399111 398112 396112 396113 398113
      399114 401115 403115 405116 406115 407114 408112 408111
      409110
 1.00 387201 384196 381192 377187 373184 367181 361182 358187
      362190 366194 371198 376201 383202 387201
 1.00 402074 402072 401069 400069 399069 398070 396071 396073
      397075 399075 401075 402074
 1.00 392075 393073 394071 393068 392067 391066 389067 388068
      387070 386072 387073 388074 390075 391075 392076 392075
 1.00 374066 373065 371064 370063 369063 369064 371066 373067
      374066
 1.50 407110 407107 405109 404109 403110 402111 403113 404114
      405114 406112 407111 407110
 1.50 380199 381194 378191 375187 371185 368183 364182 361185
      361188 365191 368193 372196 375198 380199 380199
 2.00 378196 378193 376191 374189 371186 370185 366184 363184
      364188 365189 368192 370193 372195 375196 378196

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 533198 532192 530187 525175 520166 517161 513162 510167
      506164 495160 490160 491164 489165 487163 485158 480150
      476150 471147 468142 464141 462143 459143 455145 456150
      459154 464158 468161 472164 476163 479163 481165 484169
      487173 491173 493175 503180 508189 514191 518193 523196
      526199 530200 533198
 0.01 521269 523263 523257 521249 515242 512234 510225 507216
      503209 497205 489202 483206 480207 477204 474205 472208
      466212 460213 445218 443219 444223 451225 455224 459226
      466224 472223 479223 469232 463233 457237 455240 454243
      458245 461245 467248 473254 477261 480269 485276 486285
      495299 503302 507298 512290 516283 521269
 0.01 525823 524816 523812 519806 510794 505788 504781 504775
      504769 503767 500759 496748 493744 491738 487727 483718
      478714 474715 472719 470722 467719 463715 452708 449707
      444707 438704 432701 424703 416715 409733 407741 403750
      398758 396762 395766 392776 392785 389789 389793 389799
      387801 376812 371817 367824 362829 356834 351835 348838
      344845 339851 333857 316885 308896 303902 299908 292922
      289930 286937 283956 283960 288960 294954 299947 303945
      306945 308949 311950 318949 325947 332945 340942 346937
      355926 366916 373912 375913 376915 378920 379925 382929
      389934 393943 394947 394954 390972 390985 389992 388999
      386003 383012 383016 384020 385023 385029 386039 384047
      381046 378042 375041 369041 369045 367050 359052 357056
      358058 360060 362058 367057 376056 379060 377062 367060
      362064 370075 373085 373089 373095 371103 372107 372114
      370117 367126 368136 370138 375139 378137 380133 385128
      392122 399118 408117 410110 409105 407105 401107 393110
      386111 382112 381107 385101 395099 397097 400092 406086
      408080 410077 418064 421061 425061 425056 422053 414051
      410045 409034 413027 420013 426996 429985 431976 426970
      422967 423963 425959 428955 433949 442937 449934 455932
      465919 472902 476886 478880 480875 485867 489861 492856
      493851 496842 501837 505834 510833 519832 522828 525823
 0.01 501155 500151 498149 493142 489136 483130 481129 476128
      468127 467130 469133 472141 478141 483145 489150 494152
      497154 501155 501155
 0.01 496949 494944 494939 492934 491929 488924 486921 481922
      479924 480929 482934 482939 485944 487947 491950 496950
      496949
 0.01 457988 458977 457964 457959 456955 452952 448959 445968
      441985 439994 439007 442026 443030 443035 441039 441045
      446046 449043 450039 450034 449030 447025 448019 453003
      457988
 0.01 450100 445094 438098 434099 431097 428092 427094 430101
      423104 420106 421109 428114 435112 438108 441104 448102
      450100
 0.01 264800 263798 259798 255798 253800 250802 249804 247806
      249810 253809 254807 256805 259803 261802 264800
 0.25 517262 516257 514254 510246 508238 505230 499216 495214
      492216 491224 491230 490235 484238 480237 478234 476232
      474234 473239 476245 482251 483260 486268 490273 496279
      504281 506278 507272 507263 513266 517262
 0.25 489216 489214 488213 487212 487213 485214 485215 486218
      486219 488218 489216
 0.25 487803 486784 481770 477766 471765 464766 459765 450758
      443750 438746 434740 429738 426741 422744 418745 415750
      412753 409754 407756 406759 404765 407772 404779 402785
      400790 394801 388815 385820 381825 373833 366840 358850
      351860 338878 334884 333889 332895 334896 340894 346895
      351894 361889 366892 374892 378891 381892 383895 383900
      385905 389909 394911 399914 413911 417912 420910 425907
      430905 434905 437906 440909 442906 444901 450887 454874
      457868 462864 465860 468854 474842 480829 484826 485818
      487803
 0.25 470155 471153 471152 469150 467149 466149 466152 467153
      469154 470155 470155
 0.25 399062 400058 397056 395058 393060 391064 389064 388068
      387070 387074 390074 394073 394068 396066 397064 399062
 0.25 383076 383074 381075 381076 381077 383077 383076
 0.50 503270 503264 505255 506249 507242 505236 502231 497221
      494221 493225 493230 497242 495244 493243 489241 486244
      486251 486257 488264 491268 494273 497276 501275 503270
 0.50 501248 500246 498245 498247 499249 501248
 0.50 480809 471787 468782 464779 453777 449775 446776 442775
      439770 435766 431767 429769 430774 430776 427778 427773
      425773 421771 418771 405790 399798 396803 394809 390821
      389827 385831 371844 363851 356859 353864 352870 354875
      361875 369868 373864 376864 381863 385860 389863 390869
      389885 389899 391903 396904 401904 404900 410889 414886
      418886 434889 439879 442873 443865 442861 443858 446854
      452846 456842 461839 466836 469831 470826 473820 478814
      480809
 0.50 429848 429845 428843 428845 428848 429848 429848
 1.00 500269 501264 501261 500258 497255 495252 494251 492250
      490255 491259 492262 493265 495267 498269 500269
 1.00 455823 454819 453818 449819 448820 444821 443824 442827
      441830 440833 440835 443835 447834 448833 452831 453828
      455825 455823
 1.00 434816 433810 430803 428793 424791 416785 412790 409796
      407801 405806 402812 398816 396823 395829 393837 392840
      393843 398841 401841 401845 397858 393888 393896 395898
      397896 400890 402883 405871 408854 409848 410841 414841
      416848 418842 421836 424830 427826 432822 434816
 1.00 433871 433869 431868 431869 431871 431873 432874 432873
      433873 433871
 1.50 499263 499261 498259 497257 496257 495255 493256 493259
      494261 494262 495264 497265 499263
 1.50 426810 426806 424804 421809 415809 416802 416798 414798
      412805 415812 414819 415826 418825 420823 423817 425812
      426810
 1.50 406843 406841 405840 405841 405843 406844 406843
 1.50 405862 404857 405852 404846 402850 401857 400862 399867
      398871 398878 401878 402873 404869 405862 405862

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 499324 494322 490323 484321 481318 478318 473319 466321
      457318 448314 445310 446306 448298 449296 447295 443295
      438296 433295 425293 420291 416288 412286 410283 411274
      415266 419257 423246 430241 436234 443230 449224 453218
      458213 464209 470205 474202 476198 470190 470184 472181
      476175 481170 491157 491150 489146 490144 493143 496143
      505144 516147 523152 526155 529152 530147 529142 530136
      529132 529124 530116 531110 534106 539096 540089 540080
      538055 539044 538038 534035 525018 522008 519002 518996
      515988 515974 507961 501954 496945 494941 494937 492934
      491929 490924 486915 484912 483906 485902 488902 493904
      499909 504918 506925 505929 509937 512944 515954 517959
      520961 523960 526960 531968 533974 537975 540974 541980
      541987 542994 545005 546015 548026 549033 550036 559047
      562051 565057
 0.01 499618 497617 493618 485621 471628 458631 451633 445636
      441637 438636 432639 423643 417647 409655 400664 396669
      390674 381685 378692 374697 371701 367705 325737 321742
      317748 313755 308759 304764 299767 289774 285778 281784
      278791 276798 275813 275820 272824 266828 262833 256847
      254852 256855 258854 262852 265847 272835 275828 277825
      279824 281825 279830 277836 273841 270847 267859 270867
      269870 267873 262885 258895 255911 251927 246937 242942
      237945 233955 231959 231965 231973 233980 237986 240988
      244988 249988 251987 254984 261982 265980 270974 272974
      275971 278964 281958 283954 283950 287938 294927 302916
      306912 311907 320897 327891 338882 349873 359867 364863
      366861 369862 375864 380870 382873 386873 391874 401867
      412866 424872 441870 447868 453867 457867 459869 462876
      462882 460885 460895 463902 466904 469903 481882 484875
      484864 475852 471845 468841 462841 459839 459837 457832
      459827 461823 464824 467826 470826 474828 475826 480825
      485821 495815 504803 515794 516785 519782 522782 528780
      531780 533777 540769 546762
 0.01 496881 494878 493878 493881 495883 496881 496881
 0.01 484929 484927 484924 484922 482919 481917 480917 479917
      477917 477920 479922 480924 480927 481927 482929 482930
      484930 484929
 0.01 440846 440844 439843 437844 437845 435845 434847 432848
      431850 431852 432854 434854 436853 437851 438849 439848
      440846
 0.01 337797 336793 333792 328794 323797 319802 315807 313811
      313816 316817 320817 322814 326811 331807 334802 337797
 0.01 268794 267788 265787 260792 255795 249800 245806 242812
      240815 240819 242821 244819 246813 250806 257803 263800
      268794 268794
 0.25 542193 535182 528173 521163 516161 510159 501163 496167
      494174 497180 501183 506188 509193 513198 516203 521215
      523219 527220 531222 536222
 0.25 558117 557115 555116 555119 554122 554124 554127 554130
      555133 555135
 0.25 527249 524241 521234 519228 515222 509217 505211 502206
      497203 490202 484202 478205 474209 470213 464216 459220
      458222 460225 462227 463231 461233 457234 452236 449241
      446248 442256 436267 432275 431280 432285 434287 438288
      443288 450287 453290 454293 455302 457308 459310 463312
      468310 478305 488298 498294 503294 509291 516285
 0.25 531702 526690 521679 517672 516666 512652 508642 507637
      504632 498628 493628 489628 483630 479632 469639 464640
      459639 454640 448642 437646 428651 420655 415660 408669
      400676 392684 385692 381702 376708 369712 363718 350735
      350738 353739 359738 370733 385724 392718 397716 402715
      406715 402719 399731 395742 392747 390751 390757 390762
      395771 397777 398784 391789 380793 376796 373800 370805
      366809 359815 355822 350829 341845 336855 336862 337866
      340866 346864 350861 356854 382831 389824 393820 398818
      403819 408821 412822 415823 418822 423815 426807 431798
      437790 439791 440794 439801 433813 434817 436819 441821
      444821 447820 450816 455808 459806 465805 473802 478796
      486788 494782 504776 511770 518762 523754 532739 536731
      538724
 0.25 483224 482224 481223 479223 477222 476222 477224 479225
      481225 482225 483224
 0.25 433778 432773 431771 429767 427767 424766 421767 419770
      419772 421775 423777 425778 427779 430781 432780 433778
 0.25 377773 377769 374768 373771 371774 370776 368778 367782
      369784 372784 374782 375779 376776 377773
 0.25 243972 243970 243969 241969 239969 239970 238971 237973
      239975 241974 243972 243972
 0.50 541200 536193 530184 526177 523172 521169 512169 510168
      507169 505173 504175 505178 508182 514189 517192 519196
      523205 525209 529211 536207 539209
 0.50 525257 519241 514228 509221 504215 501209 495206 486204
      480206 476210 472215 469216 467220 469223 471221 476219
      481221 484224 483227 475226 468228 466232 460238 456244
      453251 449256 445263 440271 437277 437281 438283 446283
      453284 457289 457297 458302 461305 468304 476296 482291
      488288 499285 505286 511284 518277
 0.50 519726 519719 518712 514701 508693 507688 506681 508663
      508657 506650 504641 502637 498637 494637 490635 481637
      475641 472647 468653 466654 464653 462650 457645 452646
      451650 448651 448648 446649 439651 433653 424657 419662
      410671 398685 393691 388699 389702 390703 393701 399696
      408686 419673 424666 431660 435657 440657 442659 443664
      439678 434686 431694 430700 430707 432711 432715 431719
      428720 421723 415724 414728 415731 415736 415743 417750
      416754 414755 411753 408755 405759 404762 407762 419757
      427757 432761 434763 438763 441759 442756 442745 438736
      438734 441731 446729 450737 450745 448755 447760 448764
      450765 451769 451777 450781 451788 454794 460796 468792
      472786 483772 496761 501756 506751 510744 513738 517732
      519726
 0.50 463223 463221 462220 461223 462224 463223
 0.50 428788 427784 425783 420781 418779 415779 411782 406786
      403791 397794 389796 384799 382803 380808 377813 371816
      363821 358825 355830 352834 350840 349846 351850 353851
      359844 368837 372834 375830 383822 389814 400807 404806
      408807 412811 414813 417811 422803 426793 428788
 1.00 518268 520263 520258 518252 515241 513235 511229 505221
      498211 491209 485209 480211 479214 480217 485220 487223
      487231 482231 477229 472231 469235 464245 461250 458259
      457264 457267 458269 459275 460278 463280 466281 466284
      470281 473277 477274 482273 485274 492275 497278 501280
      504281 509279 513276 516273 518268
 1.00 502668 502666 501664 500664 499664 498666 497667 497668
      495670 495671 494673 494674 493676 494677 496677 498676
      499675 500672 501671 502669 502668
 1.00 485648 485645 484646 483647 482649 484650 485649 485648
 1.00 471708 470706 469705 467706 467707 466708 465710 465711
      464713 463715 464718 466719 467719 468719 469718 470716
      471713 471711 471708 471708
 1.00 431730 430730 429730 427731 427733 429733 431731 431730
 1.50 515267 516259 516254 514245 511235 507229 497215 487212
      485214 487218 489221 490227 489233 486235 483235 480232
      475231 472234 469243 468249 469253 469256 473254 479258
      484260 487263 491269 497276 501278 503278 515268 515267
 2.00 513263 513257 512251 511241 506233 502228 500222 497218
      493219 491224 492231 493235 497243 499247 499251 494246
      489238 485237 482237 479235 477233 474234 471241 471246
      475249 482253 485256 487260 491266 497274 501276 504276
      506269 508266 513263
 3.00 501272 500264 497255 492249 488242 486240 484243 482244
      480242 479239 476237 474239 477246 484247 487254 491261
      495267 498271 501272 501272
 3.00 506242 504239 503237 501235 500232 498229 497226 496223
      494225 494230 495234 496236 499239 500240 503244 504244
      506242
 4.00 496265 497263 496260 496259 495257 495256 493254 492253
      490252 489251 488252 489252 490253 490255 491257 491258
      492261 493261 494263 495264 495265 496265

$$




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