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000
FLUS43 KSGF 191318
HWOSGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
818 AM CDT Sat May 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201330-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
818 AM CDT Sat May 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Significant fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Dense fog will reduce visibilities to one quarter mile or less
across Central Missouri from Rolla to Versailles. Visibilities
will improve by mid morning.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible at various
times throughout today. Scattered storms will continue to push
east across central Missouri this morning. Some of these storms
will produce hail up to the size of quarters and locally damaging
wind.

A warm front will lift north through the area during the morning
and afternoon hours today. If storms can form along this
boundary, they will have the potential to become severe with
large hail up to the size of half dollars and damaging winds in
excess of 60 mph. This is a conditional risk with the best chance
north of Interstate 44. The timeframe for these thunderstorms
would be from late morning into the afternoon hours.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will develop by late
afternoon or evening across Kansas and Oklahoma and move
northeast, generally affecting southeast Kansas and western
Missouri. Some storms could be severe with large hail and damaging
winds the main threats. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out,
especially across southeast Kansas. Thunderstorms also would
produce cloud to ground lightning and heavy rainfall. The
timeframe for these thunderstorms would be from late evening into
the Overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional thunderstorm are possible on Sunday. A few storms may
become severe across central Missouri if enough instability
develops.

Additional thunderstorm chances will occur next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this morning across central
Missouri mainly north of Highway 60. Spotter activation may then
be needed again this afternoon and this evening over this same
area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann