Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 242114

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
214 PM PDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Dry with warming temperatures the next couple days,
with highs reaching the upper 70s to low 80s on Thursday. Cooler
on Friday with stronger winds, along with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms across much of northern NV. Mostly cloudy and much
cooler over the weekend, with a chance of showers.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday. Warming trend continues as a
highly amplified ridge currently just onshore of the west coast
continues to drift east across the Cascades/Sierra Nevada
mountains tonight into Wednesday. Mostly sunny and dry again on
Thursday with 2-5 degrees of additional warming from Wednesday.
Increasing clouds by Thursday afternoon with some weak instability
across portions of central NV. Held onto some low end slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday afternoon,
however little if any precipitation would be expected if showers
do develop. Best chances for a hundredth or two of rain on
Thursday would be along and near the highway 50 corridor.
Increasing southwesterly flow Thursday night into Friday morning
as the upper level low pushes through northern CA and into
northern NV. Increased pops across most of northern NV for Friday
afternoon, with light showers and thunderstorms possible. Drier
across central NV, however southwesterly winds increase and may
approach wind advisory levels in a few locations (such as Ely)
into late Friday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...Friday night through Tuesday.

The weekend starts with a system moving across northern NV. This
will bring showers across the state with the majority of the
activity in the northern half. The system is unstable enough to
promote thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. The
system will depart the region on Sunday but will be followed up by
a trough that will settle across the region by Sunday evening.
This trough should see several impulses move through the flow
which will further deepen the trough and keep it fairly slow
moving. Moisture should remain over the region during this time
which will allow for diurnally driven convection each afternoon
through mid week. Colder air should filter into the region during
the early parts of the week which will lower the snow level. This
can allow for some snowfall to reach the mid slopes and high
valley locations. Any significant snow accumulations are not
expected as the temperature is to high during the day and will
quickly melt it except for the high mountains. The trough will
slowly drift eastward and begin to depart the area by the mid week
which will see convective activity dwindle through Tuesday.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions next 24 hours with gusty winds during




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