Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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075
FNUS76 KSGX 130026
FWSSGX

Spot Forecast for Lake Morena Community Defense pile burn...usfs
National Weather Service San Diego CA
426 PM PST Thu Feb 12 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1629 PST on February 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

The district is currently being influence by weak troughing, which
will allow for there to be a slight chance of rain tomorrow during
the late morning through early afternoon hours. RH values will be
around 40 percent this evening, then recover to around 78 percent
overnight, with a 47 percent RH for tomorrow. Transport winds will
generally be out of the northwest, and increase later in the
afternoon tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West around 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................4 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.

TIME (PST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  58
RH..............46  52
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   5
20 FT wind gust.11  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   7
Ridge wind dir..W   NW
Ridge wind spd..10  10
CWR.............0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 4 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 0 to 5 mph in the evening, then
                    shifting to the north late in the evening
                    shifting to the southwest overnight shifting to
                    the northwest around 5 mph.
CWR.................11 percent.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 9 mph.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  91  91  91  93  93  93  91  91  91  89  89
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  52  50  49  49  48  49  48  48  48  47  48
RH..............65  71  73  76  78  77  76  77  76  72  74  71
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   6   5   5   5   6   5   6   5   4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
Ridge wind dir..NW  SW  W   W   S   N   S   SW  W   NW  W   NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   0   0   5   0   0   5   5   5   5   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning and early
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 7 mph with
                    gusts to around 11 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 6 to 9 mph with gusts
                    to around 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................14 percent decreasing to 3 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 5 mph increasing to 6 to 13 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  75  75  75  45  45  45  45  45  45  28  28
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  47  49  53  56  59  59  61  60  60  58  56
RH..............74  73  69  62  56  53  51  47  50  52  57  64
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.4   4   6   10  12  15  14  15  15  15  15  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   4   5   6   6   6   7   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   5   7   9   11  10  11  11  11  11  10
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  15  15  15
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0

$$
Forecaster...PAUL STEWARD
Requested by...Joshua Craddock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602396.1/SGX
.DELDT 02/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sm.fs.cnfecc@usda.gov,joshua.craddock@usda.gov,garrett.craighead@usda.gov