Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
AXUS74 KSHV 020541
DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1240 AM CDT TUE OCT 2 2018

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGHOUT SEPTEMBER HAS ELIMINATED MOST
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...

SYNOPSIS...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE AGAIN OBSERVED ACROSS ALL OF THE ARK-LA-TEX
DURING SEPTEMBER, BUT MUCH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ALSO FELL AREAWIDE AS A
COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEMS STALLED OVER THE REGION, WITH UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES LINGERING NEAR THE FRONTS HELPING TO GENERATE PROLONGED
PERIODS OF RAINFALL, SOME OF WHICH WAS HEAVY. IN FACT, WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF FIVE TO IN EXCESS OF TEN INCHES FELL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
ARK-LA-TEX DURING SEPTEMBER, WHICH HAS ELIMINATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA. AFTER SUCH PALTRY RAINFALL TOTALS
DURING THE SUMMER IN SHREVEPORT, LOUISIANA WHERE EXTREME AND SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS CARRIED OVER INTO THE FIRST OF THE MONTH, 9.10 INCHES OF RAIN
FELL AT THE SHREVEPORT REGIONAL AIRPORT, WITH RANKED AS THE 6TH WETTEST
SEPTEMBER ON RECORD. WHILE NOT IN DROUGHT TO START THE MONTH, LUFKIN, TEXAS
RECORDED 10.25 INCHES OF RAIN, WHICH RANKED AS 4TH WETTEST SEPTEMBER ON
RECORD. THESE RAINS HAVE REPLENISHED SOIL MOISTURE AS WELL AS STOCK PONDS,
CREEKS, STREAMS, BAYOUS, LAKES, AND RESERVOIRS, BUT AREA FARMERS AND
PRODUCERS CONTINUE TO RECOVER FROM EXTENSIVE LOSSES TO PASTURES AND CROPS
IN WAKE OF THE 2018 DROUGHT.

AS OF THE SEPTEMBER 27TH ISSUANCE OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR, ONLY A SMALL
AREA OF MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN MORRIS, SOUTHWEST
CASS, AND WESTERN MARION COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, EASTERN MILLER,
SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE, WESTERN COLUMBIA, AND SOUTHERN UNION COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AS WELL AS NORTHERN BOSSIER, SOUTHERN WEBSTER,
SOUTHWEST AND NORTHEAST CLAIBORNE, AND NORTHERN UNION PARISHES IN
NORTH LOUISIANA. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS PERSIST SURROUNDING THE
EXISTING SMALL MODERATE DROUGHT AREAS, WHICH INCLUDE NORTHERN MORRIS,
EASTERN CAMP, UPSHUR, GREGG, WESTERN HARRISON, WESTERN MARION, AND WESTERN
CASS COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, EASTERN MILLER, NORTHERN LAFAYETTE, NORTHERN
AND EASTERN COLUMBIA, AND NORTHERN UNION COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS,
AND SOUTHEAST CADDO, NORTHERN DESOTO, MUCH OF BOSSIER, NORTHERN WEBSTER,
MUCH OF CLAIBORNE, NORTHERN BIENVILLE, LINCOLN, AND SOUTHERN UNION PARISHES
IN NORTH LOUISIANA.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
SOIL MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND
NORTH LOUISIANA, WITH ABOVE NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE NOTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA, THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND PORTIONS OF
LOWER TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY OF DEEP EAST TEXAS. STOCK PONDS HAVE BEEN
REPLENISHED, WITH ADEQUATE TO WET CONDITIONS NOTED IN MANY PASTURES.
HOWEVER, THE DAMAGE HAS BEEN DONE GIVEN THE RECENT HOT AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, WITH PASTURE
AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS STILL FAIR TO POOR. WITH THE RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL DURING SEPTEMBER, INFESTATIONS OF ARMYWORMS HAVE BEEN NOTED
ESPECIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
NO BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT. FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH AT
LEAST MID-MONTH ACROSS THE REGION GIVEN THE WET CONDITIONS IN PLACE.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
NO KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...

MUCH ABOVE NORMAL AND NEEDED RAINFALL FELL AREAWIDE DURING SEPTEMBER,
WHICH HAS ELIMINATED MUCH OF THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS THAT WERE IN PLACE.
BELOW IS A LIST OF THE SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM
NORMAL, PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, AND WETTEST SEPTEMBER RANKS, FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                SEPTEMBER    DEPARTURE    PERCENTAGE    WETTEST SEPT.
                     RAINFALL    FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL        RANK

SHREVEPORT LA        9.10 IN.     +5.94 IN.      288%           6TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)

MONROE LA            5.03 IN.     +1.40 IN.      139%          20TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

TEXARKANA AR         3.21 IN.     -0.22 IN.       94%          ----

EL DORADO AR         4.77 IN.     +1.66 IN.      153%          18TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

DEQUEEN AR           4.56 IN.     +0.95 IN.      126%          ----

TYLER TX             5.48 IN.     +2.14 IN.      164%          17TH
(AIRPORT)
(RECORDS SINCE 1883)

TYLER TX             5.92 IN.     +2.87 IN.      194%          ----
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX          5.04 IN.     +1.70 IN.      151%          ----

LUFKIN TX           10.25 IN.     +6.17 IN.      251%          4TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN           5.70 IN.     +1.61 IN.      139%
BROKEN BOW           8.26 IN.     +4.17 IN.      202%
IDABEL              10.01 IN.     +5.89 IN.      243%

LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS (SINCE MAY) HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY
IN WAKE OF THE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THAT FELL DURING SEPTEMBER.
BELOW IS A LIST OF THE MAY-SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES
FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                 MAY-SEPT RAINFALL   DEPARTURE    PERCENTAGE
                                          FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA            14.68 IN.         -5.19 IN.      74%

MONROE LA                18.17 IN.         -2.08 IN.      90%

NATCHITOCHES LA          17.07 IN.         -4.38 IN.      80%

TEXARKANA AR              9.46 IN.         -9.86 IN.      49%

EL DORADO AR             11.48 IN.         -8.25 IN.      58%

HOPE 3NE AR              21.95 IN.         +1.39 IN.     107%

DEQUEEN AR               15.57 IN.         -4.06 IN.      79%

MT. PLEASANT TX          18.19 IN.         -0.73 IN.      96%

TYLER TX                 10.77 IN.         -7.67 IN.      58%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX                 13.74 IN.         -4.28 IN.      76%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX              11.65 IN.         -7.41 IN.      61%

MARSHALL TX              13.50 IN.         -5.95 IN.      69%

LUFKIN TX                18.98 IN.         -0.81 IN.      96%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN               23.69 IN.         +1.56 IN.     107%
BROKEN BOW               22.39 IN.         +0.26 IN.     101%
IDABEL                   19.26 IN.         -1.44 IN.      93%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COUPLED WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX
FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK, AS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO EXPAND WEST ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
IN FACT, AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL NEAR OR EXCEED 90 DEGREES
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THIS WEEK, WITH HUMID CONDITIONS PERSISTING
AS WELL. THIS UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO EASE BACK EAST OF THE REGION
BY LATE THIS WEEK, RESULTING IN ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEABREEZE TO SPREAD NORTH FROM
THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS PATTERN MAY PERSIST THROUGH MID-MONTH, ENHANCED
BY A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ROCKIES
WHICH WILL BRING CONSISTENT RAINS TO MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER
NEXT WEEKEND THROUGH THE SECOND WEEK OF OCTOBER. SOME SOIL DRYING IS
EXPECTED THIS WEEK ACROSS THE REGION GIVEN THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
THAT WILL RETURN, BUT DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
FOR MOST AREAS IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR OCTOBER-
NOVEMBER-DECEMBER, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC),
INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AREAWIDE. THIS IS DUE TO THE FACT THAT
EL NINO CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME INFLUENCE ON THE AREA WEATHER AS WE MOVE
FORWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FALL AND ESPECIALLY THE WINTER
MONTHS.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

MOST LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA HAVE
RETURNED TO NEAR NORMAL OR WITHIN TWO FEET OF NORMAL POOL STAGE, WITH
ADDITIONAL IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED THIS FALL AND WINTER AS ADDITIONAL RAINS
FALL, AND TEMPERATURES COOL, RESULTING IN GREATER RUNOFF. NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL STREAMFLOWS HAVE ALSO RETURNED TO THE MAJORITY OF CREEKS, STREAMS,
BAYOUS, AND RIVERS ACROSS THE REGION, WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO VERY SLOW
FALLS EXPECTED THROUGH MID-OCTOBER.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

GIVEN THE FACT THAT EXTREME, SEVERE, AND MOST MODERATE DROUGHT AREAS HAVE
BEEN REMOVED DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINS THAT FELL DURING SEPTEMBER, THIS
WILL BE THE FINAL DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED, UNLESS SEVERE
DROUGHT REDEVELOPS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.