Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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AXUS74 KSHV 101200
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
700 AM CDT MON SEP 10 2018

...RECENT RAINS HAVE RESULTED IN SLIGHTLY IMPROVED DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, BUT EXTREME AND SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THESE AREAS...

SYNOPSIS...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL THAT WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS, NORTH LOUISIANA, AND EXTREME SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS DURING AUGUST CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER,
BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AFFECTED THE
REGION. SINCE THE FIRST OF SEPTEMBER, WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A
HALF INCH TO TWO INCHES, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE
INCHES, HAVE FALLEN ACROSS ALL OF THE ARK-LA-TEX, WITH THE HEAVIER
CONCENTRATIONS NOTED OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN MINOR IMPROVEMENTS TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.

HOWEVER, EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHERN MORRIS,
EASTERN CAMP, AND EASTERN UPSHUR COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN WEBSTER, SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE, AND NORTHERN BIENVILLE PARISHES IN
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN, SOUTHERN TITUS, NORTHERN MORRIS, CASS, MARION, HARRISON,
GREGG, WESTERN UPSHUR, WESTERN CAMP, WOOD, SMITH, SOUTHCENTRAL CHEROKEE,
AND NORTHERN RUSK COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS MUCH OF CADDO,
BOSSIER, NORTHERN WEBSTER, CLAIBORNE, BIENVILLE, WESTERN LINCOLN, AND
WESTERN UNION PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA. MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ALSO LINGER ACROSS MILLER, LAFAYETTE, COLUMBIA, AND UNION
COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, NORTHERN DESOTO, RED RIVER, NORTHERN
NATCHITOCHES, WESTERN JACKSON, LINCOLN, AND THE REMAINDER OF UNION
PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA, AND ACROSS RED RIVER, BOWIE, NORTHERN
FRANKLIN, NORTHERN TITUS, SOUTHERN SMITH, MUCH OF CHEROKEE, RUSK, NORTHERN
NACOGDOCHES, AND NORTHERN PANOLA COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS. WHILE NOT IN
DROUGHT, ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP
EAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL
LOUISIANA.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS SHORT OR VERY SHORT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. HOWEVER, SOME GREENUP HAS BEEN NOTED RECENTLY
IN WAKE OF SCATTERED RAINS RECEIVED SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER. MANY
NON-IRRIGATED GARDENS AND CROP PASTURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN LOST OR HAVE
PRODUCED SIGNIFICANTLY LOW YIELDS OF FRUITS AND VEGETABLES, AND SOME
SHALLOW ROOTED TREES CONTINUE TO DIE OR HAVE LOST A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER
OF LEAVES. IN ADDITION, PASTURE AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS REMAIN POOR TO
VERY POOR ACROSS THE HARDER DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS, WITH MANY HAY PRODUCERS
INDICATING BELOW NORMAL QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF HAY. IN FACT, SOME AREAS
HAVE BEEN ONLY ABLE TO MAKE ONE TO TWO CUTS OF HAY SO FAR THIS YEAR, IF
THAT. THIS HAS REQUIRED SOME PRODUCERS TO SEARCH FOR HAY FROM OTHER STATES,
OR EVEN BEGIN CULLING THEIR HERDS. SURFACE WATER HAS ALSO BEEN A PROBLEM
AS STOCK PONDS AND CREEKS WERE DRYING UP.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MORRIS, CAMP, MARION, HARRISON, PANOLA,
SHELBY, SAN AUGUSTINE, NACOGDOCHES, RUSK, GREGG, UPSHUR, WOOD, AND
CHEROKEE COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS BOSSIER, WEBSTER, RED RIVER,
DESOTO, SABINE, NATCHITOCHES, BIENVILLE, AND JACKSON PARISHES IN NORTH
LOUISIANA. GIVEN THE RECENT RAINS, SOME OF THESE BURN BANS MAY BE DROPPED
IN THE NEAR FUTURE.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...

MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL HAS FALLEN AREAWIDE SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER, WHICH HAS
SLIGHTLY ALLEVIATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE
SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES
OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                SEPTEMBER RAINFALL   DEPARTURE    PERCENTAGE
                       (THROUGH 9/9)     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA             2.25 IN.         +1.39 IN.     261%

MONROE LA                 1.62 IN.         +0.55 IN.     151%

TEXARKANA AR              1.11 IN.         +0.08 IN.     108%

EL DORADO AR              2.35 IN.         +1.45 IN.     162%

DEQUEEN AR                0.31 IN.         -0.74 IN.      30%

TYLER TX                  1.31 IN.         +0.22 IN.     120%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX                  2.45 IN.         +1.51 IN.     261%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX               0.81 IN.         -0.14 IN.      85%

LUFKIN TX                 1.82 IN.         +0.57 IN.     146%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN                1.22 IN.         +0.13 IN.     112%
BROKEN BOW                0.83 IN.         -0.26 IN.      76%
IDABEL                    1.50 IN.         +0.38 IN.     134%

LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS (SINCE MAY) REMAIN QUITE LARGE THOUGH ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA,
WHERE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE. BELOW IS A LIST OF
THE MAY-SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND
PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION:

CITY:                 MAY-SEPT RAINFALL   DEPARTURE    PERCENTAGE
                       (THROUGH 9/9)     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA             7.83 IN.         -9.74 IN.      45%

MONROE LA                14.76 IN.         -2.93 IN.      83%

NATCHITOCHES LA          11.54 IN.         -7.08 IN.      62%

TEXARKANA AR              8.47 IN.         -8.45 IN.      50%

EL DORADO AR              9.06 IN.         -8.46 IN.      52%

HOPE 3NE AR              15.62 IN.         -2.29 IN.      87%

DEQUEEN AR               11.32 IN.         -5.75 IN.      66%

MT. PLEASANT TX          10.02 IN.         -6.67 IN.      60%

TYLER TX                  6.60 IN.         -9.59 IN.      41%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX                 10.27 IN.         -5.64 IN.      65%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX               7.42 IN.         -9.25 IN.      45%

MARSHALL TX               6.60 IN.        -10.46 IN.      39%

LUFKIN TX                10.55 IN.         -6.41 IN.      62%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN               19.21 IN.         +0.34 IN.     102%
BROKEN BOW               14.96 IN.         -4.17 IN.      78%
IDABEL                   10.75 IN.         -6.95 IN.      61%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COUPLED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST
MIDWEEK, AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO IN EXCESS OF TWO
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20, WITH LIGHTER
AMOUNTS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS,
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE SPARSE BY LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH TEMPERATURES
RETURNING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE ADDITIONAL
RAIN THIS WEEK SHOULD HELP TO FURTHER ALLEVIATE SHORT TERM DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA BEFORE
BECOMING MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LATE THIS WEEK.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER-
OCTOBER-NOVEMBER, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC),
INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AREAWIDE. HOWEVER, THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES (OR NO SKILL LEVEL) IN
DETERMINING WHETHER ABOVE NORMAL, NEAR NORMAL, OR BELOW NORMAL RAIN WILL
FALL OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX THROUGH NOVEMBER. THIS IS DUE TO THE FACT THAT
EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC,
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME INFLUENCE ON THE AREA WEATHER AS WE MOVE
FORWARD TO MID AND LATE FALL.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA REMAIN
SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL STAGE, ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINS
HAVE ALLOWED FOR NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS TO RETURN ACROSS THE CYPRESS,
UPPER AND MIDDLE SABINE BASINS. LITTLE CHANGE TO SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID-SEPTEMBER GIVEN THE RAINS THAT WILL FALL.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE SEPTEMBER.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD


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