Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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FNUS72 KCAE 291208
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Belfast WMA Research Unit...SCDNR
National Weather Service Columbia SC
808 AM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the area will provide hot condtions
with light winds and little chance of rain. Any lingering fog should
burn off between 9 and 10 AM. Biggest concern is heat stress today
with heat index values 103-107.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........79 at ignition...Max 97.
RH..................86 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1100-2600
                    ft AGL increasing to 6400-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Max ADI.............33.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  8   11  15  13  16  24  17  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............79  84  89  92  95  97  97  97  96
RH..............86  76  64  55  47  40  38  37  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..240 230 240 220 230 230 240 240 240
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.9 2.6 3.9 5.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   2
ADI.............5   5   8   11  20  24  33  33  27
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 75.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3100-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1300 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Min ADI.............2.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   5   7   14  13  14  12  8   17  22  21  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............94  92  88  85  83  81  80  79  78  77  76  76
RH..............41  46  54  59  61  63  68  72  75  79  82  82
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..240 230 220 200 210 220 220 220 220 220 230 230
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   7   9   10  10  10  9   9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 3.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   5   7   7   7   9   10  10  10  10  8   7
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5
ADI.............39  2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   4   3
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1500, then 1-8 strikes.
Temperature.........Max 98.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4800-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Max ADI.............53.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  29  46  40  24  22  32  26  28  30  31  33
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............76  75  76  80  85  89  92  94  96  97  98  97
RH..............83  88  85  77  67  59  54  49  45  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind dir..230 230 250 260 270 260 250 250 250 250 260 260
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   7   7   8   8   10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   5   5   5   6   6   8   9   10  12
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   7   6   7   12  14  21  23  36  41  47  53
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Alsheimer
Requested by...Travis Bennett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2116574.0/CAE
.DELDT 07/29/21
.EMAIL bennettt@dnr.sc.gov


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