Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 310238
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Spot Forecast for Lake Fire...Crowley county
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
838 PM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 MDT on July 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be the main concern overnight.  A strong cold front will
drop south across the burn site between 0100 and 0200.  Winds will
shift from southeast, to north behind the front.  Gusts will increase
to near 30 mph behind the front.  Some model guidance suggests winds
could be stronger, as high as 38 mph.  Winds should decrease by 0700,
but still remain gusty.  At this time, shower and thunderstorm activity
should hold off until Saturday afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....65-70F.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East southeast 4 to 8 mph turning north 15 to 20
                    mph with gusts to 30 mph by 0100.  North winds
                    will decrease to 12 to 16 mph with gusts to 23 mph
                    by 0700.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph until 0200, then north
                    around 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   7   9   8   8   8   9   14  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  82  78  76  74  72  70  68  67
RH..............30  35  42  46  51  59  66  73  78
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   7   6   6   9   18  20  20  16
20 FT wind gust.14  16  14  14  16  25  30  30  27
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  S   S   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  10  15  15  18  22  24  26  18
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100010  6   10  13  20  23  25  27  18

$$
Forecaster...MOZLEY
Requested by...Cpt grafel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2116688.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/30/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.24


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