Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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888 FXUS62 KTBW 191403 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 903 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2020 .DISCUSSION... Showers are in place ahead of the front this morning across the northern and central coastal waters and up across the Nature Coast. Showers with the actual front are still back in the FL panhandle. Rain chances will remain mainly across the northern half of the area through the early afternoon, then spread south through the evening and overnight hours as the front pushes through the area. Colder and drier air moves in for Monday through Wednesday, with some freezing temperatures and feels-like temperatures possible Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Current forecast is on track with all of this and have no updates planned. && .AVIATION... SE/S flow this morning will be turning to the SW for later this morning and afternoon. Winds then turn to the NNW behind the front with some showers possible. MVFR to IFR conditions will be possible with any showers and low ceilings will be likely for a few hours with the frontal passage. && .MARINE... Winds and seas will be increasing behind the front from the NNW, with SCA conditions possible across the northern and central offshore waters and SCEC conditions possible elsewhere for this evening through Monday morning. Conditions will briefly subside, then increase to SCA Tuesday and Wednesday before subsiding. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... TPA 76 48 60 42 / 60 20 0 0 FMY 80 56 67 45 / 10 30 0 0 GIF 78 48 62 41 / 40 30 0 0 SRQ 79 51 63 44 / 40 30 0 0 BKV 75 42 60 36 / 60 10 0 0 SPG 75 50 61 44 / 60 20 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard UPPER AIR...42/Norman DECISION SUPPORT...69/Close

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