Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000 FXUS62 KTBW 240659 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 259 AM EDT Fri May 24 2019 .DISCUSSION... Really the only thing to talk about for the next week weather-wise will be the heat. Strong high pressure (594 DM) ridge centered across southern Georgia won`t move a whole lot during the next week so that will keep our area in a predominant easterly flow for much of the period with high temperatures approaching or exceeding all- time daily records. Through the holiday weekend, highs will top out in the mid 90s with upper 90s expected across interior sections. It`s not out of the question that some spots may reach 100. Temps will be a bit cooler near the coast but still plenty hot. This forecast doesn`t change as we get into next week as the ridge remains persistent through the period. Drier air on the east side of the aforementioned ridge will keep atmospheric moisture quite low with PW values well below climatological norms. This will keep skies mostly clear and rain chances almost non-existent for much of the upcoming week. If you plan on being outside during the next week, be sure to wear proper clothing, sunscreen and drink plenty of water. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. East winds will increase again during the morning to around 10 knots. May see a shift to northerly at SRQ during the mid to late afternoon Friday as west coast sea breeze tries to develop. && .MARINE... High pressure to our north will keep easterly winds in place through the next several days. We will continue to see easterly surges through the weekend, but tonight should be the last night that speed reach exercise caution levels, then winds lighten up some for the weekend. && .FIRE WEATHER... Hot and dry conditions along with high dispersions can be expected for the next several days. Minimum relative humidity values will bottom out between 35 and 45 percent each afternoon with no red flag conditions anticipated. No significant fog is expected. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... TPA 94 72 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 93 69 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 94 69 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 94 71 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 95 67 97 69 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 94 72 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...11/McKaughan DECISION SUPPORT...27/Shiveley

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