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000
FXUS62 KTBW 240659
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
259 AM EDT Fri May 24 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Really the only thing to talk about for the next week weather-wise
will be the heat. Strong high pressure (594 DM) ridge centered
across southern Georgia won`t move a whole lot during the next week
so that will keep our area in a predominant easterly flow for much of
the period with high temperatures approaching or exceeding all- time
daily records. Through the holiday weekend, highs will top out in
the mid 90s with upper 90s expected across interior sections. It`s
not out of the question that some spots may reach 100. Temps will be
a bit cooler near the coast but still plenty hot. This forecast
doesn`t change as we get into next week as the ridge remains
persistent through the period. Drier air on the east side of the
aforementioned ridge will keep atmospheric moisture quite low with PW
values well below climatological norms. This will keep skies mostly
clear and rain chances almost non-existent for much of the upcoming
week. If you plan on being outside during the next week, be sure to
wear proper clothing, sunscreen and drink plenty of water.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. East winds
will increase again during the morning to around 10 knots. May see a
shift to northerly at SRQ during the mid to late afternoon Friday as
west coast sea breeze tries to develop.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure to our north will keep easterly winds in place through
the next several days. We will continue to see easterly surges
through the weekend, but tonight should be the last night that speed
reach exercise caution levels, then winds lighten up some for the
weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Hot and dry conditions along with high dispersions can be expected
for the next several days. Minimum relative humidity values will
bottom out between 35 and 45 percent each afternoon with no red flag
conditions anticipated. No significant fog is expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  94  72  95  73 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  93  69  93  71 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  94  69  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  94  71  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  95  67  97  69 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  94  72  94  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...11/McKaughan
DECISION SUPPORT...27/Shiveley