Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
939 FXUS62 KTBW 210807 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 307 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019 Skies were mostly clear this morning with patchy fog in Inverness and Sebring. This fog was not detected by satellite suggesting it was shallow and localized. .SHORT TERM (Today and Friday)... Unseasonably warm February weather and weak high pressure will lead to the Gulf Coast sea breeze front moving inland this afternoon with a chance of showers each afternoon. High temperatures should remain just below record values. .LONG TERM (Friday Night through Wednesday)... Strong upper level subtropical ridge begins to flatten out late in the weekend with zonal flow aloft next week. A weak cold front moves into the area later on Sunday then stalls across south Florida Monday. The coolest day during the period will be on Tuesday with highs 5 to 10 degrees cooler than Monday (almost normal temperatures) north of a Sarasota to Sebring line. Only a few degrees cooler to the south. Temperatures rebound on Wednesday. Isolated to scattered showers through Sunday but better rain chances next week due to stalled front and fast zonal flow aloft. && .AVIATION... Clear skies and light winds will create a fog potential until 15Z from Lakeland to Fort Myers. LAL and PGD are favored locations for fog so MVFR VSBY there, potential for IFR. Otherwise VFR. Weak Gulf coast sea breeze develops this afternoon with rain chances at coastal terminals only 10-20%. Added VCSH in LAL this evening. && .MARINE... High pressure across the waters will keep winds and seas benign into the weekend. Then a cold front moving in late Sunday will turn winds to the north but seas to remain 4 feet or less. && .FIRE WEATHER... Atlantic high pressure will be found across the state with sea breeze fronts moving inland each afternoon. The chance of showers will be along the sea breeze front. Patchy ground fog will be limited to isolated inland locations. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... TPA 85 70 85 70 / 10 20 10 10 FMY 85 67 87 69 / 30 20 10 10 GIF 88 67 88 69 / 20 20 10 10 SRQ 83 69 81 68 / 10 20 10 10 BKV 87 67 88 66 / 10 20 10 10 SPG 85 70 84 69 / 10 20 10 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ 72/Noah

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.