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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS62 KTBW 050028
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
828 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 822 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Drier conditions aloft combined with the plenty of moisture and
instability helped support a few severe thunderstorms across the
CWA this afternoon and early evening. Multiple hail reports and
strong winds were reported in the impacted areas. Most of the
convection is pushing south to southeast and should be out of the
area over the next few hours. Conditions overnight are expected to
be a lot quieter with lows in the mid to upper 60s and light east
to northeasterly winds.

The only adjustments made to the forecast were for Monday afternoon
as some guidance is trending downward in POPs, otherwise it remains
on track.
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&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 738 PM EDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Intermittent MVFR/IFR conditions expected over the next few hours
as convection continues to impact terminals. However, a decrease
in activity is anticipated through the evening and overnight.
East to northeasterly winds prevail into the morning hours with
with VFR conditions. Then, the sea breeze will try to push inland,
but there is a chance that it may only make it to the immediate
coast. In addition, some guidance keeps moisture fairly limited
with the potential for less coverage during the afternoon. PROB30
was added as confidence is low to moderate.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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TPA  71  89  70  90 /  60  30  10  20
FMY  71  90  71  92 /  60  40  20  40
GIF  69  86  66  90 /  30  40  10  20
SRQ  70  89  69  90 /  60  40  20  20
BKV  66  90  63  92 /  30  30  10  10
SPG  73  87  73  88 /  60  40  20  20
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 3
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT...ADavis/Oglesby