388
FXUS64 KSHV 100608
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
108 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1024 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Cleared many of our Counties and Parishes from SVR Watches.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1024 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Radar is finally showing most of the severe thunderstorms are
shifting out of our cwa. All that remains of SVR Watch #224 are a
handful of our Parishes from Natchitoches and points east and will
end closer to midnight as planned. No other changes aside from
removing some maybe severe wording. Radar mosaics still showing
shower activity north of our I-30 corridor, but overall coverage
has diminished greatly over the region during the last hour. /24/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 243 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

A brief break in active weather will come to an end as the next
workweek begins across the Four State Region. This is due to a
quasi-zonal synoptic pattern augmented by a series of slower
troughs and faster embedded shortwaves across northern Mexico and
the Southern Plains. The first of these disturbances will arrive
to instigate widespread convection as early as late Sunday into
early Monday, while the next disturbance in the parade will arrive
as early as Wednesday to keep precipitation chances going through
most of the rest of the week. Day 1-7 QPF values of widespread 3+
inch totals are expected with isolated higher amounts possible as
a result. Otherwise, temperature maximums/minimums in the 80s/60s
will gradually return above normal (maximums approaching 90 once
again) after the middle of next week. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

For the 10/06z TAFS...Convection has finally cleared all the TAF
sites and most of the region. VFR conditions have return to all
sites, except at KLFK, where MVFR skies and patchy fog remain
ahead of the front. However, VFR skies should return there in the
next hour or two, as the front moves through. Scattered low cigs
will move into the region in wake of the front. Can`t rule out
some brief MVFR low cigs across East Texas overnight, so decided
to add tempo groups to account for that. Otherwise, VFR with
scattered cirrus to prevail for most of the day on Friday, with
northeast winds between 5 to 10 mph. /20/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  82  65  78 /   0   0  10  30
MLU  59  82  63  79 /   0   0   0  20
DEQ  54  82  59  78 /   0   0   0  20
TXK  58  83  62  79 /   0   0  10  20
ELD  56  81  60  78 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  61  80  63  77 /   0   0  20  40
GGG  61  81  63  77 /   0   0  10  40
LFK  64  82  64  75 /   0   0  10  50

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...20