Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 240704

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
304 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.NEAR TERM (Today and Tonight)...
Cold front is pushing east across the area this morning and will
lower humidity levels today. Dry air in the mid-upper levels has
wrapped around deep layered low pressure to the northwest so no
precipitation is expected. Temperatures will be near average today
and tonight with gusty west southwest winds this afternoon.

.SHORT TERM (Wednesday and Thursday)...
Wednesday will be similar to today with west winds behind a
departing low pressure system to our north. Highs in the upper 70s
to low 80s are expected. Thursday also will be pleasant for the
most part, though winds will shift southwest and a broad area of
low pressure will develop across the Southeast as a shortwave
trough moves through the Tennessee Valley. Other than just along
the Altamaha River where we have just low end chance PoPs, this
area of low pressures should pass north of with little in the way
of rain for our area.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Tuesday)...
A weak trough will remain in the wake of the low along the coast.
This could contribute a few showers on Friday, but for the most
part the remainder of the long term also looks dry. Upper level
trough will move through the eastern CONUS Saturday and strong
high pressure across the eastern Great Lakes will filter into the
area from the north. Upper level ridge will build to our west
Sunday and over the Southeast by Tuesday, keeping high pressure in
place to start the workweek. Onshore flow will increase on Monday
and Tuesday which will moderate temperatures close or just below
normal for the beginning of May.


Patchy low clouds moving east across ne Fl will produce brief
periods of IFR/MVFR cigs until around 14z. VFR conditions will
prevail today with southwest winds.


Advisory will continue today offshore due to elevated seas. Low
pressure will track to the NW of the area with a cold front
crossing the region this morning. The low will track up the East
coast Wednesday with decreasing offshore winds and seas the next
few days.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk today and low risk Wednesday.


AMG  78  55  77  57 /  10  10   0   0
SSI  78  59  76  61 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  82  58  81  60 /  10   0   0   0
SGJ  82  58  80  60 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  81  56  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  81  56  81  57 /   0   0   0   0


AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for Waters
     from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from
     20 to 60 NM.



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