Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 171509
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for EXERCISE (Operation Overboard III)...NWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1009 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect west to northwest winds around 10 mph through the day, becoming
light and variable after sunset. There is a slight chance of
thunderstorms beginning late this afternoon, with increasing
chances after sunset. Do not expect storms to be widespread
though. If a storm does approach Bismarck, erratic winds will be
possible. It will be a bit humid today, but with seasonable
temperatures as afternoon highs reach the lower 80s under partly
cloudy skies.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Max apparent temp...83.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds up to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest early in the afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon becoming northwest
                    up to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (63600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (63600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 INCHES.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  30  9   17  25  24  17
Weather cov.....                        SCH
Weather type....                        RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  20
Temp............74  75  77  80  81  82  82
RH..............79  79  71  62  58  54  54
Aparnt tmp (F)..74  75  77  82  83  83  83
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   5   5   5   6
Surface wnd gst.9   9   9   7   7   7   9
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  29  34  42  50  55  64
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD
SDspl kt-ft/100021  29  34  42  50  55  64

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms through the night.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Max apparent temp...83.
Surface winds.......Light winds.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph shifting to the south 5 to 8
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (68800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (68800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Rainfall amount.....0.14 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 INCHES.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........23  30  39  66  79  47  35  33  62  48  33  47
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC     SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC         SCH CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  40  40  40  10  10  20  40  20  20
Temp............82  81  79  76  72  70  69  68  68  67  67  66
RH..............53  54  62  71  79  84  87  90  90  90  87  90
Aparnt tmp (F)..83  82  79  76  72  70  69  68  68  67  67  66
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  N   W   W   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.5   5   4   4   5   4   2   4   4   4   4   4
Surface wnd gst.7   7   5   5   7   5   4   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..69  68  38  11  1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
SDspl kt-ft/100069  68  38  11  1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0

$$
Forecaster...HOLLAN
Requested by...Jeffrey Savadel
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1912361.0/BIS
.DELDT 07/17/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL jeffrey.savadel@noaa.gov



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