Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 172207
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Ruso Structure Fire...City of Ruso
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
507 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...East to northeast winds will range between 15 and 20 mph
this evening through tonight, then northeast winds Saturday and increasing
to between 17 and 25 mph. Current radar shows scattered rainshowers, but
these will become more numerous through the evening hours and overnight.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers early in the
                    evening, then numerous rain showers late in the
                    evening.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 84 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 28 mph shifting to the northeast 17
                    to 23 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  98  97  97  99  99  100 99  99  99  100 100
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
CWR.............20  40  40  40  50  50  50  80  80  80  80  80
Chc of pcpn (%).30  50  50  60  60  70  70  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  48  47  45  43  42  42  41  41  40  39  38
RH..............44  54  60  68  73  79  79  82  82  85  85  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..16  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  15  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.20  18  18  18  17  17  17  17  19  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.26  28  25  21  20  17  18  23  21  22  23  23
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100029  31  23  11  7   6   6   7   7   8   11  11

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain showers early in the
                    morning, then rain likely.
CWR.................81 percent decreasing to 48 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 17 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 23 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (61200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 99  99  99  99  99  97
Weather cov.....PDS LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............80  70  70  70  70  70  70  50  50  50  50  50
Chc of pcpn (%).80  70  70  70  70  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  37  38  38  38  38  38  38  39  41  42  44
RH..............89  85  85  85  82  82  79  79  76  76  73  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..17  17  17  18  18  19  20  21  21  21  21  19
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  21  22  23  25  26  26  26  25  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.23  23  26  28  30  30  31  31  31  31  30  28
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100011  11  16  22  37  47  54  59  61  61  56  41

$$
Forecaster...SIMOSKO
Requested by...wa
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 1909539.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/17/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL nws.bismarck@noaa.gov


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