Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS71 KBTV 091202
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Lake Trail Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
802 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on July 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will feature quiet weather with mostly clear skies.
Relative humidities will drop into the low 30% range and perhaps
as low as the upper 20% range. Winds will generally north to
northwesterly and 10 knots or less. Relative humidities will
recover overnight back to above 75%.

The next chance for rain comes through Thursday into Friday as a
frontal system tracks through the region. Minimum RH values will
dip as low as 30 to 35 percent.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3700-5200 ft AGL increasing to 5700-6600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........11     8      5      8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
Temp............72     77     80     82
RH..............46     41     37     37
20 ft wind......N 5    N 7    N 9    NW 9
20 ft wind gust.6             10
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   5700   6600   6500
Transport wind..N 9    N 12   NW 10  NW 10
Haines index....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........7      8      13     21     27     21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............79     71     65     62     59     57
RH..............44     61     68     72     78     83
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.       5
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   200    100    100    BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..NW 8   W 3    SW 1   SW 1   SW 1   SW 1
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL increasing to 5700-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     13     28     36     35     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............58     67     77     84     85     86
RH..............83     73     54     43     40     39
20 ft wind......SW 2   W 3    W 5    W 7    W 7    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....300    800    4700   6800   7300   6200
Transport wind..SW 1   W 2    W 2    SW 3   SW 5   SW 7
Haines index....4      4      3      3      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Deal
Requested by...Sargent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1911976.0/BTV
.DELDT 07/09/19
.EMAIL nhnecc@firenet.gov



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