Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 220848
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Enoree Compartment 43...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
448 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure over the eastern United States today will
gradually give way to abundant moisture arriving with a low pressure
system from the west tonight through Monday. Heavy rainfall ahead of
the low will likely continue through Monday night before tapering to
showers and a few thunderstorms Tuesday into Tuesday night. The mid
to late week period may remain unsettled as additional cold fronts
and upper level disturbances move through the region.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning and for the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-2400 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (7000-55700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (55700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 increasing to 42 in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........7000 decreasing to 5000 late in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.72.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  66  71  73  81  83  86  93  97
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  58  62  64  66  67  68  69  69
Dewpoint........46  47  47  46  45  45  45  46  47
RH..............73  65  58  51  47  44  43  45  47
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   5   5   6   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   7   7   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 4.0 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  14  16  17  16  15  16  17  17
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   21  30  37  38  38  44  47  46
VRate kt-ft/10007   16  26  36  41  45  56  58  56
Ceiling (hft)...90  90  90  80  70  70  60  60  50
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Sfc pres (in)...983 984 985 983 980 978 976 974 972

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). A Chance of rain in
                    the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1600 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (14200-50100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................42 decreasing to 17.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.30 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........3000 decreasing to 1500.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.66.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........97  98  98  98  98  98  99  100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  66  63  61  59  58  57  57  56  55  55  54
Dewpoint........48  49  50  50  50  50  50  49  48  49  50  51
RH..............50  55  62  68  71  75  75  75  75  79  83  88
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   10  10  10  11  11  12  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  15  16  17  17  17  17  16  16  16
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............42  11  10  10  22  23  19  19  19  18  14  14
VRate kt-ft/100050  48  43  38  35  32  26  25  24  20  17  14
Ceiling (hft)...40  40  30  30  25  21  18  17  18  17  16  16
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...973 973 973 973 973 973 973 973 972 970 968 966

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain, heavy at times.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph.
Mixing height.......400-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 22 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    southeast 40 to 50 mph in the afternoon
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (7700-25900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................26 increasing to 52 late in the morning.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........1.28 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1400 decreasing to 1000.
Visibility (SM).....5 to 10.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.51.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  54  55  56  57  57  58  58  59  59  59
Dewpoint........51  51  52  52  53  54  55  55  55  56  56  57
RH..............90  93  93  91  91  91  90  89  89  90  91  92
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  11  11  12  12  12  12  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.16  16  18  18  19  19  19  19  19  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  17  21  26  35  41  47  50  50  50  48  43
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............14  19  23  29  38  45  53  58  59  58  53  47
VRate kt-ft/100012  9   8   10  14  18  21  24  26  26  25  20
Ceiling (hft)...15  14  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Visibility (sm).10  10  7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Sfc pres (in)...964 963 961 961 962 963 959 956 953 952 951 951

$$
Forecaster...Harry Gerapetritis
Requested by...Todd Bennett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807305.0/GSP
.DELDT 04/22/18



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