Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 150952
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Enoree Compartment 103,123...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
552 AM EDT Wed May 15 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and relatively cool high pressure will move across the area
today and then off the southeast coast on Thursday. Morning clouds
may briefly scatter and clear out, but high cloudiness will move
overhead starting in the late morning. Most of the high clouds
will be thin and transparent. Wind direction will be difficult to
pin down, but should favor an easterly component this morning,
becoming southerly to southwesterly in the afternoon. Speeds
will be relatively light.

An upper ridge
is expected to build across the Deep South late in the week into
the weekend that will anchor a Bermuda high. This will lead to
warm early summer-like conditions with a chance of mainly afternoon
and evening showers and thunderstorms each day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (53200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................34.
Stability class.....2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000.
Visibility (SM).....8.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.55.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  21  21  21  21  25  29  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  67  70  72  74  75  75  75
Dewpoint........47  47  46  46  45  46  47  47
RH..............54  48  43  39  36  36  36  38
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   4   3   3   3   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   5   5   5   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   S   S   S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.6   7   6   5   3   6   8   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   1   2   2   1   1
ADI.............24  29  25  31  24  27  37  43
VRate kt-ft/100019  33  30  24  19  31  45  53
Ceiling (hft)...60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...963 964 963 962 960 958 957 955

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................31 decreasing to 2.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.54.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  46  52  50  49  47  46  44  43  43  44  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  72  69  67  64  63  61  60  59  58  59  58
Dewpoint........49  50  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  53  54
RH..............41  46  54  59  63  67  70  73  77  81  82  87
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4       4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 5.5 5.0 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   3   1   1   1   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   6
ADI.............31  2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRate kt-ft/100038  19  5   3   3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0
Ceiling (hft)...100 90  80  80  80  70  70  60  60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Sfc pres (in)...954 954 954 955 956 957 957 956 956 956 955 955

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 8 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph late
                    in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to good (52900 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to excellent
                    (68100 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 increasing to 52.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000.
Visibility (SM).....7 early in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...29.47.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  34  29  27  25  23  23  23  24  29  34  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  59  60  64  69  73  76  78  79  81  82  82
Dewpoint........55  55  56  57  58  59  59  59  58  59  59  59
RH..............90  87  87  78  69  61  55  51  49  47  46  46
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.                        7   7   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.6 2.9 4.3 4.9 5.6 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.0   0   1   5   8   12  13  12  12  12  12  12
LVORI...........7   6   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............0   0   1   9   25  44  52  50  52  53  53  54
VRate kt-ft/10000   0   0   6   22  44  53  57  60  64  68  67
Ceiling (hft)...60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).7   7   7
Sfc pres (in)...955 956 956 956 957 957 955 953 951 951 949 947

.OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 22 THROUGH TUESDAY MAY 28...

$$
Forecaster...Pat Moore
Requested by...Todd Bennett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1909247.0/GSP
.DELDT 05/15/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26


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