Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 182010
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for Warhorse...U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
310 PM CDT Sat May 18 2019

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the southeast U.S. will move off to
our east as a weak cold front approaches the Mississippi Valley.
This front is expected to wash out before making it into the forecast
area Sunday night. Surface high pressure will build back in over the
central and eastern Gulf States well into next week.

...REMARKS...
QUESTIONS:
..............
1. Please include a Fog
Potential Statement for
tonight, tomorrow
morning, tomorrow
night, and Monday
morning, specifying
Intensity of Fog, Areal
Coverage, and
timeframes in which fog
is likely to occur.


1. Fog is not expected through the period.  Winds expected
to remain high enough to keep fog from developing.
..............
2. Radar showed some
possible shower
activity moving north
across Horn Island and
Ship Island about an
hour ago.  Please let
us know if these
showers will affect our
location.  What are the
chances of other
showers developing and
moving onshore during
the rest of the
afternoon?

2.  Convection appears to be developing farther west of the requested area
and should have minimal if any impact on the burning area.  A stray
shower is possible through late afternoon and early evening today.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Dewpoint............70.
Heat index..........90.
Wind (20 ft).......Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (m)...945-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 9 meters/second.
LVORI...............1.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  30  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10
Temp............85  85  84
Dewpoint........70  70  70
RH..............61  61  63
Heat index (F)..90  90  88
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SSE SSE SSE
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.20  20  20
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).9   9   9
LVORI...........1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Dewpoint............70.
Heat index..........88.
Wind (20 ft).......South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (m)...366-945 meters AGL decreasing to 152-213 meters
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 9 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 20 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  15  15  16  20  20  23  23  24  23  31  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0
Temp............83  79  75  74  73  73  71  71  70  70  70  70
Dewpoint........71  71  71  71  71  71  71  71  70  70  69  69
RH..............67  77  87  90  93  93  100 100 100 100 97  97
Heat index (F)..88  79  75  74  73  73  71  71  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SSE SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   8   8   9   10  8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  12  10  10  12  12  13  14  12  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SSE SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   6   5   5   6   6   7   8   6   5   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  9   8   8   9   9   10  10  9   8   7   7
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.20  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  14  14
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........1   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Dewpoint............71.
Heat index..........90.
Wind (20 ft).......South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                   expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...152-488 meters AGL increasing to 610-914 meters
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 8 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.09 inches.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  49  51  62  68  62  64  79  76  91  96  92
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  20  40  50
Temp............70  73  78  80  81  83  84  84  84  83  83  82
Dewpoint........69  71  72  72  72  72  73  73  72  73  73  73
RH..............97  93  82  77  74  70  70  70  67  72  72  74
Heat index (F)..70  73  78  84  85  88  90  90  90  89  89  87
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   9   8   9   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   10  12  13  12  13  12  12  12  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   6   7   6   7   6   6   6   5   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   7   9   10  9   10  9   9   9   8   7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  17  17  17  18  18  18  17  17  17  15  15
Trans wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...NWS NEW ORLEANS
Requested by...Chris Nothstine
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1909571.0/LIX
.DELDT 05/18/19
.EMAIL JEFF_TWISS@FWS.GOV,CHRISTOPHER_NOTHSTINE@FWS.GOV


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