Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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919
FNUS71 KLWX 170759
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for AHG VA2206 SAR Training...AHG Troop VA2206
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
359 AM EDT Fri May 17 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A warm front will remain to our north leading to warming
temperatures today. A cold front will approach and move through
our region later this evening. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will be possible today. Thunderstorms have the
potential to be strong to severe and produce locally gusty winds.

A front will stall over the region through the weekend bringing
slight chances for showers before a strong cold front moves
through early next week.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........61     64     63     64     66     56
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     30     20     20     20
TEMP............77     73     70     67     65     64
RH..............62     73     78     87     90     87
SURFACE WIND....W 10   W 8    W 8    W 5    W 4    NW 4
SURFACE WND GST.15     9             6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and into the afternoon periods.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south around 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........53     57     56     57     61     69
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     20     30     30
TEMP............63     67     73     77     79     80
RH..............87     81     73     69     64     65
SURFACE WIND....N 4    E 4    S 5    SW 5   SW 5   S 6
SURFACE WND GST.       5      6      6      7      8

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........66        47        45        38
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).20        20        20        20
TEMP............78        73        69        67
RH..............69        79        87        87
SURFACE WIND....S 5G7     S 4G5     S 5G6     S 5G6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph late in
                    the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........40           23           34
WEATHER COV.....S CHC        CHANCE       CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).20           30           30
TEMP............67           76           83
RH..............87           74           55
SURFACE WIND....S 5G6        S 5G9        S 8G16

$$
Forecaster...Geiger
Requested by...Cary Hulse
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1909407.0/LWX
.DELDT 05/17/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26



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